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We consider compartmental models in epidemiology. For the study of the divergence of the stochastic model from its corresponding deterministic limit (i.e., the solution of an ODE) for long time horizon, a large deviations principle suggests…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-16 Peter Kratz , Etienne Pardoux , Brice Samegni Kepgnou

We consider the problem of estimating parameter sensitivity for Markovian models of reaction networks. Sensitivity values measure the responsiveness of an output to the model parameters. They help in analyzing the network, understanding its…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-18 Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

Computer simulations have become an important tool across the biomedical sciences and beyond. For many important problems several different models or hypotheses exist and choosing which one best describes reality or observed data is not…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-01-20 Tina Toni , Michael P. H. Stumpf

Multiscale models allow for the treatment of complex phenomena involving different scales, such as remodeling and growth of tissues, muscular activation, and cardiac electrophysiology. Numerous numerical approaches have been developed to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-28 Marco Favino , Alessio Quaglino , Sonia Pozzi , Rolf Krause , Igor Pivkin

Continuous-time Markov process models of contagions are widely studied, not least because of their utility in predicting the evolution of real-world contagions and in formulating control measures. It is often the case, however, that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-23 Peter G. Fennell , Sergey Melnik , James P. Gleeson

We consider a stochastic individual based model where each predator searches during a random time and then manipulates its prey or rests. The time distributions may be non-exponential. An age structure allows to describe these interactions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Vincent Bansaye , Bertand Cloez

We present a parsimonious stochastic model for valuation of options on the fraction of infected individuals during an epidemic. The underlying stochastic dynamical system is a stochastic differential version of the SIR model of mathematical…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-26 Andrew Lesniewski , Nicholas Lesniewski

Sustaining regular and infectious care during an infectious outbreak requires adequate management support for capacity allocation for regular and infectious patients. During the COVID-19 pandemic, hospitals faced severe challenges,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Stef Baas , Sander Dijkstra , Richard J. Boucherie , Anne Zander

An algorithm is proposed, analyzed, and tested experimentally for solving stochastic optimization problems in which the decision variables are constrained to satisfy equations defined by deterministic, smooth, and nonlinear functions. It is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Frank E. Curtis , Daniel P. Robinson , Baoyu Zhou

In recent years, many difficulties appeared when taking into account the inherent stochastic behavior of neurons and voltage-dependent ion channels in Hodgking-Huxley type models. In particular, an open problem for a stochastic model of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-09-21 Jacky Cresson , Bénédicte Puig , Stefanie Sonner

Several problems in modeling and control of stochastically-driven dynamical systems can be cast as regularized semi-definite programs. We examine two such representative problems and show that they can be formulated in a similar manner. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Armin Zare , Hesameddin Mohammadi , Neil K. Dhingra , Tryphon T. Georgiou , Mihailo R. Jovanović

The dynamics of contact networks and epidemics of infectious diseases often occur on comparable time scales. Ignoring one of these time scales may provide an incomplete understanding of the population dynamics of the infection process. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-09 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda

A practical introduction to stochastic modelling of reaction-diffusion processes is presented. No prior knowledge of stochastic simulations is assumed. The methods are explained using illustrative examples. The article starts with the…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-19 Radek Erban , Jonathan Chapman , Philip Maini

Infectious diseases have severe health and economic consequences for society. It is important in controlling the spread of an emerging infectious disease to be able to both estimate the parameters of the underlying model and identify those…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-26 Jessica Welding , Peter Neal

Molecular dynamics simulations use statistical mechanics at the atomistic scale to enable both the elucidation of fundamental mechanisms and the engineering of matter for desired tasks. The behavior of molecular systems at the microscale is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-25 Wujie Wang , Simon Axelrod , Rafael Gómez-Bombarelli

This article explores mathematical models for understanding the evolution of contagious diseases. The most widely known set of models are the compartmental ones, which are based on a set of differential equations. But these are not the only…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-07 C. O. S. Sorzano

The stochastic simulation of large-scale biochemical reaction networks is of great importance for systems biology since it enables the study of inherently stochastic biological mechanisms at the whole cell scale. Stochastic Simulation…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-30 Elias S. Manolakos , Elias Kouskoumvekakis

We present a novel methodology for integrating high resolution longitudinal data with the dynamic prediction capabilities of survival models. The aim is two-fold: to improve the predictive power while maintaining interpretability of the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-07 Giacomo Lancia , Meri Varkila , Olaf Cremer , Cristian Spitoni

Epidemic models on complex networks have been widely used to study how the social structure of a population affect the spreading of epidemics. However, their numerical simulation can be computationally heavy, especially for large networks.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-10 Samuel Cure , Florian G. Pflug , Simone Pigolotti

Models defined by stochastic differential equations (SDEs) allow for the representation of random variability in dynamical systems. The relevance of this class of models is growing in many applied research areas and is already a standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-06 Umberto Picchini
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