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Multi-horizon forecasting problems often contain a complex mix of inputs -- including static (i.e. time-invariant) covariates, known future inputs, and other exogenous time series that are only observed historically -- without any prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Sercan O. Arik , Nicolas Loeff , Tomas Pfister

Accurate electricity load forecasting is essential for grid stability, resource optimization, and renewable energy integration. While transformer-based deep learning models like TimeGPT have gained traction in time-series forecasting, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Millend Roy , Vladimir Pyltsov , Yinbo Hu

Energy system models require a large amount of technical and economic data, the quality of which significantly influences the reliability of the results. Some of the variables on the important data source ENTSO-E transparency platform, such…

General Economics · Economics 2023-02-23 Thomas Möbius , Mira Watermeyer , Oliver Grothe , Felix Müsgens

As the concern about climate change and energy shortage grow stronger, the incorporation of renewable energy in the power system in the future is foreseeable. In a hybrid power system with a large penetration of PV generation, PV panel is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-10 Songyao Jiang , Takeyoshi Kato

In this work, we develop a comprehensive framework for F10.7, S10.7, M10.7, and Y10.7 solar driver forecasting with a time series Transformer (PatchTST). To ensure an equal representation of high and low levels of solar activity, we…

Since its introduction, the transformer has shifted the development trajectory away from traditional models (e.g., RNN, MLP) in time series forecasting, which is attributed to its ability to capture global dependencies within temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Xiwen Chen , Peijie Qiu , Wenhui Zhu , Huayu Li , Hao Wang , Aristeidis Sotiras , Yalin Wang , Abolfazl Razi

In the manufacturing process, sensor data collected from equipment is crucial for building predictive models to manage processes and improve productivity. However, in the field, it is challenging to gather sufficient data to build robust…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Gyeong Taek Lee , Oh-Ran Kwon

Photovoltaic systems have been widely deployed in recent times to meet the increased electricity demand as an environmental-friendly energy source. The major challenge for integrating photovoltaic systems in power systems is the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-13 Reza Zafarani , Sara Eftekharnejad , Urvi Patel

This work deals with the problem of estimating a photovoltaic generation forecasting model in scenarios where measurements of meteorological variables (i.e. solar irradiance and temperature) at the plant site are not available. A novel…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-11-07 Gianni Bianchini , Daniele Pepe , Antonio Vicino

As the impact of climate change escalates, the global necessity to transition to sustainable energy sources becomes increasingly evident. Renewable energies have emerged as a viable solution for users, with Photovoltaic energy being a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Minh Tran , Adrian De Luis , Haitao Liao , Ying Huang , Roy McCann , Alan Mantooth , Jack Cothren , Ngan Le

With an increasing high penetration of solar photovoltaic generation in electric power grids, voltage phasors and branch power flows experience more severe fluctuations. In this context, probabilistic power flow (PPF) study aims at…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-03 Kejun Chen , Yu Zhang

As climate variability increases, the ability of utility providers to deliver precise Estimated Times of Restoration (ETR) during natural disasters has become increasingly critical. Accurate and timely ETRs are essential for enabling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Bogireddy Sai Prasanna Teja , Valliappan Muthukaruppan , Carls Benjamin

Understanding the combined influences of meteorological and hydrological factors on water level and flood events is essential, particularly in today's changing climate environments. Transformer, as one kind of the cutting-edge deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Mingyu Liu , Nana Bao , Xingting Yan , Chenyang Li , Kai Peng

We present a novel framework for spatiotemporal photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting and use it to evaluate the reliability, sharpness, and overall performance of seven intraday PV power nowcasting models. The model suite includes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Luca Lanzilao , Angela Meyer

Accurate forecasting of residual Physical Resource Blocks (PRBs) is critical for proactive network slice provisioning, energy-efficient operation, and spectrum-aware decision making in cellular systems, where residual PRBs serve as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Saad Masrur , Yuxuan Jiang , Matti Hiltunen , Ajay Rajkumar , Ismail Guvenc

The residential electrical energy scheduling of solar Photovoltaics (PV) is an important research area of the modern green buildings. On the demand side, factors such as building load, and the renewable PV energy resources are integrated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-16 Sara Zainaa , Shima Sadaf , Ansaruddin Kunjuc , Mohammad Meraj , Devrim Unal , Farid Touati

Forecasting sea surface currents is essential for applications such as maritime navigation, environmental monitoring, and climate analysis, particularly in regions like the Gulf of Thailand and the Andaman Sea. This paper introduces…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-27 Teerapong Panboonyuen

This study presents an innovative approach to predicting VCSEL emission characteristics using transformer neural networks. We demonstrate how to modify the transformer neural network for applications in physics. Our model achieved high…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-09-17 Aleksei V. Belonovskii , Elizaveta I. Girshova , Erkki Lähderanta , Mikhail Kaliteevski

Multivariate time series forecasting requires simultaneously modeling temporal patterns and cross-variate dependencies. Channel-independent methods such as PatchTST excel at temporal modeling but ignore variable correlations, while pure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Yuhang Wang

To enhance the accuracy of power load forecasting in wind farms, this study introduces an advanced combined forecasting method that integrates Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) with an Improved Particle Swarm Optimization (IPSO)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Qiang Xie
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