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We propose a novel multi-task neural network approach for estimating distributional treatment effects (DTE) in randomized experiments. While DTE provides more granular insights into the experiment outcomes over conventional methods focusing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Tomu Hirata , Undral Byambadalai , Tatsushi Oka , Shota Yasui , Shingo Uto

The rise of 5G/6G network technologies promises to enable applications like autonomous vehicles and virtual reality, resulting in a significant increase in connected devices and necessarily complicating network management. Even worse, these…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Blessed Guda , Carlee Joe-Wong

Estimating accurate and well-calibrated predictive uncertainty is important for enhancing the reliability of computer vision models, especially in safety-critical applications like traffic scene perception. While ensemble methods are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-08 Svetlana Pavlitska , Beyza Keskin , Alwin Faßbender , Christian Hubschneider , J. Marius Zöllner

Imbalanced data distribution remains a critical challenge in sequential learning, leading models to easily recognize frequent categories while failing to detect minority classes adequately. The Mixture-of-Experts model offers a scalable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Ye Wang , Zixuan Wu , Lifeng Shen , Jiang Xie , Xiaoling Wang , Hong Yu , Guoyin Wang

Reliable uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks is very crucial in safety-critical applications such as automated driving for trustworthy and informed decision-making. Assessing the quality of uncertainty estimates is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Neslihan Kose , Ranganath Krishnan , Akash Dhamasia , Omesh Tickoo , Michael Paulitsch

Deep Ensembles (DE) are a prominent approach for achieving excellent performance on key metrics such as accuracy, calibration, uncertainty estimation, and out-of-distribution detection. However, hardware limitations of real-world systems…

Training multiple deep neural networks (DNNs) and averaging their outputs is a simple way to improve the predictive performance. Nevertheless, the multiplied training cost prevents this ensemble method to be practical and efficient. Several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Feng Wang , Guoyizhe Wei , Qiao Liu , Jinxiang Ou , Xian Wei , Hairong Lv

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs), despite their tremendous success in recent years, could still cast doubts on their predictions due to the intrinsic uncertainty associated with their learning process. Ensemble techniques and post-hoc…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Chunwei Ma , Ziyun Huang , Jiayi Xian , Mingchen Gao , Jinhui Xu

Delivering meaningful uncertainty estimates is essential for a successful deployment of machine learning models in the clinical practice. A central aspect of uncertainty quantification is the ability of a model to return predictions that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-03 Adrian Galdran , Johan Verjans , Gustavo Carneiro , Miguel A. González Ballester

Accurate trajectory forecasting is crucial for the performance of various systems, such as advanced driver-assistance systems and self-driving vehicles. These forecasts allow us to anticipate events that lead to collisions and, therefore,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Adrien Lafage , Mathieu Barbier , Gianni Franchi , David Filliat

Traffic forecasting is vital for Intelligent Transportation Systems, for which Machine Learning (ML) methods have been extensively explored to develop data-driven Artificial Intelligence (AI) solutions. Recent research focuses on modelling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Xiao Zheng , Saeed Asadi Bagloee , Majid Sarvi

In recent years, deep learning techniques have been introduced into the field of trajectory optimization to improve convergence and speed. Training such models requires large trajectory datasets. However, the convergence of low thrust (LT)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-11 Ruida Xie , Andrew G. Dempster

Traditional textile factories consume substantial energy, making energy-efficient production optimization crucial for sustainability and cost reduction. Meanwhile, deep neural networks (DNNs), which are effective for factory output…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Yan-Chen Chen , Wei-Yu Chiu , Qun-Yu Wang , Jing-Wei Chen , Hao-Ting Zhao

Many current autonomous systems are being designed with a strong reliance on black box predictions from deep neural networks (DNNs). However, DNNs tend to be overconfident in predictions on unseen data and can give unpredictable results for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Björn Lütjens , Michael Everett , Jonathan P. How

Accurate Travel Time Estimation (TTE) is critical for ride-hailing platforms, where errors directly impact user experience and operational efficiency. While existing production systems excel at holistic route-level dependency modeling, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Wenzhao Jiang , Jindong Han , Ruiqian Han , Hao Liu

Modern deep neural networks can produce badly calibrated predictions, especially when train and test distributions are mismatched. Training an ensemble of models and averaging their predictions can help alleviate these issues. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Asa Cooper Stickland , Iain Murray

Ensemble forecasting is, so far, the most successful approach to produce relevant forecasts with an estimation of their uncertainty. The main limitations of ensemble forecasting are the high computational cost and the difficulty to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Juan J. Ruiz , Manuel Pulido , Pierre Tandeo

This study aims to comprehensively investigate the deep ensemble approach, an approximate Bayesian inference, in the multi-output regression task for predicting the aerodynamic performance of a missile configuration. To this end, the effect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Sunwoong Yang , Kwanjung Yee

Ensembles improve prediction performance and allow uncertainty quantification by aggregating predictions from multiple models. In deep ensembling, the individual models are usually black box neural networks, or recently, partially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-26 Lucas Kook , Andrea Götschi , Philipp FM Baumann , Torsten Hothorn , Beate Sick

Albeit revealing impressive predictive performance for several computer vision tasks, deep neural networks (DNNs) are prone to making overconfident predictions. This limits the adoption and wider utilization of DNNs in many safety-critical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Muhammad Akhtar Munir , Salman Khan , Muhammad Haris Khan , Mohsen Ali , Fahad Shahbaz Khan