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To represent the complex individual interactions in the dynamics of disease spread informed by data, the coupling of an epidemiological agent-based model with the ensemble Kalman filter is proposed. The statistical inference of the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-04 Tadeo Javier Cocucci , Manuel Pulido , Juan Aparicio , Juan Ruiz , Ignacio Simoy , Santiago Rosa

Mathematical and simulation models are often used to predict the spread of a disease and estimate the impact of public health interventions, and many such models have been developed and used during the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-18 Jeffrey W. Herrmann , Hongjie Liu , Donald K. Milton

Agent Based Modeling (ABM) has become a widespread approach to model complex interactions. In this chapter after briefly summarizing some features of ABM the different approaches in modeling spatial interactions are discussed. It is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-05-06 Marcel Ausloos , Herbert Dawid , Ugo Merlone

We discuss the emerging new opportunity for building feedback-rich computational models of social systems using generative artificial intelligence. Referred to as Generative Agent-Based Models (GABMs), such individual-level models utilize…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Navid Ghaffarzadegan , Aritra Majumdar , Ross Williams , Niyousha Hosseinichimeh

Agent-based model (ABM) has been widely used to study infectious disease transmission by simulating behaviors and interactions of autonomous individuals called agents. In the ABM, agent states, for example infected or susceptible, are…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-09 Seungha Um , Samrachana Adhikari

Infectious disease modeling is used to forecast epidemics and assess the effectiveness of intervention strategies. Although the core assumption of mass-action models of homogeneously mixed population is often implausible, they are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-29 Thien-Minh Le , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Agent-based epidemic models (ABMs) encode behavioral and policy heterogeneity but are too slow for nightly hospital planning. We develop county-ready surrogates that learn directly from exascale ABM trajectories using Universal Differential…

The modeling of the spreading of communicable diseases has experienced significant advances in the last two decades or so. This has been possible due to the proliferation of data and the development of new methods to gather, mine and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-09 Alberto Aleta , Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda , Yamir Moreno

Augmenting classical epidemiological models with information from the social sciences helps unveil the interplay between contagion dynamics and social responses. However, multidisciplinary integration of social analysis and epidemiological…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-29 Daniele Proverbio , Riccardo Tessarin , Giulia Giordano

Among the realistic ingredients to be considered in the computational modeling of infectious diseases, human mobility represents a crucial challenge both on the theoretical side and in view of the limited availability of empirical data. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-02-04 Duygu Balcan , Vittoria Colizza , Bruno Goncalves , Hao Hu , Jose J. Ramasco , Alessandro Vespignani

We investigate the use of hybrid techniques in complex processes of infectious diseases. Since predictive disease models in biomedicine require a multiscale approach for understanding the molecule-cell-tissue-organ-body interactions,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-08-21 Pietro Liò , Emanuela Merelli , Nicola Paoletti

Evolutionary multi-agent systems (EMASs) are very good at dealing with difficult, multi-dimensional problems, their efficacy was proven theoretically based on analysis of the relevant Markov-Chain based model. Now the research continues on…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Mateusz Godzik , Jacek Dajda , Marek Kisiel-Dorohinicki , Aleksander Byrski , Leszek Rutkowski , Patryk Orzechowski , Joost Wagenaar , Jason H. Moore

Agent-based models have proven to be useful tools in supporting decision-making processes in different application domains. The advent of modern computers and supercomputers has enabled these bottom-up approaches to realistically model…

Accurate and reliable predictions of infectious disease dynamics can be valuable to public health organizations that plan interventions to decrease or prevent disease transmission. A great variety of models have been developed for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-04 Evan L. Ray , Nicholas G. Reich

Disease spread in most biological populations requires the proximity of agents. In populations where the individuals have spatial mobility, the contact graph is generated by the "collision dynamics" of the agents, and thus the evolution of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-06-07 Z. Toroczkai , H. Guclu

Generative artificial intelligence (AI) systems have transformed various industries by autonomously generating content that mimics human creativity. However, concerns about their social and economic consequences arise with widespread…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Joao Tiago Aparicio , Manuela Aparicio , Sofia Aparicio , Carlos J. Costa

Over the years, population-level tobacco control policies have considerably reduced smoking prevalence worldwide. However, the rate of decline of smoking prevalence is slowing down. Therefore, there is a need for models that capture the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-19 Adarsh Prabhakaran , Valerio Restocchi , Benjamin D. Goddard

A key problem in modelling the evolution dynamics of infectious diseases is the mathematical representation of the mechanism of transmission of the contagion. Models with a finite number of subpopulations can be described via systems of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-09 Sebastian Anita , Vincenzo Capasso

Epidemiological simulations as a method are used to better understand and predict the spreading of infectious diseases, for example of COVID-19. This paper presents an approach that combines person-centric data-driven human mobility…

This paper describes an agent-based model of epidemics dynamics. This model is willingly simplified, as its goal is not to predict the evolution of the epidemics, but to explain the underlying mechanisms in an interactive way. This model…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Carole Adam , Helene Arduin