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Reactive chemistry of molecular hydrogen at surfaces, notably dissociative sticking and hydrogen evolution, plays a crucial role in energy storage and fuel cells. Theoretical studies can help to decipher underlying mechanisms and reaction…
Atomic scale simulations are a key element of modern science in that they allow to understand, and even predict, complex physical or chemical phenomena on the basis of the fundamental laws of nature. Among the different existing atomic…
The quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) regression model is a commonly used technique for predicting biological activities of compounds using their molecular descriptors. Predictions from QSAR models can help, for example,…
Crystal structure prediction (CSP) is now increasingly used in the discovery of novel materials with applications in diverse industries. However, despite decades of developments, the problem is far from being solved. With the progress of…
In healthcare, predictive models increasingly inform patient-level decisions, yet little attention is paid to the variability in individual risk estimates and its impact on treatment decisions. For overparameterized models, now standard in…
Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations of successive collision cascades within the same simulation domain were performed using two different inter-atomic potentials (IAP) in tungsten, one EAM based and the other a `quantum accurate' machine…
Many applications of machine learning methods involve an iterative protocol in which data are collected, a model is trained, and then outputs of that model are used to choose what data to consider next. For example, one data-driven approach…
A comprehensive uncertainty estimation is vital for the precision program of the LHC. While experimental uncertainties are often described by stochastic processes and well-defined nuisance parameters, theoretical uncertainties lack such a…
Recent DFT (density functional theory) simulations showed that metals have a hitherto overlooked symmetry termed "hidden scale invariance" [Hummel {\em et al.}, Phys. Rev. B {\bf{92}}, 174116 (2015)]. According to isomorph theory, this…
Over the past decade inter-atomic potentials based on machine-learning (ML) techniques have become an indispensable tool in the atomic-scale modeling of materials. Trained on energies and forces obtained from electronic-structure…
This paper studies the propagation of finite-sample uncertainty under nonlinear transformations commonly used in statistical decision systems. In particular, we consider process capability indices, which are widely used in manufacturing…
The ability to reliably predict the structures and stabilities of a molecular crystal and its polymorphs without any prior experimental information would be an invaluable tool for a number of fields, with specific and immediate applications…
Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) have revolutionized computational materials science by bridging the gap between quantum mechanical accuracy and classical simulation efficiency, enabling unprecedented exploration of materials…
Missing covariates in regression or classification problems can prohibit the direct use of advanced tools for further analysis. Recent research has realized an increasing trend towards the usage of modern Machine Learning algorithms for…
Reliable predictions of the behaviour of chemical systems are essential across many industries, from nanoscale engineering over validation of advanced materials to nanotoxicity assessment in health and medicine. For the future we therefore…
To model and quantify the variability in plasticity and failure of additively manufactured metals due to imperfections in their microstructure, we have developed uncertainty quantification methodology based on pseudo marginal likelihood and…
Neural network (NN) interatomic potentials provide fast prediction of potential energy surfaces, closely matching the accuracy of the electronic structure methods used to produce the training data. However, NN predictions are only reliable…
Accurate and scalable machine-learned inter-atomic potentials (MLIPs) are essential for molecular simulations ranging from drug discovery to new material design. Current state-of-the-art models enforce roto-translational symmetries through…
Among the different possible strategies for evaluating the reliability of individual predictions of classifiers, robustness quantification stands out as a method that evaluates how much uncertainty a classifier could cope with before…
Mathematical models are essential for understanding and making predictions about systems arising in nature and engineering. Yet, mathematical models are a simplification of true phenomena, thus making predictions subject to uncertainty.…