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In many areas of decision-making, forecasting is an essential pillar. Consequently, many different forecasting methods have been proposed. From our experience, recently presented forecasting methods are computationally intensive, poorly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 André Bauer , Mark Leznik , Michael Stenger , Robert Leppich , Nikolas Herbst , Samuel Kounev , Ian Foster

We introduce the Robustness of Hierarchically Organized Time Series (RHiOTS) framework, designed to assess the robustness of hierarchical time series forecasting models and algorithms on real-world datasets. Hierarchical time series, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Luis Roque , Carlos Soares , Luís Torgo

Mappings to structured output spaces (strings, trees, partitions, etc.) are typically learned using extensions of classification algorithms to simple graphical structures (eg., linear chains) in which search and parameter estimation can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-07-07 Hal Daumé , Daniel Marcu

Deep learning is playing an increasingly important role in time series analysis. We focused on time series forecasting using attention free mechanism, a more efficient framework, and proposed a new architecture for time series prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Hugo Inzirillo , Ludovic De Villelongue

An approach is presented for making predictions about functional time series. The method is applied to data coming from periodically correlated processes and electricity demand, obtaining accurate point forecasts and narrow prediction bands…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-29 Antonio Elías , Raúl Jiménez

We introduce a neural network conformal prediction method for time series that enhances adaptivity in non-stationary environments. Our approach acts as a neural controller designed to achieve desired target coverage, leveraging auxiliary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Ruipu Li , Alexander Rodríguez

Spatio-temporal forecasting is crucial in transportation, logistics, and supply chain management. However, current methods struggle with large, complex datasets. We propose a dynamic, multi-modal approach that integrates the strengths of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Geethan Sannidhi , Chidaksh Ravuru , Venkataramana Runkana

In the past decade, advances in deep learning have resulted in breakthroughs in a variety of areas, including computer vision, natural language understanding, speech recognition, and reinforcement learning. Specialized, high-performing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Colin White , Mahmoud Safari , Rhea Sukthanker , Binxin Ru , Thomas Elsken , Arber Zela , Debadeepta Dey , Frank Hutter

Context: Astronomy and astrophysics demand rigorous handling of uncertainties to ensure the credibility of outcomes. The growing integration of artificial intelligence offers a novel avenue to address this necessity. This convergence…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-28 Víctor Tamames-Rodero , Andrés Moya , Roberto Javier López , Luis Manuel Sarro

In a recurrent setting, conventional approaches to neural architecture search find and fix a general model for all data samples and time steps. We propose a novel algorithm that can dynamically search for the structure of cells in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Xin Qian , Matthew Kennedy , Diego Klabjan

Time series forecasting is an important task in many fields ranging from supply chain management to weather forecasting. Recently, Transformer neural network architectures have shown promising results in forecasting on common time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Rares Cristian , Pavithra Harsha , Clemente Ocejo , Georgia Perakis , Brian Quanz , Ioannis Spantidakis , Hamza Zerhouni

This paper presents a novel deep learning architecture for short term load forecasting of building energy loads. The architecture is based on a simple base learner and multiple boosting systems that are modelled as a single deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-17 Tuukka Salmi , Jussi Kiljander , Daniel Pakkala

We propose a modular architecture for the lifelong learning of hierarchically structured tasks. Specifically, we prove that our architecture is theoretically able to learn tasks that can be solved by functions that are learnable given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Zihao Deng , Zee Fryer , Brendan Juba , Rina Panigrahy , Xin Wang

Spatial-temporal forecasting systems play a crucial role in addressing numerous real-world challenges. In this paper, we investigate the potential of addressing spatial-temporal forecasting problems using general time series forecasting…

Architecture search is the process of automatically learning the neural model or cell structure that best suits the given task. Recently, this approach has shown promising performance improvements (on language modeling and image…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-06-13 Ramakanth Pasunuru , Mohit Bansal

Neural Architecture Search aims at automatically finding neural architectures that are competitive with architectures designed by human experts. While recent approaches have achieved state-of-the-art predictive performance for image…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 Thomas Elsken , Jan Hendrik Metzen , Frank Hutter

In this paper we developed a hierarchical network model, called Hierarchical Prediction Network (HPNet), to understand how spatiotemporal memories might be learned and encoded in the recurrent circuits in the visual cortical hierarchy for…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Jielin Qiu , Ge Huang , Tai Sing Lee

Recently, large reasoning models have demonstrated strong mathematical and coding abilities, and deep search leverages their reasoning capabilities in challenging information retrieval tasks. Existing deep search works are generally limited…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Jiejun Tan , Zhicheng Dou , Yan Yu , Jiehan Cheng , Qiang Ju , Jian Xie , Ji-Rong Wen

Conformal prediction has emerged as a widely used framework for constructing valid prediction sets in classification and regression tasks. In this work, we extend the split conformal prediction framework to hierarchical classification,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-13 Thomas Mortier , Alireza Javanmardi , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

Time series forecasting has traditionally focused on univariate and multivariate numerical data, often overlooking the benefits of incorporating multimodal information, particularly textual data. In this paper, we propose a novel framework…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Xin Zhou , Weiqing Wang , Shilin Qu , Zhiqiang Zhang , Christoph Bergmeir
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