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We develop an approach for Bayesian learning of spatiotemporal dynamical mechanistic models. Such learning consists of statistical emulation of the mechanistic system that can efficiently interpolate the output of the system from arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Sudipto Banerjee , Xiang Chen , Ian Frankenburg , Daniel Zhou

Pattern-forming systems can exhibit a diverse array of complex behaviors as external parameters are varied, enabling a variety of useful functions in biological and engineered systems. First-principles derivations of the underlying…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2023-11-20 Zachary G. Nicolaou , Guanyu Huo , Yihui Chen , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

High-quality nanomechanical oscillators can sensitively probe force, mass, or displacement in experiments bridging the gap between the classical and quantum domain. Dynamics of these stochastic systems is inherently determined by the…

State-space models are dynamical systems defined by a latent and an observed process. In ecology, stochastic state-space models in discrete time are most often used to describe the imperfectly observed dynamics of population sizes or animal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Frederic Barraquand , Julien Gibaud

System identification in scenarios where the observed number of variables is less than the degrees of freedom in the dynamics is an important challenge. In this work we tackle this problem by using a recognition network to increase the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Constantino A. Garcia , Paulo Felix , Jesus M. Presedo , Abraham Otero

We introduce a data-driven method for learning the equations of motion of mechanical systems directly from position measurements, without requiring access to velocity data. This is particularly relevant in system identification tasks where…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-28 Martine Dyring Hansen , Elena Celledoni , Benjamin Kwanen Tapley

Advances in data science are leading to new progresses in the analysis and understanding of complex dynamics for systems with experimental and observational data. With numerous physical phenomena exhibiting bursting, flights, hopping, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-09 Yang Li , Jinqiao Duan

In this paper, we discuss information-theoretic tools for obtaining optimized coarse-grained molecular models for both equilibrium and non-equilibrium molecular dynamics. The latter are ubiquitous in physicochemical and biological…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Vagelis Harmandaris , Evangelia Kalligiannaki , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Petr Plecháč

Wild animals are commonly fitted with trackers that record their position through time, and statistical models for tracking data broadly fall into two categories: models focused on small-scale movement decisions, and models for large-scale…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-07 Théo Michelot , Ephraim M. Hanks

Discovering governing equations from data is crucial for understanding complex systems in many diverse fields from science to engineering. Yet, there still is a lack of versatile computational toolbox to deal with this long standing…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-15 Chengzuo Zhuge , Zheng Jiang , Zhefan Xu , Wei Chen

Scientists often use observational time series data to study complex natural processes, but regression analyses often assume simplistic dynamics. Recent advances in deep learning have yielded startling improvements to the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Cory Shain , William Schuler

Thermodynamics with internal variables is a common approach in continuum mechanics to model inelastic (i.e., non-equilibrium) material behavior. While this approach is computationally and theoretically attractive, it currently lacks a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-31 Weilun Qiu , Shenglin Huang , Celia Reina

We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

We consider numerical methods for thermodynamic sampling, i.e. computing sequences of points distributed according to the Gibbs-Boltzmann distribution, using Langevin dynamics and overdamped Langevin dynamics (Brownian dynamics). A wide…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-13 Benedict Leimkuhler , Charles Matthews , Gabriel Stoltz

We develop a path-based approach to continuous-time random walks on networks with arbitrarily weighted edges. We describe an efficient numerical algorithm for calculating statistical properties of the stochastic path ensemble. After…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-19 Michael Manhart , Alexandre V. Morozov

The rate of entropy production provides a useful quantitative measure of a non-equilibrium system and estimating it directly from time-series data from experiments is highly desirable. Several approaches have been considered for stationary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-21 Shun Otsubo , Sreekanth K Manikandan , Takahiro Sagawa , Supriya Krishnamurthy

The developing field of stochastic thermodynamics extends concepts of macroscopic thermodynamics such as entropy production and work to the microscopic level of individual trajectories taken by a system through phase space. The scheme…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-06-30 Cillian Cockrell , Ian J Ford

Biological systems encode function not primarily in steady states, but in the structure of transient responses elicited by time-varying stimuli. Overshoots, biphasic dynamics, adaptation kinetics, fold-change detection, entrainment, and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-05 Eduardo D. Sontag

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

Stochastic thermodynamics allows us to define heat and work for microscopic systems far from thermodynamic equilibrium, based on observations of their stochastic dynamics. However, a complete account of the energetics necessitates that all…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-31 Jannik Ehrich