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Data assimilation algorithms integrate prior information from numerical model simulations with observed data. Ensemble-based filters, regarded as state-of-the-art, are widely employed for large-scale estimation tasks in disciplines such as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Iris Rammelmüller , Gottfried Hastermann , Jana de Wiljes

Data assimilation refers to the process of obtaining an estimate of a system's state using a model for the system's time evolution and a time series of measurements that are possibly noisy and incomplete. However, for practical reasons, the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Matthew Cornick , Brian Hunt , Edward Ott , Michael F. Schatz

Data assimilation combines forecasts from a numerical model with observations. Most of the current data assimilation algorithms consider the model and observation error terms as additive Gaussian noise, specified by their covariance…

In this paper we design a neural interpolation operator to improve the boundary data for regional weather models, which is a challenging problem as we are required to map multi-scale dynamics between grid resolutions. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 James Jackaman , Oliver Sutton

A real time assimilation and forecasting system for coastal currents is presented. The purpose of the system is to deliver current analyses and forecasts based on assimilation of high frequency radar surface current measurements. The local…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-10-01 Øyvind Breivik , Øyvind Saetra

While the formulation of most data assimilation schemes assumes an unbiased observation model error, in real applications, model error with nontrivial biases is unavoidable. A practical example is the error in the radiative transfer model…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-17 John Harlim , Tyrus Berry

Accurate marine wind forecasts are essential for safe navigation, ship routing, and energy operations, yet they remain challenging because observations over the ocean are sparse, heterogeneous, and temporally variable. We reformulate wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Matteo Peduto , Qidong Yang , Jonathan Giezendanner , Devis Tuia , Sherrie Wang

Variational data assimilation is a technique for combining measured data with dynamical models. It is a key component of Earth system state estimation and is commonly used in weather and ocean forecasting. The approach involves a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-30 I. Daužickaitė , M. A. Freitag , S. Gürol , A. S. Lawless , A. Ramage , J. A. Scott , J. M. Tabeart

Reliable wall-to-wall biomass density estimation from NASA's GEDI mission requires interpolating sparse LIDAR observations across heterogeneous landscapes. While machine learning approaches like Random Forest and XGBoost are widely used,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Robin Young , Srinivasan Keshav

We present a convolution-based data assimilation method tailored to neuronal electrophysiology, addressing the limitations of traditional value-based synchronization approaches. While conventional methods rely on nudging terms and pointwise…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-16 Dawei Li , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

As an alternative to either directly assimilating radiances or the naive use of retrieved profiles (of temperature, humidity, aerosols, and chemical species), a strategy is described that makes use of the so-called averaging kernel (AK) and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-08-09 Ross N. Hoffman

Machine learning (ML)-based weather models have recently undergone rapid improvements. These models are typically trained on gridded reanalysis data from numerical data assimilation systems. However, reanalysis data comes with limitations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Jonas Scholz , Tom R. Andersson , Anna Vaughan , James Requeima , Richard E. Turner

Recent studies have demonstrated improved skill in numerical weather prediction via the use of spatially correlated observation error covariance information in data assimilation systems. In this case, the observation weighting matrices…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-05 Guannan Hu , Sarah L. Dance

The use of data assimilation technique to identify optimal topography is discussed in frames of time-dependent motion governed by non-linear barotropic ocean model. Assimilation of artificially generated data allows to measure the influence…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-12-08 Eugene Kazantsev

Accurate weather and climate prediction relies on data assimilation (DA), which estimates the Earth system state by integrating observations with models. While exascale computing has significantly advanced earth simulation, scalable and…

Data assimilation leads naturally to a Bayesian formulation in which the posterior probability distribution of the system state, given the observations, plays a central conceptual role. The aim of this paper is to use this Bayesian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-01 K. J. H. Law , A. M. Stuart

Neural Processes (NPs) (Garnelo et al 2018a;b) approach regression by learning to map a context set of observed input-output pairs to a distribution over regression functions. Each function models the distribution of the output given an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-10 Hyunjik Kim , Andriy Mnih , Jonathan Schwarz , Marta Garnelo , Ali Eslami , Dan Rosenbaum , Oriol Vinyals , Yee Whye Teh

Many dynamical systems are difficult or impossible to model using high fidelity physics based models. Consequently, researchers are relying more on data driven models to make predictions and forecasts. Based on limited training data,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-09 Max M. Chumley , Firas A. Khasawneh

In this work we consider a model problem of deep neural learning, namely the learning of a given function when it is assumed that we have access to its point values on a finite set of points. The deep neural network interpolant is the the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-27 Michail Loulakis , Charalambos G. Makridakis

How will the climate system respond to anthropogenic forcings? One approach to this question relies on climate model projections. Current climate projections are considerably uncertain. Characterizing and, if possible, reducing this…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-01 Won Chang , Murali Haran , Roman Olson , Klaus Keller
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