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When multiple hypotheses are tested, interest is often in ensuring that the proportion of false discoveries (FDP) is small with high confidence. In this paper, confidence upper bounds for the FDP are constructed, which are simultaneous over…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-07 Jesse Hemerik , Aldo Solari , Jelle J. Goeman

We propose two synthetic microdata approaches to generate private tabular survey data products for public release. We adapt a pseudo posterior mechanism that downweights by-record likelihood contributions with weights $\in [0,1]$ based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-07 Jingchen Hu , Terrance D. Savitsky , Matthew R. Williams

Mixup, a recent proposed data augmentation method through linearly interpolating inputs and modeling targets of random samples, has demonstrated its capability of significantly improving the predictive accuracy of the state-of-the-art…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-05-23 Hongyu Guo , Yongyi Mao , Richong Zhang

Nonprobability (convenience) samples are increasingly sought to stabilize estimations for one or more population variables of interest that are performed using a randomized survey (reference) sample by increasing the effective sample size.…

Probabilistic Answer Set Programming under the credal semantics (PASP) extends Answer Set Programming with probabilistic facts that represent uncertain information. The probabilistic facts are discrete with Bernoulli distributions. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Damiano Azzolini , Fabrizio Riguzzi

Conformal prediction is a statistical framework that generates prediction sets containing ground-truth labels with a desired coverage guarantee. The predicted probabilities produced by machine learning models are generally miscalibrated,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Jianguo Huang , Huajun Xi , Linjun Zhang , Huaxiu Yao , Yue Qiu , Hongxin Wei

Bimodal truncated count distributions are frequently observed in aggregate survey data and in user ratings when respondents are mixed in their opinion. They also arise in censored count data, where the highest category might create an…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-24 Pragya Sur , Galit Shmueli , Smarajit Bose , Paromita Dubey

We provide a differentially private algorithm for producing synthetic data simultaneously useful for multiple tasks: marginal queries and multitask machine learning (ML). A key innovation in our algorithm is the ability to directly handle…

The ability to generate high-fidelity synthetic data is crucial when available (real) data is limited or where privacy and data protection standards allow only for limited use of the given data, e.g., in medical and financial data-sets.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-05 Sanket Kamthe , Samuel Assefa , Marc Deisenroth

Conformal prediction (CP) converts any model's output to prediction sets with a guarantee to cover the true label with (adjustable) high probability. Robust CP extends this guarantee to worst-case (adversarial) inputs. Existing baselines…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Soroush H. Zargarbashi , Aleksandar Bojchevski

We present an approach to inform decisions about nonresponse follow-up sampling. The basic idea is (i) to create completed samples by imputing nonrespondents' data under various assumptions about the nonresponse mechanisms, (ii) take…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-16 Thais Paiva , Jerry Reiter

Composite endpoints that combine multiple outcomes on different scales are common in clinical trials, particularly in chronic conditions. In many of these cases, patients will have to cross a predefined responder threshold in each of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-20 Martina McMenamin , Jessica K. Barrett , Anna Berglind , James M. S. Wason

Automatic Mean Opinion Score (MOS) prediction is crucial to evaluate the perceptual quality of the synthetic speech. While recent approaches using pre-trained self-supervised learning (SSL) models have shown promising results, they only…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-01 Hui Wang , Shiwan Zhao , Xiguang Zheng , Yong Qin

Bridge sampling is an effective Monte Carlo method for estimating the ratio of normalizing constants of two probability densities, a routine computational problem in statistics, physics, chemistry, and other fields. The Monte Carlo error of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-11 Lazhi Wang , David E. Jones , Xiao-Li Meng

Conformal Prediction (CP) provides distribution-free uncertainty quantification by constructing prediction sets that guarantee coverage of the true labels. This reliability makes CP valuable for high-stakes federated learning scenarios such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Rui Xu , Xingyuan Chen , Wenxing Huang , Minxuan Huang , Yun Xie , Weiyan Chen , Sihong Xie

The problem of multi-hypothesis testing with controlled sensing of observations is considered. The distribution of observations collected under each control is assumed to follow a single-parameter exponential family distribution. The goal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Aditya Deshmukh , Srikrishna Bhashyam , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

In the context of large-scale multiple testing, hypotheses are often accompanied with certain prior information. In this paper, we present a single-index modulated (SIM) multiple testing procedure, which maintains control of the false…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Lilun Du , Chunming Zhang

Urban datasets such as citizen transportation modes often contain disproportionately distributed classes, posing significant challenges to the classification of under-represented samples using data-driven models. In the literature, various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Guang An Ooi , Shehab Ahmed

We propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) framework for linear systems subject to joint-in-time chance constraints under unknown disturbance distributions. Unlike existing approaches that rely on parametric or Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Lukas Vogel , Andrea Carron , Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

The authors derive likelihood-based exact inference methods for the multivariate regression model, for singly imputed synthetic data generated via Posterior Predictive Sampling (PPS) and for multiply imputed synthetic data generated via a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-26 Ricardo Moura , Martin Klein , Carlos A. Coelho , Bimal Sinha