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Prediction of spatio-temporal chaotic systems is important in various fields, such as Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP). While data assimilation methods have been applied in NWP, machine learning techniques, such as Reservoir Computing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Futo Tomizawa , Yohei Sawada

Reservoir computing (RC) is a powerful framework for predicting nonlinear dynamical systems, yet the role of reservoir topology$-$particularly symmetry in connectivity and weights$-$remains not adequately understood. This work investigates…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-10 Shailendra K. Rathor , Lina Jaurigue , Martin Ziegler , Jörg Schumacher

This study investigates how conditional normalizing flows can be applied to remote sensing data products in climate science for spatio-temporal prediction. The method is chosen due to its desired properties such as exact likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Christina Winkler , David Rolnick

Physical reservoir computing (RC) is a machine learning algorithm that employs the dynamics of a physical system to forecast highly nonlinear and chaotic phenomena. In this paper, we introduce a quantum RC system that employs the dynamics…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-03-05 A. H. Abbas , Ivan S. Maksymov

Forecasting the behavior of high-dimensional dynamical systems using machine learning requires efficient methods to learn the underlying physical model. We demonstrate spatiotemporal chaos prediction using a machine learning architecture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Wendson A. S. Barbosa , Daniel J. Gauthier

Reservoir computing (RC) is a machine learning algorithm that can learn complex time series from data very rapidly based on the use of high-dimensional dynamical systems, such as random networks of neurons, called "reservoirs." To implement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Yusuke Sakemi , Kai Morino , Timothée Leleu , Kazuyuki Aihara

Traditionally, weather predictions are performed with the help of large complex models of physics, which utilize different atmospheric conditions over a long period of time. These conditions are often unstable because of perturbations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 A H M Jakaria , Md Mosharaf Hossain , Mohammad Ashiqur Rahman

In nonlinear dynamical systems, tipping refers to a critical transition from one steady state to another, typically catastrophic, steady state, often resulting from a saddle-node bifurcation. Recently, the machine-learning framework of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-09 Smita Deb , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

Some applications of deep learning require not only to provide accurate results but also to quantify the amount of confidence in their prediction. The management of an electric power grid is one of these cases: to avoid risky scenarios,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Michele Guerra , Simone Scardapane , Filippo Maria Bianchi

The prediction of complex nonlinear dynamical systems with the help of machine learning techniques has become increasingly popular. In particular, reservoir computing turned out to be a very promising approach especially for the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-08 Alexander Haluszczynski , Christoph Räth

Reservoir computing is a machine learning approach that can generate a surrogate model of a dynamical system. It can learn the underlying dynamical system using fewer trainable parameters and hence smaller training data sets than competing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Daniel J. Gauthier , Ingo Fischer , André Röhm

This study aims to improve the accuracy of weather predictions by discovering spatial correlations between Earth observations and atmospheric states. Existing numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems predict future atmospheric states at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Hyeon-Ju Jeon , Jeon-Ho Kang , In-Hyuk Kwon , O-Joun Lee

Complex dynamical systems-such as climate, ecosystems, and economics-can undergo catastrophic and potentially irreversible regime changes, often triggered by environmental parameter drift and stochastic disturbances. These critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Xin Li , Qunxi Zhu , Chengli Zhao , Bolin Zhao , Xue Zhang , Xiaojun Duan , Wei Lin

Weather station data is a valuable resource for climate prediction, however, its reliability can be limited in remote locations. To compound the issue, making local predictions often relies on sensor data that may not be accessible for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-08 Iman Deznabi , Peeyush Kumar , Madalina Fiterau

Projecting climate change is a generalization problem: we extrapolate the recent past using physical models across past, present, and future climates. Current climate models require representations of processes that occur at scales smaller…

The accurate prediction and estimation of annual snow accumulation has grown in importance as we deal with the effects of climate change and the increase of global atmospheric temperatures. Airborne radar sensors, such as the Snow Radar,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-26 Benjamin Zalatan , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

Space weather forecasting is critical for mitigating radiation risks in space exploration and protecting Earth-based technologies from geomagnetic disturbances. This paper presents the development of a Machine Learning (ML)- ready data…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-13 Maher A Dayeh , Michael J Starkey , Subhamoy Chatterjee , Heather Elliott , Samuel Hart , Kimberly Moreland

A significant challenge in seasonal climate prediction is whether a prediction can beat climatology. We hereby present results from two data-driven models - a convolutional (CNN) and a recurrent (RNN) neural network - that predict 2 m…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-02-02 Etienne E. Vos , Ashley Gritzman , Sibusisiwe Makhanya , Thabang Mashinini , Campbell D. Watson

Although numerical weather forecasting methods have dominated the field, recent advances in deep learning methods, such as diffusion models, have shown promise in ensemble weather forecasting. However, such models are typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Kevin Valencia , Ziyang Liu , Justin Cui

Super-resolving the coarse outputs of global climate simulations, termed downscaling, is crucial in making political and social decisions on systems requiring long-term climate change projections. Existing fast super-resolution techniques,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-18 Norihiro Oyama , Noriko N. Ishizaki , Satoshi Koide , Hiroaki Yoshida