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We obtain estimation error rates for estimators obtained by aggregation of regularized median-of-means tests, following a construction of Le Cam. The results hold with exponentially large probability -- as in the gaussian framework with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-19 Lecué Guillaume , Lerasle Matthieu

Preference optimization offers a scalable supervision paradigm based on relative preference signals, yet prior attempts in medical image segmentation remain model-specific and rely on low-diversity prediction sampling. In this paper, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Yunseong Nam , Jiwon Jang , Dongkyu Won , Sang Hyun Park , Soopil Kim

Uncertainty-quantification methods are applied to estimate the confidence of deep-neural-networks classifiers over their predictions. However, most widely used methods are known to be overconfident. We address this problem by developing an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Luigi Sbailò , Luca M. Ghiringhelli

Generalized linear model with $L_1$ and $L_2$ regularization is a widely used technique for solving classification, class probability estimation and regression problems. With the numbers of both features and examples growing rapidly in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-28 Ilya Trofimov , Alexander Genkin

A learned generative model often produces biased statistics relative to the underlying data distribution. A standard technique to correct this bias is importance sampling, where samples from the model are weighted by the likelihood ratio…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Aditya Grover , Jiaming Song , Alekh Agarwal , Kenneth Tran , Ashish Kapoor , Eric Horvitz , Stefano Ermon

A major bottleneck in the real-world applications of machine learning models is their failure in generalizing to unseen domains whose data distribution is not i.i.d to the training domains. This failure often stems from learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Soroosh Shahtalebi , Jean-Christophe Gagnon-Audet , Touraj Laleh , Mojtaba Faramarzi , Kartik Ahuja , Irina Rish

Binary logit (BNL) and multinomial logit (MNL) models are the two most widely used discrete choice models for travel behavior modeling and prediction. However, in many scenarios, the collected data for those models are subject to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Baichuan Mo , Yunhan Zheng , Xiaotong Guo , Ruoyun Ma , Jinhua Zhao

Much research in machine learning involves finding appropriate inductive biases (e.g. convolutional neural networks, momentum-based optimizers, transformers) to promote generalization on tasks. However, quantification of the amount of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Akhilan Boopathy , William Yue , Jaedong Hwang , Abhiram Iyer , Ila Fiete

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is essential when deploying neural networks in the real world. One main challenge is that neural networks often make overconfident predictions on OOD data. In this study, we propose an effective post-hoc…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Zhuohao Sun , Yiqiao Qiu , Zhijun Tan , Weishi Zheng , Ruixuan Wang

Machine learning (ML) systems in natural language processing (NLP) face significant challenges in generalizing to out-of-distribution (OOD) data, where the test distribution differs from the training data distribution. This poses important…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Linyi Yang , Yaoxiao Song , Xuan Ren , Chenyang Lyu , Yidong Wang , Lingqiao Liu , Jindong Wang , Jennifer Foster , Yue Zhang

The propensity score (PS) is often used to control for large numbers of covariates in high-dimensional healthcare database studies. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) has become the most widely used tool for fitting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Richard Wyss , Ben B. Hansen , Georg Hahn , Lars van der Laan , Kueiyu Joshua Lin

We present a novel technique for amortized posterior estimation using Normalizing Flows trained with likelihood-weighted importance sampling. This approach allows for the efficient inference of theoretical parameters in high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Rajneil Baruah

We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Marvin Schmitt , Desi R. Ivanova , Daniel Habermann , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

The distribution shifts between training and test data typically undermine the performance of models. In recent years, lots of work pays attention to domain generalization (DG) where distribution shifts exist, and target data are unseen.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Wang Lu , Jindong Wang , Yidong Wang , Xing Xie

While the traditional formulation of machine learning tasks is in terms of performance on average, in practice we are often interested in how well a trained model performs on rare or difficult data points at test time. To achieve more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-29 Matthew J. Holland , Toma Hamada

When conducting a randomized controlled trial, it is common to specify in advance the statistical analyses that will be used to analyze the data. Typically these analyses will involve adjusting for small imbalances in baseline covariates.…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-04 Edward Wu , Johann Gagnon-Bartsch

Neural networks have proven successful at learning from complex data distributions by acting as universal function approximators. However, they are often overconfident in their predictions, which leads to inaccurate and miscalibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Jeffrey Willette , Juho Lee , Sung Ju Hwang

Accurate estimation of predictive uncertainty in modern neural networks is critical to achieve well calibrated predictions and detect out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs. The most promising approaches have been predominantly focused on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Shreyas Padhy , Zachary Nado , Jie Ren , Jeremiah Liu , Jasper Snoek , Balaji Lakshminarayanan

The estimation of a precision matrix is a crucial problem in various research fields, particularly when working with high dimensional data. In such settings, the most common approach is to use the penalized maximum likelihood. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-10 Vahe Avagyan

Learning to perform tasks by leveraging a dataset of expert observations, also known as imitation learning from observations (ILO), is an important paradigm for learning skills without access to the expert reward function or the expert…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Tanmay Gangwani , Yuan Zhou , Jian Peng