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We propose lacunarity as a novel recurrence quantification measure and illustrate its efficacy to detect dynamical regime transitions which are exhibited by many complex real-world systems. We carry out a recurrence plot based analysis for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-01-26 Tobias Braun , Vishnu R. Unni , R. I. Sujith , Juergen Kurths , Norbert Marwan

The recurrent neural network and its variants have shown great success in processing sequences in recent years. However, this deep neural network has not aroused much attention in anomaly detection through predictively process monitoring.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Jiaqi Qiu , Yu Lin , Inez Zwetsloot

Dynamic and temporal graphs are rich data structures that are used to model complex relationships between entities over time. In particular, anomaly detection in temporal graphs is crucial for many real world applications such as intrusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Shenyang Huang , Yasmeen Hitti , Guillaume Rabusseau , Reihaneh Rabbany

Detecting changes in high-dimensional vectors presents significant challenges, especially when the post-change distribution is unknown and time-varying. This paper introduces a novel robust algorithm for correlation change detection in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-07 Assma Alghamdi , Taposh Banerjee , Jayant Rajgopal

We characterise the evolution of a dynamical system by combining two well-known complex systems' tools, namely, symbolic ordinal analysis and networks. From the ordinal representation of a time-series we construct a network in which every…

This work delves into presenting a probabilistic method for analyzing linear process data with weakly dependent innovations, focusing on detecting change-points in the mean and estimating its spectral density. We develop a test for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Ramkrishna Jyoti Samanta

We introduce a new approach for decoupling trends (drift) and changepoints (shifts) in time series. Our locally adaptive model-based approach for robustly decoupling combines Bayesian trend filtering and machine learning based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Haoxuan Wu , Toryn L. J. Schafer , Sean Ryan , David S. Matteson

Dynamic networks, also called network streams, are an important data representation that applies to many real-world domains. Many sets of network data such as e-mail networks, social networks, or internet traffic networks are best…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-11-17 Timothy La Fond , Jennifer Neville , Brian Gallagher

Temporal networks are commonly used to represent dynamical complex systems like social networks, simultaneous firing of neurons, human mobility or public transportation. Their dynamics may evolve on multiple time scales characterising for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-27 Elsa Andres , Alain Barrat , Márton Karsai

Time series often contain outliers and level shifts or structural changes. These unexpected events are of the utmost importance in fraud detection, as they may pinpoint suspicious transactions. The presence of such unusual events can easily…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-13 Peter J. Rousseeuw , Domenico Perrotta , Marco Riani , Mia Hubert

In recent studies, new measures of complexity for nonlinear systems have been proposed based on probabilistic grounds, as the LMC measure (Phys. Lett. A {\bf 209} (1995) 321) or the SDL measure (Phys. Rev. E {\bf 59} (1999) 2). All these…

adap-org · Physics 2015-06-30 Ricard V. Sole , Bartolo Luque

Detection of critical slowing down (CSD) is the dominant avenue for anticipating critical transitions from noisy time-series data. Most commonly, changes in variance and lag-1 autocorrelation [AC(1)] are used as CSD indicators. However,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Andreas Morr , Niklas Boers

Anomaly detection (AD) plays a vital role across a wide range of real-world domains by identifying data instances that deviate from expected patterns, potentially signaling critical events such as system failures, fraudulent activities, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Amirhossein Sadough , Mahyar Shahsavari , Mark Wijtvliet , Marcel van Gerven

The problem of predicting links in large networks is an important task in a variety of practical applications, including social sciences, biology and computer security. In this paper, statistical techniques for link prediction based on the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-01 Francesco Sanna Passino , Anna S. Bertiger , Joshua C. Neil , Nicholas A. Heard

We study the problem of out-of-distribution dynamics (OODD) detection, which involves detecting when the dynamics of a temporal process change compared to the training-distribution dynamics. This is relevant to applications in control,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Mohamad H Danesh , Alan Fern

The use of complex networks for time series analysis has recently shown to be useful as a tool for detecting dynamic state changes for a wide variety of applications. In this work, we implement the commonly used ordinal partition network to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-12-21 Audun Myers , Firas Khasawneh

Anomaly subsequence detection is to detect inconsistent data, which always contains important information, among time series. Due to the high dimensionality of the time series, traditional anomaly detection often requires a large time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Chunkai Zhang , Yingyang Chen , Ao Yin

Networked dynamic systems are ubiquitous in various domains, such as industrial processes, social networks, and biological systems. These systems produce high-dimensional data that reflect the complex interactions among the network nodes…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-02 Jiaxin Yu , Yanfang Mo , S. Joe Qin

For sequential data, a change point is a moment of abrupt regime switch in data streams. Such changes appear in different scenarios, including simpler data from sensors and more challenging video surveillance data. We need to detect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Evgenia Romanenkova , Alexander Stepikin , Matvey Morozov , Alexey Zaytsev

Sequential (online) change-point detection involves continuously monitoring time-series data and triggering an alarm when shifts in the data distribution are detected. We propose an algorithm for real-time identification of alterations in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Yuhan Tian , Abolfazl Safikhani
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