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Solar cycle activity forecasting, mainly its magnitude and timing, is an essential issue for numerous scientific and technological applications: in fact, during an active solar period, many strong eruptions occur on the Sun with increasing…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-01 Stefano Sello

Understanding how sea ice melts is critical to climate projections. In the Arctic, melt ponds that develop on the surface of sea ice floes during the late spring and summer largely determine their albedo -- a key parameter in climate…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2017-11-28 Ivan Sudakov , Sergey A. Vakulenko , Kenneth M. Golden

The ice-albedo feedback is a potentially important de-stabilizing effect for the climate of terrestrial planets. It is based on the positive feedback between decreasing surface temperatures, an increase of snow and ice cover and an…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 P. von Paris , F. Selsis , D. Kitzmann , H. Rauer

We propose a scenario that explains many of the Pacific Ocean climate phenomena that are called El Nino/ La Nina. This scenario requires an event, which we call a Super-Nino Event. It dominates other phenomena when it occurs. A template of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 David H. Douglass , Drew R. Abrams , David M. Baranson , B. David Clader

A high-resolution wave climate projection for the northwestern Atlantic Ocean has been conducted to help assess possible regional impacts due to global climate change. The spectral wave model NOAA WAVEWATCH III is utilized with three…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-07-10 Adrean Webb , Tomoya Shimura , Nobuhito Mori

With the onset of climate change and the increasing need for effective policies, a multilateral approach is needed to make an impact on the growing threats facing the environment. Through the use of systematic analysis by way of C-ROADS and…

General Economics · Economics 2023-11-08 Iveena Mukherjee

The results of an analysis of temperature variations in the mesopause region based on long-term measurements of hydroxyl airglow at the Zvenigorod Scientific Station of the A.M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS (ZSS IAP RAS) in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-09 I. I. Mokhov , I. A. Fomina , V. I. Perminov

The strength of mid-latitude storm tracks shapes weather and climate phenomena in the extra-tropics, as these storm tracks control the daily to multi-decadal variability of precipitation, temperature and winds. By the end of this century,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-03 Rei Chemke , Yi Ming , Janni Yuval

Rapid changes in climatic conditions threaten both socioeconomic and ecological systems, as these might not be able to adapt or to migrate at the same pace as that of global warming. In particular, an increase of weather and climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-14 Joan Rey , Guillaume Rohat , Marjorie Perroud , Stéphane Goyette , Jérôme Kasparian

[Abridged] If both the day-side and night-side effective temperatures of a planet can be measured, it is possible to estimate its Bond albedo, 0<A_B<1, as well as its day-night heat redistribution efficiency, 0<epsilon<1. We attempt a…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2011-02-14 Nicolas B. Cowan , Eric Agol

The Sun was fainter when the Earth was young, but the climate was generally at least as warm as today; this is known as the `faint young Sun paradox'. Rosing et al. [1] claim that the paradox can be resolved by making the early Earth's…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2011-05-31 Colin Goldblatt , Kevin J. Zahnle

This paper explores the potential of a hybrid modeling approach that combines machine learning (ML) with conventional physics-based modeling for weather prediction beyond the medium range. It extends the work of Arcomano et al. (2022),…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-28 Dhruvit Patel , Troy Arcomano , Brian Hunt , Istvan Szunyogh , Edward Ott

Recent analyses indicate that the amount of atmospheric CO2 required to cause dangerous climate change is at most 450 ppm, and likely less than that. Reductions of non-CO2 climate forcings can provide only moderate, albeit important,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-06-27 J. Hansen

Estimating historical evapotranspiration (ET) is essential for understanding the effects of climate change and human activities on the water cycle. This study used historical weather station data to reconstruct ET trends over the past 300…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-25 Haiyang Shi

Structure in the Universe grew through gravitational instability from very smooth initial conditions. Energy conservation requires that the growing negative potential energy of these structures is balanced by an increase in kinetic energy.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2010-02-17 Adam Moss , Douglas Scott

The thermodynamic approach shows that the total energy produced by humanity disrupts the thermal balance of the planet and causes counteraction, that is, climate change, which can slow down the progress of civilization. This outcome not…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-08 Vladimir Kh. Dobruskin

El Ni\~no episodes are part of the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which is the strongest driver of interannual climate variability, and can trigger extreme weather events and disasters in various parts of the globe. Previously we…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-04 A. Bunde , J. Ludescher , H. J. Schellnhuber

We study, by using a wavelet decomposition methodology, the solar signature on global surface temperature data using the ACRIM total solar irradiance satellite composite by Willson and Mordvinov. These data present a +0.047%/decade trend…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-05-31 Nicola Scafetta , Bruce J. West

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant driver of interannual global climate variability and can lead to extreme weather events such as droughts or flooding. Recently, we have developed several statistical approaches for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-17 Josef Ludescher , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan , Armin Bunde , Hans Joachim Schellnhuber

There has been intense debate about the causes of the 1997-1998 El Nino. One side sees the obvious intense westerly wind events as the main cause for the exceptional heating in summer 1997, the other emphasizes slower oceanic processes. We…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 Geert Jan van Oldenborgh
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