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Classical compartmental models in epidemiology often assume a homogeneous population for simplicity, which neglects the inherent heterogeneity among individuals. This assumption frequently leads to inaccurate predictions when applied to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-09 Ning Jiang , Weiqi Chu , Yao Li

During 2020, the infection rate of COVID-19 has been investigated by many scholars from different research fields. In this context, reliable and interpretable forecasts of disease incidents are a vital tool for policymakers to manage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Cornelius Fritz , Emilio Dorigatti , David Rügamer

In this paper we analyze the effects of commuting and social inequalities for the epidemic development of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19). With this aim we consider a SEIRD (susceptible, exposed, infected, recovered and dead by disease)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-18 João A. M. Gondim , Thiago Yukio Tanaka

The non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), aimed at reducing the diffusion of the COVID-19 pandemic, has dramatically influenced our behaviour in everyday life. In this work, we study how individuals adapted their daily movements and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Lorenzo Lucchini , Simone Centellegher , Luca Pappalardo , Riccardo Gallotti , Filippo Privitera , Bruno Lepri , Marco De Nadai

During the COVID-19 pandemic, governments faced the challenge of managing population behavior to prevent their healthcare systems from collapsing. Sweden adopted a strategy centered on voluntary sanitary recommendations while Belgium…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-17 Tijs W. Alleman , Jan M. Baetens

Currently, the global situation of COVID-19 is aggravating, pressingly calling for efficient control and prevention measures. Understanding spreading pattern of COVID-19 has been widely recognized as a vital step for implementing…

Large-scale human mobility data is a key resource in data-driven policy making and across many scientific fields. Most recently, mobility data was extensively used during the COVID-19 pandemic to study the effects of governmental policies…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-24 Frank Schlosser , Vedran Sekara , Dirk Brockmann , Manuel Garcia-Herranz

During the epidemics of COVID-19, the whole world is experiencing a serious crisis on public health and economy. Understanding human mobility during the pandemic helps one to design intervention strategies and resilience measures. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-12 Xinwei Chai , Xian Guo , Jihua Xiao , Jie Jiang

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the slope of the epidemic curve in Mexico City has been quite unstable. We have predicted that in the case that a fraction of the population above a certain threshold returns to the public space, the negative…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-31 Guillermo de Anda-Jáuregui , Enrique Hernández-Lemus

Within the complex framework of anti-COVID-19 health management, where the criteria of diagnostic testing, the availability of public-health resources and services, and the applied anti-COVID-19 policies vary between countries, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-05 Konstantinos Demertzis , Dimitrios Tsiotas , Lykourgos Magafas

In this article, we investigate the importance of demographic and contact patterns in determining the spread of COVID-19 and to the effectiveness of social distancing policies. We investigate these questions proposing an augmented…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-12 M. A. Ridenti , L. K. Teles , A. Maranhão , V. K. Teles

Italy has been one of the first countries timewise strongly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. The adoption of social distancing and heavy lockdown measures is posing a heavy burden on the population and the economy. The timing of the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-06 Emanuele Borgonovo , Xuefei Lu

This work presents the analysis of the impact of restrictions on mobility in Italy, with a focus on the period from 6 November 2020 to 31 January 2021, when a three-tier system based on different levels of risk was adopted and applied at…

We have studied the dynamic evolution of the Covid-19 pandemic in Argentina. The marked heterogeneity in population density and the very extensive geography of the country becomes a challenge itself. Standard compartment models fail when…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Nadia L. Barreiro , Tzype Govezensky , Pablo G. Bolcatto , Rafael A. Barrio

Behavioral gender differences are known to exist for a wide range of human activities including the way people communicate, move, provision themselves, or organize leisure activities. Using mobile phone data from 1.2 million devices in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-21 Tobias Reisch , Georg Heiler , Jan Hurt , Peter Klimek , Allan Hanbury , Stefan Thurner

The spatial heterogeneity of cities -- the uneven distribution of population and activities -- is fundamental to urban dynamics and related to critical issues such as infrastructure overload, housing affordability, and social inequality.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-14 Hao Huang , Yuming Lin , Jiazhen Liu

This paper investigates the relationship between the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, the state of community activity, and the financial index performance across 20 countries. First, we analyze which countries behaved similarly in 2020 with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-17 Nick James , Max Menzies

Electrical energy is a vital part of modern life, and expectations for grid resilience to allow a continuous and reliable energy supply has tremendously increased even during adverse events (e.g., Ukraine cyber-attack, Hurricane Maria). The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-10 Hossein Noorazar , Anurag. k. Srivastava , K. Sadanandan Sajan , Sanjeev Pannala

The COVID-19 pandemic is an unprecedented global crisis that has impacted virtually everyone. We conducted a nationwide online longitudinal survey in the United States to collect information about the shifts in travel-related behavior and…

We present a compartmental meta-population model for the spread of Covid-19 in India. Our model simulates populations at a district or state level using an epidemiological model that is appropriate to Covid-19. Different districts are…

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