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Generating graph structures is a challenging problem due to the diverse representations and complex dependencies among nodes. In this paper, we introduce Graph Variational Recurrent Neural Network (GraphVRNN), a probabilistic autoregressive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-07 Shih-Yang Su , Hossein Hajimirsadeghi , Greg Mori

The advantages of temporal networks in capturing complex dynamics, such as diffusion and contagion, has led to breakthroughs in real world systems across numerous fields. In the case of human behavior, face-to-face interaction networks…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Nicolò Alessandro Girardini , Antonio Longa , Gaia Trebucchi , Giulia Cencetti , Andrea Passerini , Bruno Lepri

Temporal networks are widely used models for describing the architecture of complex systems. Network memory -- that is the dependence of a temporal network's structure on its past -- has been shown to play a prominent role in diffusion,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-28 Oliver E. Williams , Lucas Lacasa , Ana P. Millán , Vito Latora

Multilayer networks have become increasingly ubiquitous across diverse scientific fields, ranging from social sciences and biology to economics and international relations. Despite their broad applications, the inferential theory for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Zhaozhe Liu , Gongjun Xu , Haoran Zhang

Interactions between humans give rise to complex social networks that are characterized by heterogeneous degree distribution, weight-topology relation, overlapping community structure, and dynamics of links. Understanding such networks is a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-16 Yohsuke Murase , Hang-Hyun Jo , János Török , János Kertész , Kimmo Kaski

Dynamic networks have intrinsic structural, computational, and multidisciplinary advantages. Link prediction estimates the next relationship in dynamic networks. However, in the current link prediction approaches, only bipartite or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Mohamoud Ali , Yugyung Lee , Praveen Rao

A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is applied towards learning network graph structure. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex system of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

In many applications of finance, biology and sociology, complex systems involve entities interacting with each other. These processes have the peculiarity of evolving over time and of comprising latent factors, which influence the system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-03 Federico Tomasi , Veronica Tozzo , Saverio Salzo , Alessandro Verri

Network datasets typically exhibit certain types of statistical dependencies, such as within-dyad correlation, row and column heterogeneity, and third-order dependence patterns such as transitivity and clustering. The first two of these can…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-24 Peter D. Hoff

Contemporary time series analysis has seen more and more tensor type data, from many fields. For example, stocks can be grouped according to Size, Book-to-Market ratio, and Operating Profitability, leading to a 3-way tensor observation at…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-05 Zebang Li , Han Xiao

Multivariate relations are general in various types of networks, such as biological networks, social networks, transportation networks, and academic networks. Due to the principle of ternary closures and the trend of group formation, the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Jin Xu , Shuo Yu , Ke Sun , Jing Ren , Ivan Lee , Shirui Pan , Feng Xia

Multilayer networks proved to be suitable in extracting and providing dependency information of different complex systems. The construction of these networks is difficult and is mostly done with a static approach, neglecting time delayed…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-14 Giuseppe Brandi , T. Di Matteo

In finance, economics and many other fields, observations in a matrix form are often generated over time. For example, a set of key economic indicators are regularly reported in different countries every quarter. The observations at each…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Rong Chen , Han Xiao , Dan Yang

We study a recent class of models which uses graph neural networks (GNNs) to improve forecasting in multivariate time series. The core assumption behind these models is that there is a latent graph between the time series (nodes) that…

Multivariate time series is prevalent in many scientific and industrial domains. Modeling multivariate signals is challenging due to their long-range temporal dependencies and intricate interactions--both direct and indirect. To confront…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Juhyeon Kim , Hyungeun Lee , Seungwon Yu , Ung Hwang , Wooyul Jung , Miseon Park , Kijung Yoon

We study nonparametric methods for the setting where multiple distinct networks are observed on the same set of nodes. Such samples may arise in the form of replicated networks drawn from a common distribution, or in the form of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-15 Swati Chandna , Pierre-Andre Maugis

Dynamic multilayer networks frequently represent the structure of multiple co-evolving relations; however, statistical models are not well-developed for this prevalent network type. Here, we propose a new latent space model for dynamic…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-25 Joshua Daniel Loyal , Yuguo Chen

We introduce a new class of latent process models for dynamic relational network data with the goal of detecting time-dependent structure. Network data are often observed over time, and static network models for such data may fail to…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-15 Lucy F. Robinson , Carey E. Priebe

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

Autoregressive networks can achieve promising performance in many sequence modeling tasks with short-range dependence. However, when handling high-dimensional inputs and outputs, the huge amount of parameters in the network lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-10 Di Wang , Feiqing Huang , Jingyu Zhao , Guodong Li , Guangjian Tian