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We propose a Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Neural Hawkes Process for modeling complex multivariate event data with spatio-temporal dynamics. The proposed model extends continuous-time neural Hawkes processes by integrating spatial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Christopher Chukwuemeka , Hojun You , Mikyoung Jun

One of the primary aspects of sustainable development involves accurate understanding and modeling of environmental phenomena. Many of these phenomena exhibit variations in both space and time and it is imperative to develop a deeper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-30 Sahil Garg , Amarjeet Singh , Fabio Ramos

The importance of modelling temperature fields goes beyond the need to understand a region's climate and serves too as a starting point for understanding their socioeconomic, and health consequences. The topography of the study region…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-05 Camila M. Casquilho-Resende , Nhu D. Le , James V. Zidek

In this article, it is described how to use statistical data analysis to obtain models directly from data. The focus is put on finding nonlinearities within a generalized additive model. These models are found by the means of backfitting…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Abel

State-space systems encompass a broad class of algorithms used for modeling and forecasting time series. For such systems to be effective, two objectives must be met: (i) accurate point forecasts of the time series must be produced, and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-12 James Murray Louw , Juan-Pablo Ortega

We present a novel Neural Embedding Spatio-Temporal (NEST) point process model for spatio-temporal discrete event data and develop an efficient imitation learning (a type of reinforcement learning) based approach for model fitting. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Shixiang Zhu , Shuang Li , Zhigang Peng , Yao Xie

Differential equations are a ubiquitous tool to study dynamics, ranging from physical systems to complex systems, where a large number of agents interact through a graph with non-trivial topological features. Data-driven approximations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-26 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Closure modeling - the statistical modeling of missing dynamics in the natural sciences and engineering - is a growing and active area of research. Existing methods for closure modeling are often computationally prohibitive, lack…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Eric Crislip , Mohammad Khalil , Teresa Portone , Oksana Chkrebtii , Kyle Neal

This paper concerns the data-driven sensor deployment problem in large spatiotemporal fields. Traditionally, sensor deployment strategies have been heavily dependent on model-based planning approaches. However, model-based approaches do not…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-04 Jiahong Chen

1. Spatial memory plays a role in the way animals perceive their environments, resulting in memory-informed movement patterns that are observable to ecologists. Developing mathematical techniques to understand how animals use memory in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-17 Peter R. Thompson , Andrew E. Derocher , Mark A. Edwards , Mark A. Lewis

State-space models (SSMs) offer a powerful framework for dynamical system analysis, wherein the temporal dynamics of the system are assumed to be captured through the evolution of the latent states, which govern the values of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

Understanding and predicting microstructure evolution is fundamental to materials science, as it governs the resulting properties and performance of materials. Traditional simulation methods, such as phase-field models, offer high-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Michael Trimboli , Mohammed Alsubaie , Sirani M. Perera , Ke-Gang Wang , Xianqi Li

We develop an approach to learn an interpretable semi-parametric model of a latent continuous-time stochastic dynamical system, assuming noisy high-dimensional outputs sampled at uneven times. The dynamics are described by a nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-13 Lea Duncker , Gergo Bohner , Julien Boussard , Maneesh Sahani

Spatio-temporal (ST) data, which represent multiple time series data corresponding to different spatial locations, are ubiquitous in real-world dynamic systems, such as air quality readings. Forecasting over ST data is of great importance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-01 Zheyi Pan , Yuxuan Liang , Junbo Zhang , Xiuwen Yi , Yong Yu , Yu Zheng

Natural spatiotemporal processes can be highly non-stationary in many ways, e.g. the low-level non-stationarity such as spatial correlations or temporal dependencies of local pixel values; and the high-level variations such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Yunbo Wang , Jianjin Zhang , Hongyu Zhu , Mingsheng Long , Jianmin Wang , Philip S Yu

Dynamical systems are ubiquitous within science and engineering, from turbulent flow across aircraft wings to structural variability of proteins. Although some systems are well understood and simulated, scientific imaging often confronts…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Ali SaraerToosi , Renbo Tu , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli , Aviad Levis

We consider the problem of modeling the dynamics of continuous spatial-temporal processes represented by irregular samples through both space and time. Such processes occur in sensor networks, citizen science, multi-robot systems, and many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Erich Merrill , Stefan Lee , Li Fuxin , Thomas G. Dietterich , Alan Fern

Understanding the dynamics of spatially extended systems represents a challenge in diverse scientific disciplines, ranging from physics and mathematics to the earth and climate sciences or the neurosciences. This challenge has stimulated…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-08-06 S. Bialonski

The identification and modeling of time-varying systems is a fundamental challenge in signal processing and system identification. To address this challenge, we propose a class of time-varying state-space model (SSM) based neural networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Sanja Karilanova , Subhrakanti Dey , Ayça Özçelikkale

Neural signals are characterized by rich temporal and spatiotemporal dynamics that reflect the organization of cortical networks. Theoretical research has shown how neural networks can operate at different dynamic ranges that correspond to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-05 Luca Ambrogioni , Marcel A. J. van Gerven , Eric Maris