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Portfolio construction traditionally relies on separately estimating expected returns and covariance matrices using historical statistics, often leading to suboptimal allocation under time-varying market conditions. This paper proposes a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-23 Keonvin Park

We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

This paper proposes a machine learning assisted portfolio optimization framework designed for low data environments and regime uncertainty. We construct a teacher student learning pipeline in which a Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Adhiraj Chattopadhyay

We introduce a novel approach to portfolio optimization that leverages hierarchical graph structures and the Schur complement method to systematically reduce computational complexity while preserving full covariance information. Inspired by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-18 Gamal Mograby

This paper proposes control approaches for discrete-time linear systems subject to stochastic disturbances. It employs Kalman filter to estimate the mean and covariance of the state propagation, and the worst-case conditional value-at-risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Masako Kishida

Ensuring the safety of neural networks under input uncertainty is a fundamental challenge in safety-critical applications. This paper builds on and expands Fazlyab's quadratic-constraint (QC) and semidefinite-programming (SDP) framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Masako Kishida

We study the problem of incorporating risk while making combinatorial decisions under uncertainty. We formulate a discrete submodular maximization problem for selecting a set using Conditional-Value-at-Risk (CVaR), a risk metric commonly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Lifeng Zhou , Pratap Tokekar

Fan et al. [$\mathit{Annals}$ $\mathit{of}$ $\mathit{Statistics}$ $\textbf{47}$(6) (2019) 3009-3031] constructed a distributed principal component analysis (PCA) algorithm to reduce the communication cost between multiple servers…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Kangqiang Li , Han Bao , Lixin Zhang

We first study the properties of solutions of quadratic programs with linear equality constraints whose parameters are estimated from data in the high-dimensional setting where p, the number of variables in the problem, is of the same order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-14 Noureddine El Karoui

Optimizing risk measures such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) of a general loss distribution is usually difficult, because 1) the loss function might lack structural properties such as convexity or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-03 Helin Zhu , Joshua Hale , Enlu Zhou

Robust optimization is a tractable and expressive technique for decision-making under uncertainty, but it can lead to overly conservative decisions when pessimistic assumptions are made on the uncertain parameters. Wasserstein…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Irina Wang , Cole Becker , Bart Van Parys , Bartolomeo Stellato

Basel II and Solvency 2 both use the Value-at-Risk (VaR) as the risk measure to compute the Capital Requirements. In practice, to calibrate the VaR, a normal approximation is often chosen for the unknown distribution of the yearly log…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-04 Marie Kratz

The state-of-the-art methods for estimating high-dimensional covariance matrices all shrink the eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix towards a data-insensitive shrinkage target. The underlying shrinkage transformation is either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Man-Chung Yue , Yves Rychener , Daniel Kuhn , Viet Anh Nguyen

This paper tackles the problem of robust covariance matrix estimation when the data is incomplete. Classical statistical estimation methodologies are usually built upon the Gaussian assumption, whereas existing robust estimation ones assume…

Robust optimization provides a principled framework for decision-making under uncertainty, with broad applications in finance, engineering, and operations research. In portfolio optimization, uncertainty in expected returns and covariances…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Grover Guzman , Nick Firoozye

In the paper, we consider three quadratic optimization problems which are frequently applied in portfolio theory, i.e, the Markowitz mean-variance problem as well as the problems based on the mean-variance utility function and the quadratic…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-13 Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

The portfolio optimisation problem, first raised by Harry Markowitz in 1952, has been a fundamental and central topic to understanding the stock market and making decisions. There has been plenty of works contributing to development of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Xiang Meng

This paper is concerned with optimizing the global minimum-variance portfolio's (GMVP) weights in high-dimensional settings where both observation and population dimensions grow at a bounded ratio. Optimizing the GMVP weights is highly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-13 Maaz Mahadi , Tarig Ballal , Muhammad Moinuddin , Tareq Y. Al-Naffouri , Ubaid Al-Saggaf

We consider the problem of constructing a least conservative estimator of the expected value $\mu$ of a non-negative heavy-tailed random variable. We require that the probability of overestimating the expected value $\mu$ is kept…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Bart P. G. van Parys , Bert Zwart

This paper studies the multi-period mean-variance portfolio allocation problem with transaction costs. Many methods have been proposed these last years to challenge the famous uni-period Markowitz strategy.But these methods cannot integrate…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-21 Areski Cousin , Jérôme Lelong , Tom Picard