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This paper introduces a multi-timescale stochastic programming framework designed to address decision-making challenges in power systems, particularly those with high renewable energy penetration. The framework models interactions across…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Yihang Zhang , Suvrajeet Sen

Accurate electrical load forecasting is crucial for optimizing power system operations, planning, and management. As power systems become increasingly complex, traditional forecasting methods may fail to capture the intricate patterns and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-26 Elias Raffoul , Mingjian Tuo , Cunzhi Zhao , Tianxia Zhao , Meng Ling , Xingpeng Li

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks are often used to capture temporal dependency patterns. By stacking multi-layer LSTM networks, it can capture even more complex patterns. This paper explores the effectiveness of applying stacked LSTM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Frank Xiao

Accurate time-series forecasting is increasingly critical for planning and operations in low-carbon power systems. Emerging time-series large language models (TS-LLMs) now deliver this capability at scale, requiring no task-specific…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Hua Ma , Ruoxi Sun , Minhui Xue , Xingliang Yuan , Carsten Rudolph , Surya Nepal , Ling Liu

This paper improves wind power prediction via weather forecast-contextualized Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM) models. Initially, only wind power data was fed to a generic LSTM, but this model performed poorly, with erratic and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-06 Maximilian Du

Predictive business process monitoring (PBPM) aims to predict future process behavior during ongoing process executions based on event log data. Especially, techniques for the next activity and timestamp prediction can help to improve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 An Nguyen , Srijeet Chatterjee , Sven Weinzierl , Leo Schwinn , Martin Matzner , Bjoern Eskofier

This paper analyzes the stability-related properties of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks and investigates their use as the model of the plant in the design of Model Predictive Controllers (MPC). First, sufficient conditions…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-31 Enrico Terzi , Fabio Bonassi , Marcello Farina , Riccardo Scattolini

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

This paper presents an approach to improve the forecast of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations of urban air pollution using deep learning, and most specifically adversarial training. This adversarial approach aims to reduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-19 César Quilodrán-Casas , Rossella Arcucci , Laetitia Mottet , Yike Guo , Christopher Pain

Electric energy is difficult to store, requiring stricter control over its generation, transmission, and distribution. A persistent challenge in power systems is maintaining real-time equilibrium between electricity demand and supply.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Aurausp Maneshni

When evaluating quantities of interest that depend on the solutions to differential equations, we inevitably face the trade-off between accuracy and efficiency. Especially for parametrized, time dependent problems in engineering…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Paolo Conti , Mengwu Guo , Andrea Manzoni , Jan S. Hesthaven

A study on power market price forecasting by deep learning is presented. As one of the most successful deep learning frameworks, the LSTM (Long short-term memory) neural network is utilized. The hourly prices data from the New England and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Yongli Zhu , Songtao Lu , Renchang Dai , Guangyi Liu , Zhiwei Wang

Accurate electricity forecasting is crucial for grid stability and energy planning, especially in Benghazi, Libya, where frequent load shedding, generation deficits, and infrastructure limitations persist. This study proposes a data-driven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Asma Agaal , Mansour Essgaer , Hend M. Farkash , Zulaiha Ali Othman

While the advanced machine learning algorithms are effective in load forecasting, they often suffer from low data utilization, and hence their superior performance relies on massive datasets. This motivates us to design machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Qiyuan Wang , Zhihui Chen , Chenye Wu

With the evolution of power systems as it is becoming more intelligent and interactive system while increasing in flexibility with a larger penetration of renewable energy sources, demand prediction on a short-term resolution will…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Saad Emshagin , Wayes Koroni Halim , Rasha Kashef

Accurate EV power estimation underpins range prediction and energy management, yet practitioners need both point accuracy and trustworthy uncertainty. We propose an anchored-ensemble Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) with a Student-t likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Ghazal Farhani , Taufiq Rahman , Kieran Humphries

Estimating value-at-risk on time series data with possibly heteroscedastic dynamics is a highly challenging task. Typically, we face a small data problem in combination with a high degree of non-linearity, causing difficulties for both…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-22 Weronika Ormaniec , Marcin Pitera , Sajad Safarveisi , Thorsten Schmidt

Long Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTMs) have been applied to daily discharge prediction with remarkable success. Many practical scenarios, however, require predictions at more granular timescales. For instance, accurate prediction of short…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Martin Gauch , Frederik Kratzert , Daniel Klotz , Grey Nearing , Jimmy Lin , Sepp Hochreiter

Prediction models are crucial in the stock market as they aid in forecasting future prices and trends, enabling investors to make informed decisions and manage risks more effectively. In the Indian stock market, where volatility is often…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-24 Omkar Oak , Rukmini Nazre , Rujuta Budke , Yogita Mahatekar

The smart metering infrastructure has changed how electricity is measured in both residential and industrial application. The large amount of data collected by smart meter per day provides a huge potential for analytics to support the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Nameer Al Khafaf , Mahdi Jalili , Peter Sokolowski