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We consider off-policy evaluation (OPE) of deterministic target policies for reinforcement learning (RL) in environments with continuous action spaces. While it is common to use importance sampling for OPE, it suffers from high variance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Haanvid Lee , Tri Wahyu Guntara , Jongmin Lee , Yung-Kyun Noh , Kee-Eung Kim

We introduce a new, efficient, principled and backpropagation-compatible algorithm for learning a probability distribution on the weights of a neural network, called Bayes by Backprop. It regularises the weights by minimising a compression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-22 Charles Blundell , Julien Cornebise , Koray Kavukcuoglu , Daan Wierstra

We present a novel analysis of the expected risk of weighted majority vote in multiclass classification. The analysis takes correlation of predictions by ensemble members into account and provides a bound that is amenable to efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Andrés R. Masegosa , Stephan S. Lorenzen , Christian Igel , Yevgeny Seldin

This paper presents an approach for learning vision-based planners that provably generalize to novel environments (i.e., environments unseen during training). We leverage the Probably Approximately Correct (PAC)-Bayes framework to obtain an…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Sushant Veer , Anirudha Majumdar

Learning on big data brings success for artificial intelligence (AI), but the annotation and training costs are expensive. In future, learning on small data that approximates the generalization ability of big data is one of the ultimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Xiaofeng Cao , Weixin Bu , Shengjun Huang , Minling Zhang , Ivor W. Tsang , Yew Soon Ong , James T. Kwok

We study an approach to learning pruning masks by optimizing the expected loss of stochastic pruning masks, i.e., masks which zero out each weight independently with some weight-specific probability. We analyze the training dynamics of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-25 Soufiane Hayou , Bobby He , Gintare Karolina Dziugaite

This paper presents an empirical study regarding training probabilistic neural networks using training objectives derived from PAC-Bayes bounds. In the context of probabilistic neural networks, the output of training is a probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-23 María Pérez-Ortiz , Omar Rivasplata , John Shawe-Taylor , Csaba Szepesvári

Randomized trials, also known as A/B tests, are used to select between two policies: a control and a treatment. Given a corresponding set of features, we can ideally learn an optimized policy P that maps the A/B test data features to action…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-08 Elon Portugaly , Joseph J. Pfeiffer

In many domains, the exploration process of reinforcement learning will be too costly as it requires trying out suboptimal policies, resulting in a need for off-policy evaluation, in which a target policy is evaluated based on data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 David M. Bossens , Philip S. Thomas

We study worst-case guarantees on the expected return of fixed-dataset policy optimization algorithms. Our core contribution is a unified conceptual and mathematical framework for the study of algorithms in this regime. This analysis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Jacob Buckman , Carles Gelada , Marc G. Bellemare

This paper develops a risk-adjusted alternative to standard optimal policy learning (OPL) for observational data by importing Roy's (1952) safety-first principle into the treatment assignment problem. We formalize a welfare functional that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-07 Giovanni Cerulli , Francesco Caracciolo

We propose a unified framework for global-local regularization that bridges the gap between classical techniques -- such as ridge regression and the nonnegative garotte -- and modern Bayesian hierarchical modeling. By estimating local…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Jyotishka Datta , Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov

As AI systems become increasingly autonomous, reliably aligning their decision-making with human preferences is essential. Inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) offers a promising approach to infer preferences from demonstrations. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Ondrej Bajgar , Dewi S. W. Gould , Jonathon Liu , Alessandro Abate , Konstantinos Gatsis , Michael A. Osborne

Recent policy optimization approaches (Schulman et al., 2015a; 2017) have achieved substantial empirical successes by constructing new proxy optimization objectives. These proxy objectives allow stable and low variance policy learning, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-24 Marcin B. Tomczak , Dongho Kim , Peter Vrancx , Kee-Eung Kim

In offline reinforcement learning, a policy learns to maximize cumulative rewards with a fixed collection of data. Towards conservative strategy, current methods choose to regularize the behavior policy or learn a lower bound of the value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Hongchang Zhang , Jianzhun Shao , Yuhang Jiang , Shuncheng He , Xiangyang Ji

Offline Reinforcement Learning (RL) promises the recovery of optimal policies from static datasets, yet it remains susceptible to the overestimation of out-of-distribution (OOD) actions, particularly in fractured and sparse data manifolds.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Sarthak Wanjari

An agnostic PAC learning algorithm finds a predictor that is competitive with the best predictor in a benchmark hypothesis class, where competitiveness is measured with respect to a given loss function. However, its predictions might be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-24 Guy N Rothblum , Gal Yona

Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) bounds are widely used to derive probabilistic guarantees for the generalisation of machine learning models. They highlight the components of the model which contribute to its generalisation capacity.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Thomas Walker , Alessio Lomuscio

Popular machine learning estimators involve regularization parameters that can be challenging to tune, and standard strategies rely on grid search for this task. In this paper, we revisit the techniques of approximating the regularization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Eugene Ndiaye , Tam Le , Olivier Fercoq , Joseph Salmon , Ichiro Takeuchi

We propose a novel framework for exploring weak and $L_2$ generalization errors of algorithms through the lens of differential calculus on the space of probability measures. Specifically, we consider the KL-regularized empirical risk…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-21 Gholamali Aminian , Samuel N. Cohen , Łukasz Szpruch