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In the linear regression model with possibly autoregressive errors, we propose a family of nonparametric tests for regression under a nuisance autoregression. The tests avoid the estimation of nuisance parameters, in contrast to the tests…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-24 Olcay Arslan , Yesim Güney , Jana Jureckova , Yetkin Tuac

Classical and more recent tests for detecting distributional changes in multivariate time series often lack power against alternatives that involve changes in the cross-sectional dependence structure. To be able to detect such changes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic , Tom Rohmer , Johan Segers

Identification of nonlinear systems is a challenging problem. Physical knowledge of the system can be used in the identification process to significantly improve the predictive performance by restricting the space of possible mappings from…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-27 Anna Wigren , Johan Wågberg , Fredrik Lindsten , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

Simulation models of critical systems often have parameters that need to be calibrated using observed data. For expensive simulation models, calibration is done using an emulator of the simulation model built on simulation output at…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-24 Özge Sürer , Matthew Plumlee , Stefan M. Wild

Quantile regression permits describing how quantiles of a scalar response variable depend on a set of predictors. Because a unique definition of multivariate quantiles is lacking, extending quantile regression to multivariate responses is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-22 Silvia Columbu , Paolo Frumento , Matteo Bottai

We propose nonparametric open-end sequential testing procedures that can detect all types of changes in the contemporary distribution function of possibly multivariate observations. Their asymptotic properties are theoretically investigated…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-15 Mark Holmes , Ivan Kojadinovic , Alex Verhoijsen

Linear models are foundational tools in statistics and ubiquitous across the applied sciences. However, conventional statistical inference -- such as $t$-tests and $F$-tests -- are only valid at fixed sample sizes, making them unsuitable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Michael Lindon , Dae Woong Ham , Martin Tingley , Iavor Bojinov

We propose a new variable selection procedure for a functional linear model with multiple scalar responses and multiple functional predictors. This method is based on basis expansions of the involved functional predictors and coefficients…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Alban Mina Mbina , Guy Martial Nkiet

Learning-based control methods for industrial processes leverage the repetitive nature of the underlying process to learn optimal inputs for the system. While many works focus on linear systems, real-world problems involve nonlinear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-25 Samuel Balula , Efe C. Balta , Dominic Liao-McPherson , Alisa Rupenyan , John Lygeros

Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-18 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

We present Sequential Neural Likelihood (SNL), a new method for Bayesian inference in simulator models, where the likelihood is intractable but simulating data from the model is possible. SNL trains an autoregressive flow on simulated data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-23 George Papamakarios , David C. Sterratt , Iain Murray

In many applications, data are observed as matrices with temporal dependence. Matrix-variate time series modeling is a new branch of econometrics. Although stylized facts in several fields, the existing models do not account for regime…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-19 Andrea Bucci

Time delay estimation plays a critical role in control, stabilization and state estimation of many practical system with time delay. In this paper, we propose a method to estimate delay for discrete time linear multiple-input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-08 Iman Shafikhani , Hazhar Sufi Karimi , Mohammad Mohammadian , Amin Ramezani , Hamid Reza Momeni

In this paper, we propose a two-step procedure based on the group LASSO estimator in combination with a backward elimination algorithm to detect multiple structural breaks in linear regressions with multivariate responses. Applying the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-24 Karsten Schweikert

It is quite common that the structure of a time series changes abruptly. Identifying these change points and describing the model structure in the segments between these change points is of interest. In this paper, time series data is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-18 Lijing Ma , Andrew Grant , Georgy Sofronov

In this work, we consider the class of multi-state autoregressive processes that can be used to model non-stationary time-series of interest. In order to capture different autoregressive (AR) states underlying an observed time series, it is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-13 Jie Ding , Mohammad Noshad , Vahid Tarokh

Nonparametric regression models with locally stationary covariates have received increasing interest in recent years. As a nice relief of "curse of dimensionality" induced by large dimension of covariates, additive regression model is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-02 Lixia Hu , Tao Huang , Jinhong You

This paper presents a new technique for evaluating the consistency of the reference impedance in multiline thru-reflect-line (TRL) calibration. During the calibration process, it is assumed that all transmission line standards have the same…

In a variety of different settings cumulative sum (CUSUM) procedures have been applied for the sequential detection of structural breaks in the parameters of stochastic models. Yet their performance depends strongly on the time of change…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-07 Stefan Fremdt

The classical stability margin analysis based on the linearized model is widely used in practice even in nonlinear systems. Although linear analysis techniques are relatively standard and have simple implementation structures, they are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-25 Jinrui Ren , Quan Quan
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