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In the probabilistic energy forecasting literature, emphasis is mainly placed on deriving marginal predictive densities for which each random variable is dealt with individually. Such marginals description is sufficient for power systems…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-23 Faranak Golestaneh , Pierre Pinson , Hoay Beng Gooi

Volt-VAR and Volt-Watt functionality in photovoltaic (PV) smart inverters provide mechanisms to ensure system voltage magnitudes and power factors remain within acceptable limits. However, these control functions can become unstable,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-02 Daniel Arnold , Shammya Saha , Sy-Toan Ngo , Ciaran Roberts , Anna Scaglione , Nathan Johnson , Sean Peisert , David Pinney

Conservation Voltage Reduction (CVR) relies on the effective coordination of slow-acting devices, such as OLTCs and CBs, and fast-acting devices, such as SVGs and PV inverters, typically implemented through a hierarchical multi-stage…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Qintao Du , Ran Li , Weiyi Lv , Huan Zhou , Moduo Yu , Jianzhe Liu

The uncertainty in distribution grid planning is driven by the unpredictable spatial and temporal patterns in adopting electric vehicles (EVs) and solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. This complexity, stemming from interactions among EVs, PV…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-20 Shiva Poudel , Poorva Sharma , Abhineet Parchure , Daniel Olsen , Sayantan Bhowmik , Tonya Martin , Dylan Locsin , Andrew P. Reiman

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is vital across various domains but remains challenging due to the need to simultaneously model temporal and inter-variate dependencies. Existing channel-dependent models, where Transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Junwoo Ha , Hyukjae Kwon , Sungsoo Kim , Kisu Lee , Seungjae Park , Ha Young Kim

Quantifying the impact of inverter-based distributed generation (DG) sources on power-flow distribution system cases is arduous. Existing distribution system tools predominately model distributed generation sources as either negative PQ…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-12 Naeem Turner-Bandele , Amritanshu Pandey , Larry Pileggi

Transformer-based models have significantly advanced time series forecasting. Recent work, like the Cross-Attention-only Time Series transformer (CATS), shows that removing self-attention can make the model more accurate and efficient.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-08 Jiajun Song , Xiaoou Liu

Accurate ultra-short-term wind power forecasting is critical for grid dispatch and reserve management, yet remains challenging due to the non-stationary, condition-dependent nature of wind generation. Meteorological exogenous variables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Cao Yuan , Junjun Wang

Optimal Volt/VAR control (VVC) in distribution networks relies on an effective coordination between the conventional utility-owned mechanical devices and the smart residential photovoltaic (PV) inverters. Typically, a central controller…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-17 Yao Long , Daniel S. Kirschen

We propose a novel Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network empowered trend analysis approach (ST-GTrend) to perform fleet-level performance degradation analysis for Photovoltaic (PV) power networks. PV power stations have become an integral…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Yangxin Fan , Raymond Wieser , Laura Bruckman , Roger French , Yinghui Wu

The expansion of renewable energy could help realizing the goals of peaking carbon dioxide emissions and carbon neutralization. Some existing grid dispatching methods integrating short-term renewable energy prediction and reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Xinhang Li , Zihao Li , Nan Yang , Zheng Yuan , Qinwen Wang , Yiying Yang , Yupeng Huang , Xuri Song , Lei Li , Lin Zhang

With the proliferation of electric vehicles (EVs), accurate charging demand and station occupancy forecasting are critical for optimizing urban energy and the profit of EVs aggregator. Existing approaches in this field usually struggle to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Hang Fan , Yunze Chai , Chenxi Liu , Weican Liu , Zuhan Zhang , Wencai Run , Dunnan Liu

Future surveys such as the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) of the Vera C. Rubin Observatory will observe an order of magnitude more astrophysical transient events than any previous survey before. With this deluge of photometric data,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-06 Tarek Allam , Jason D. McEwen

Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic power is essential for reliable grid integration, yet remains difficult due to highly variable irradiance, complex meteorological drivers, site geography, and device-specific behavior. Although…

Transformer-based models are at the forefront in long time-series forecasting (LTSF). While in many cases, these models are able to achieve state of the art results, they suffer from a bias toward low-frequencies in the data and high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Elisha Dayag , Nhat Thanh Van Tran , Jack Xin

The recent boom of linear forecasting models questions the ongoing passion for architectural modifications of Transformer-based forecasters. These forecasters leverage Transformers to model the global dependencies over temporal tokens of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Yong Liu , Tengge Hu , Haoran Zhang , Haixu Wu , Shiyu Wang , Lintao Ma , Mingsheng Long

Weather is one of the main problems in implementing forecasts for photovoltaic panel systems. Since it is the main generator of disturbances and interruptions in electrical energy. It is necessary to choose a reliable forecasting model for…

Multilevel inverters are used to improve powerquality and reduce component stresses. This paper describesand compares two multilevel cascaded three phase inverterimplementations with two different modulation techniques: PhaseShifted Pulse…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-28 John Buczek , Viktor Ivankevych

Determination of the device performance parameters of perovskite solar cells is far from trivial as transient effects may cause large discrepancies in current-voltage measurements as a function of scan rate and pre-conditioning. Maximum…

Power transformers are subjected to electrical currents and temperature fluctuations that, if not properly controlled, can lead to major deterioration of their insulation system. Therefore, monitoring the temperature of a power transformer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Francis Tembo , Federica Bragone , Tor Laneryd , Matthieu Barreau , Kateryna Morozovska