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Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Axel Martin , Michele Santacatterina , Iván Díaz

We propose the convex factorization machine (CFM), which is a convex variant of the widely used Factorization Machines (FMs). Specifically, we employ a linear+quadratic model and regularize the linear term with the $\ell_2$-regularizer and…

Collaborative filtering is one of the most popular techniques in designing recommendation systems, and its most representative model, matrix factorization, has been wildly used by researchers and the industry. However, this model suffers…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Yixin Su , Sarah Monazam Erfani , Rui Zhang

This paper considers an approximate dynamic matrix factor model that accounts for the time series nature of the data by explicitly modelling the time evolution of the factors. We study estimation of the model parameters based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Matteo Barigozzi , Luca Trapin

Many existing mortality models follow the framework of classical factor models, such as the Lee-Carter model and its variants. Latent common factors in factor models are defined as time-related mortality indices (such as $\kappa_t$ in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-04 Lingyu He , Fei Huang , Jianjie Shi , Yanrong Yang

Multivariate dynamic time series models are widely encountered in practical studies, e.g., modelling policy transmission mechanism and measuring connectedness between economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper proposes a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-06 Yayi Yan , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

This paper investigates the role of high-dimensional information sets in the context of Markov switching models with time varying transition probabilities. Markov switching models are commonly employed in empirical macroeconomic research…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-07 Gregor Zens , Maximilian Böck

Matrix factorization is a powerful data analysis tool. It has been used in multivariate time series analysis, leading to the decomposition of the series in a small set of latent factors. However, little is known on the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Pierre Alquier , Nicolas Marie

Matrix factorization is a fundamental method in statistics and machine learning for inferring and summarizing structure in multivariate data. Modern data sets often come with "side information" of various forms (images, text, graphs) that…

The purpose of this article is to develop the dimension reduction techniques in panel data analysis when the number of individuals and indicators is large. We use Principal Component Analysis (PCA) method to represent large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-10 Guobin Fang , Kani Chen , Bo Zhang

Matrix regression plays an important role in modern data analysis due to its ability to handle complex relationships involving both matrix and vector variables. We propose a class of regularized regression models capable of predicting both…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Meixia Lin , Ziyang Zeng , Yangjing Zhang

One-step generative modeling seeks to generate high-quality data samples in a single function evaluation, significantly improving efficiency over traditional diffusion or flow-based models. In this work, we introduce Modular MeanFlow (MMF),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Haochen You , Baojing Liu , Hongyang He

A novel deep neural network framework -- that we refer to as Deep Dynamic Factor Model (D$^2$FM) --, is able to encode the information available, from hundreds of macroeconomic and financial time-series into a handful of unobserved latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-23 Paolo Andreini , Cosimo Izzo , Giovanni Ricco

Time series foundation models (FMs) have emerged as a popular paradigm for zero-shot multi-domain forecasting. These models are trained on numerous diverse datasets and claim to be effective forecasters across multiple different time series…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-19 Anubha Goel , Puneet Pasricha , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen

Common Method Variance (CMV) is a recurring problem that reduces survey accuracy. Popular fixes such as the Harman single-factor test, correlated uniquenesses, common latent factor models, and marker variable approaches have well known…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Murat Yaslioglu

The Matrix Element Method (MEM) is a powerful method to extract information from measured events at collider experiments. Compared to multivariate techniques built on large sets of experimental data, the MEM does not rely on an…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2021-04-07 Florian Bury , Christophe Delaere

Random effects are a flexible addition to statistical models to capture structural heterogeneity in the data, such as spatial dependencies, individual differences, temporal dependencies, or non-linear effects. Testing for the presence (or…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-21 Fabio Vieira , Hongwei Zhao , Joris Mulder

We propose a unified framework to speed up the existing stochastic matrix factorization (SMF) algorithms via variance reduction. Our framework is general and it subsumes several well-known SMF formulations in the literature. We perform a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-23 Renbo Zhao , William B. Haskell , Jiashi Feng

Matrix factorization (MF) is extensively used to mine the user preference from explicit ratings in recommender systems. However, the reliability of explicit ratings is not always consistent, because many factors may affect the user's final…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-06-25 Zhipeng Wu , Hui Tian , Xuzhen Zhu , Shuo Wang

The evaluation of a matrix exponential function is a classic problem of computational linear algebra. Many different methods have been employed for its numerical evaluation [Moler C and van Loan C 1978 SIAM Review 20 4], none of which…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2008-11-18 D H Gebremedhin , C A Weatherford , X Zhang , A Wynn , G Tanaka