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Related papers: Spatiotemporal evolution of PM2.5 diffusion in Che…

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The global spread of the COVID-19 pandemic has followed complex pathways, largely attributed to the high virus infectivity, human travel patterns, and the implementation of multiple mitigation measures. The resulting geographic patterns…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-29 Troy McMahon , Adrian Chan , Shlomo Havlin , Lazaros K. Gallos

Mathematical models in ecology and epidemiology must be consistent with observed data in order to generate reliable knowledge and evidence-based policy. Metapopulation systems, which consist of a network of connected sub-populations, pose…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-07 Jifan Li , Edward L. Ionides , Aaron A. King , Mercedes Pascual , Ning Ning

Elevated levels of PM10 are known to cause severe respiratory and cardiovascular diseases, and, in extreme cases, cancer and mortality. Despite various reduction policies implemented across different sectors, PM10 concentrations in South…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-21 Soyun Jeon , Jungsoon Choi

Urban pollution poses serious health risks, particularly in relation to traffic-related air pollution, which remains a major concern in many cities. Vehicle emissions contribute to respiratory and cardiovascular issues, especially for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Sen Yan , David J. O'Connor , Xiaojun Wang , Noel E. O'Connor , Alan F. Smeaton , Mingming Liu

Air pollution remains one of the most formidable environmental threats to human health globally, particularly in urban areas, contributing to nearly 7 million premature deaths annually. Megacities, defined as cities with populations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Harun Khan , Joseph Tso , Nathan Nguyen , Nivaan Kaushal , Ansh Malhotra , Nayel Rehman

The considerable cessation of human activities during the COVID-19 pandemic has affected global energy use and CO2 emissions. Here we show the unprecedented decrease in global fossil CO2 emissions from January to April 2020 was of 7.8% (938…

We propose TopoFlow (Topography-aware pollutant Flow learning), a physics-guided neural network for efficient, high-resolution air quality prediction. To explicitly embed physical processes into the learning framework, we identify two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Ammar Kheder , Helmi Toropainen , Wenqing Peng , Samuel Antão , Jia Chen , Michael Boy , Zhi-Song Liu

Estimating health benefits of reducing fossil fuel use from improved air quality provides important rationales for carbon emissions abatement. Simulating pollution concentration is a crucial step of the estimation, but traditional…

General Economics · Economics 2021-06-01 Da Zhang , Qingyi Wang , Shaojie Song , Simiao Chen , Mingwei Li , Lu Shen , Siqi Zheng , Bofeng Cai , Shenhao Wang

Laboratory experiments have shown that cardiovascular diseases are positively correlated to the concentration of ambient air pollutants, such as SO2, NO2, PM10, etc. It has also been repeatedly reported in many countries that increased…

Applications · Statistics 2013-08-08 Menghui Li , Dasheng Luo , Chenghua Cao , Xiaochuan Pan , Qixin Wang

Forest fires impact on soil, water and biota resources has been widely researched. Although forest fires profoundly impact the atmosphere and air quality across the ecosystems, much less research has been developed to examine its impact on…

We propose an epidemiological model that includes the mobility patterns of the individuals, in the spirit to those considered in (Barmak, 2011, 2016) and (Medus, 2011). We assume that people move around in a city of 120x120 blocks with 300…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-08 Fernando E. Cornes , Guillermo A. Frank , Claudio O. Dorso

We analyze the patterns of traffic jams in urban networks of five large cities and an urban agglomeration region in China using real data based on a recently developed jam tree model. This model focuses on the way traffic jams spread…

To reduce the impact of COVID-19 pandemic most countries have implemented several counter-measures to control the virus spread including school and border closing, shutting down public transport and workplace and restrictions on gathering.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Ahmed Ben Said , Abdelkarim Erradi , Hussein Aly , Abdelmonem Mohamed

Understanding the spatio-temporal patterns of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is essential to construct public health interventions. Spatially referenced data can provide richer opportunities to understand the mechanism of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-15 Jaewoo Park , Seorim Yi , Won Chang , Jorge Mateu

This study examines the effectiveness of regional lockdown strategies in mitigating pathogen spread across regional units, termed cities hereinafter. We develop simplified models to analyze infection spread across cities within a country…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-30 Viktor Bezborodov , Tyll Krueger , Cornelia Pokalyuk , Piotr Szymański , Aurélien Velleret

Many studies have proposed a relationship between COVID-19 transmissibility and ambient pollution levels. However, a major limitation in establishing such associations is to adequately account for complex disease dynamics, influenced by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-07 Ognjen Milicevic , Igor Salom , Andjela Rodic , Sofija Markovic , Marko Tumbas , Dusan Zigic , Magdalena Djordjevic , Marko Djordjevic

Motile organisms can form stable agglomerates such as cities or colonies. In the outbreak of a highly contagious disease, the control of large-scale epidemic spread depends on factors like the number and size of agglomerates, travel rate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-03 Pablo de Castro , Felipe Urbina , Ariel Norambuena , Francisca Guzmán-Lastra

This study explored how population mobility flows form commuting networks across US counties and influence the spread of COVID-19. We utilized 3-level mixed effects negative binomial regression models to estimate the impact of network…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-16 Christopher Seto , Aria Khademi , Corina Graif , Vasant G. Honavar

The increasing urbanization process we have been witnessing in the last decades is accompanied by a significant increase in traffic congestion in cities around the world. The effect of the congestion is represented in the enormous time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-01 Nimrod Serok , Shlomo Havlin , Efrat Blumenfeld Lieberthal

The COVID-19 pandemic reshaped human mobility through policy interventions and voluntary behavioral changes. Mobility adaptions helped mitigate pandemic spread, however our knowledge which environmental, social, and demographic factors…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-30 Sydney Paltra , Jonas Dehning , Viola Priesemann , Kai Nagel