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Given a collection of features available for inclusion in a predictive model, it may be of interest to quantify the relative importance of a subset of features for the prediction task at hand. For example, in HIV vaccine trials, participant…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-27 Charles J. Wolock , Peter B. Gilbert , Noah Simon , Marco Carone

The added value of machine learning for weather and climate applications is measurable through performance metrics, but explaining it remains challenging, particularly for large deep learning models. Inspired by climate model hierarchies,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-01-22 Tom Beucler , Arthur Grundner , Sara Shamekh , Peter Ukkonen , Matthew Chantry , Ryan Lagerquist

The formation of aerosol particles in the atmosphere impacts air quality and climate change, but many of the organic molecules involved remain unknown. Machine learning could aid in identifying these compounds through accelerated analysis…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-27 Hilda Sandström , Patrick Rinke

We develop a causal inference approach to estimate the number of adverse health events prevented by large-scale air quality regulations via changes in exposure to multiple pollutants. This approach is motivated by regulations that impact…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-23 Rachel C. Nethery , Fabrizia Mealli , Jason D. Sacks , Francesca Dominici

Spatial classification with limited feature observations has been a challenging problem in machine learning. The problem exists in applications where only a subset of sensors are deployed at certain spots or partial responses are collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Arpan Man Sainju , Wenchong He , Zhe Jiang , Da Yan , Haiquan Chen

Air pollution is a common and serious problem nowadays and it cannot be ignored as it has harmful impacts on human health. To address this issue proactively, people should be aware of their surroundings, which means the environment where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Kamaljeet Kaur Sidhu , Habeeb Balogun , Kazeem Oluwakemi Oseni

Observational studies often use linear regression to assess the effect of ambient air pollution on outcomes of interest, such as human health indicators or crop yields. Yet pollution datasets are typically noisy and include only a subset of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-08 Dan M. Kluger , David B. Lobell , Art B. Owen

Environmental sensors provide crucial data for understanding our surroundings. For example, air quality maps based on sensor readings help users make decisions to mitigate the effects of pollution on their health. Standard maps show…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Annie Preston , Kwan-Liu Ma

Air pollution remains a leading global health and environmental risk, particularly in regions vulnerable to episodic air pollution spikes due to wildfires, urban haze and dust storms. Accurate forecasting of particulate matter (PM)…

Climate change may be classified as the most important environmental problem that the Earth is currently facing, and affects all living species on Earth. Given that air-quality monitoring stations are typically ground-based their abilities…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-08 Andrew Rowley , Oktay Karakuş

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

Data collection in economically constrained countries often necessitates using approximate and biased measurements due to the low-cost of the sensors used. This leads to potentially invalid predictions and poor policies or decision making.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Michael T. Smith , Joel Ssematimba , Mauricio A. Alvarez , Engineer Bainomugisha

Airborne particulate matter (PM2.5) is a major public health concern in urban environments, where population density and emission sources exacerbate exposure risks. We present a novel Bayesian spatiotemporal fusion model to estimate monthly…

Ambient air pollution measurements from regulatory monitoring networks are routinely used to support epidemiologic studies and environmental policy decision making. However, regulatory monitors are spatially sparse and preferentially…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-02 Wenlong Gong , Brian J. Reich , Joseph Guinness

Model-form uncertainty (MFU) in assumptions made during physics-based model development is widely considered a significant source of uncertainty; however, there are limited approaches that can quantify MFU in predictions extrapolating…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Teresa Portone , Rebekah D. White , Joseph L. Hart

Air pollution significantly threatens human health and ecosystems, necessitating effective air quality prediction to inform public policy. Traditional approaches are generally categorized into physics-based and data-driven models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Jindong Tian , Yuxuan Liang , Ronghui Xu , Peng Chen , Chenjuan Guo , Aoying Zhou , Lujia Pan , Zhongwen Rao , Bin Yang

This paper reviews and advocates against the use of permute-and-predict (PaP) methods for interpreting black box functions. Methods such as the variable importance measures proposed for random forests, partial dependence plots, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-11 Giles Hooker , Lucas Mentch , Siyu Zhou

The quality of water is key for the quality of agrifood sector. Water is used in agriculture for fertigation, for animal husbandry, and in the agrifood processing industry. In the context of the progressive digitalization of this sector,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Marco Cardia , Stefano Chessa , Alessio Micheli , Antonella Giuliana Luminare , Francesca Gambineri

Risk scores are widely used for clinical decision making and commonly generated from logistic regression models. Machine-learning-based methods may work well for identifying important predictors, but such 'black box' variable selection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Yilin Ning , Siqi Li , Marcus Eng Hock Ong , Feng Xie , Bibhas Chakraborty , Daniel Shu Wei Ting , Nan Liu

Hydrogen diffusion in metals and alloys plays an important role in the discovery of new materials for fuel cell and energy storage technology. While analytic models use hand-selected features that have clear physical ties to hydrogen…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-10-30 Grace M. Lu , Matthew Witman , Sapan Agarwal , Vitalie Stavila , Dallas R. Trinkle