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In the paper, we present a strategy for accelerating posterior inference for unknown inputs in time fractional diffusion models. In many inference problems, the posterior may be concentrated in a small portion of the entire prior support.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-03 Lijian Jiang , Na Ou

This article presents new methodology for sample-based Bayesian inference when data are partitioned and communication between the parts is expensive, as arises by necessity in the context of "big data" or by choice in order to take…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-01 Marc Box

The non-uniform surface temperature distribution of rotating active stars is routinely mapped with the Doppler Imaging technique. Inhomogeneities in the surface produce features in high-resolution spectroscopic observations that shift in…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-02-23 A. Asensio Ramos , C. Diaz Baso , O. Kochukhov

Gravitational wave searches rely on a combination of methods, including matched filtering, coherent analyses, and more recent machine learning based pipelines. For compact binary coalescences, where signals originate from the relativistic…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-03-11 Lorenzo Mobilia , Tito Dal Canton , Gianluca Maria Guidi

Gravitational-wave astronomy of compact binaries relies on theoretical models of the gravitational-wave signal that is emitted as binaries coalesce. These models do not only need to be accurate, they also have to be fast to evaluate in…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-04 Yoshinta Setyawati , Michael Pürrer , Frank Ohme

This review provides a conceptual and technical survey of methods for parameter estimation of gravitational wave signals in ground-based interferometers such as LIGO and Virgo. We introduce the framework of Bayesian inference and provide an…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-07-01 Javier Roulet , Tejaswi Venumadhav

Ising models originated in statistical physics and are widely used in modeling spatial data and computer vision problems. However, statistical inference of this model remains challenging due to intractable nature of the normalizing constant…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-06 Minwoo Kim , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

Models of gravitational waveforms play a critical role in detecting and characterizing the gravitational waves (GWs) from compact binary coalescences. Waveforms from numerical relativity (NR), while highly accurate, are too computationally…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2018-01-03 Zoheyr Doctor , Ben Farr , Daniel E. Holz , Michael Pürrer

Bayesian inference has many advantages for complex models, but standard Monte Carlo methods for summarizing the posterior can be computationally demanding, and it is attractive to consider optimization-based variational methods. Our work…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-09 Aoxiang Chen , David J. Nott , Linda S. L. Tan

By now Bayesian methods are routinely used in practice for solving inverse problems. In inverse problems the parameter or signal of interest is observed only indirectly, as an image of a given map, and the observations are typically further…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-02 Thibault Randrianarisoa , Botond Szabo

Bayesian estimation is a powerful theoretical paradigm for the operation of quantum sensors. However, the Bayesian method for statistical inference generally suffers from demanding calibration requirements that have so far restricted its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-22 Samuel P. Nolan , Augusto Smerzi , Luca Pezzè

The detection of gravitational waves by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration has ushered in a new era of observational astronomy, emphasizing the need for rapid and detailed parameter estimation and population-level analyses. Traditional…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-07-22 Bo Liang , He Wang

Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models (GPLVMs) have become increasingly popular for unsupervised tasks such as dimensionality reduction and missing data recovery due to their flexibility and non-linear nature. An importance-weighted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Jian Xu , Shian Du , Junmei Yang , Qianli Ma , Delu Zeng , John Paisley

Multi-fidelity optimization employs surrogate models that integrate information from varying levels of fidelity to guide efficient exploration of complex design spaces while minimizing the reliance on (expensive) high-fidelity objective…

Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for probabilistic reasoning. If inference is performed in two steps, uncertainty propagation plays a crucial role in accounting for all sources of uncertainty and variability. This becomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Svenja Jedhoff , Hadi Kutabi , Anne Meyer , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Neural networks are popular state-of-the-art models for many different tasks.They are often trained via back-propagation to find a value of the weights that correctly predicts the observed data. Although back-propagation has shown good…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Simón Rodríguez Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

The formulation of Bayesian inverse problems involves choosing prior distributions; choices that seem equally reasonable may lead to significantly different conclusions. We develop a computational approach to better understand the impact of…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-08 John E. Darges , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

Multi-fidelity modelling arises in many situations in computational science and engineering world. It enables accurate inference even when only a small set of accurate data is available. Those data often come from a high-fidelity model,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-12 Jiahao Zhang , Shiqi Zhang , Guang Lin

In this work, we adopt a general framework based on the Gibbs posterior to update belief distributions for inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). The Gibbs posterior formulation is a generalization of standard…

Computation · Statistics 2019-07-04 Zilong Zou , Sayan Mukherjee , Harbir Antil , Wilkins Aquino

Gradient sampling (GS) has proved to be an effective methodology for the minimization of objective functions that may be nonconvex and/or nonsmooth. The most computationally expensive component of a contemporary GS method is the need to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Frank E. Curtis , Minhan Li