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Recently, graph-based models designed for downstream tasks have significantly advanced research on graph neural networks (GNNs). GNN baselines based on neural message-passing mechanisms such as GCN and GAT perform worse as the network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Jiayuan Chen , Xiang Zhang , Yinfei Xu , Tianli Zhao , Renjie Xie , Wei Xu

Text-based financial networks are increasingly used to study cross-stock return predictability. A common approach constructs links from similarities in firms' disclosure embeddings, but such networks often contain spurious edges because…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-28 Yikuan Huang , Zheqi Fan , Kaiqi Hu , Yifan Ye

Forecasting future stock trends remains challenging for academia and industry due to stochastic inter-stock dynamics and hierarchical intra-stock dynamics influencing stock prices. In recent years, graph neural networks have achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Zinuo You , Zijian Shi , Hongbo Bo , John Cartlidge , Li Zhang , Yan Ge

This study delves into the application of graph neural networks in the realm of traffic forecasting, a crucial facet of intelligent transportation systems. Accurate traffic predictions are vital for functions like trip planning, traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Razib Hayat Khan , Jonayet Miah , S M Yasir Arafat , M M Mahbubul Syeed , Duc M Ca

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have shown clear superiority in sequence modeling, particularly the ones with gated units, such as long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU). However, the dynamic properties behind the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Zhiyuan Tang , Ying Shi , Dong Wang , Yang Feng , Shiyue Zhang

Accurate prediction of future blood glucose (BG) levels can effectively improve BG management for people living with diabetes, thereby reducing complications and improving quality of life. The state of the art of BG prediction has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Chengzhe Piao , Taiyu Zhu , Stephanie E Baldeweg , Paul Taylor , Pantelis Georgiou , Jiahao Sun , Jun Wang , Kezhi Li

We introduce a new regression framework, Gaussian process regression networks (GPRN), which combines the structural properties of Bayesian neural networks with the non-parametric flexibility of Gaussian processes. This model accommodates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-10-21 Andrew Gordon Wilson , David A. Knowles , Zoubin Ghahramani

Emerging economies, particularly the MINT countries (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and T\"urkiye), are gaining influence in global stock markets, although they remain susceptible to the economic conditions of developed countries like the G7…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-26 Nurbanu Bursa

We introduce an ensemble learning method based on Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) for predicting conditional expected stock returns given stock-level and macro-economic information. Our ensemble learning approach significantly reduces the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Damir Filipović , Puneet Pasricha

Predicting the Stock movement attracts much attention from both industry and academia. Despite such significant efforts, the results remain unsatisfactory due to the inherently complicated nature of the stock market driven by factors…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-01 Jingyi Gu , Fadi P. Deek , Guiling Wang

Most Probable Explanation (MPE) inference in Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) is a fundamental yet computationally challenging problem arising in domains such as diagnosis, planning, and structured prediction. In many practical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Brij Malhotra , Shivvrat Arya , Tahrima Rahman , Vibhav Giridhar Gogate

Recurrent neural networks can be difficult to train on long sequence data due to the well-known vanishing gradient problem. Some architectures incorporate methods to reduce RNN state updates, therefore allowing the network to preserve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Matthew Thornton , Jithendar Anumula , Shih-Chii Liu

Transformers have surpassed RNNs in popularity due to their superior abilities in parallel training and long-term dependency modeling. Recently, there has been a renewed interest in using linear RNNs for efficient sequence modeling. These…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Zhen Qin , Songlin Yang , Yiran Zhong

Time series forecasting has seen many methods attempted over the past few decades, including traditional technical analysis, algorithmic statistical models, and more recent machine learning and artificial intelligence approaches. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Harshal Patel , Bharath Kumar Bolla , Sabeesh E , Dinesh Reddy

Stock market price prediction is a significant interdisciplinary research domain that depends at the intersection of finance, statistics, and economics. Forecasting Accurately predicting stock prices has always been a focal point for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Navin Chhibber , Sunil Khemka , Navneet Kumar Tyagi , Rohit Tewari , Bireswar Banerjee , Piyush Ranjan

The task of predicting future stock values has always been one that is heavily desired albeit very difficult. This difficulty arises from stocks with non-stationary behavior, and without any explicit form. Hence, predictions are best made…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-19 Hieu Quang Nguyen , Abdul Hasib Rahimyar , Xiaodi Wang

This paper investigates the application of Quantum Generative Adversarial Networks (QGANs) for stock price prediction. Financial markets are inherently complex, marked by high volatility and intricate patterns that traditional models often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Sangram Deshpande , Gopal Ramesh Dahale , Sai Nandan Morapakula , Uday Wad

In this paper we compare different types of recurrent units in recurrent neural networks (RNNs). Especially, we focus on more sophisticated units that implement a gating mechanism, such as a long short-term memory (LSTM) unit and a recently…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-12-12 Junyoung Chung , Caglar Gulcehre , KyungHyun Cho , Yoshua Bengio

Off-the-shelf machine learning algorithms for prediction such as regularized logistic regression cannot exploit the information of time-varying features without previously using an aggregation procedure of such sequential data. However,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-26 C. Gary Mena , Arno De Caigny , Kristof Coussement , Koen W. De Bock , Stefan Lessmann

Stock price prediction is a rich research topic that has attracted interest from various areas of science. The recent success of machine learning in speech and image recognition has prompted researchers to apply these methods to asset price…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-22 Firuz Kamalov