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We introduce a novel covariance estimator for portfolio selection that adapts to the non-stationary or persistent heteroskedastic environments of financial time series by employing exponentially weighted averages and nonlinearly shrinking…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-23 Vincent Tan , Stefan Zohren

Dynamical systems can be analyzed via their Frobenius-Perron transfer operator and its estimation from data is an active field of research. Recently entropic transfer operators have been introduced to estimate the operator of deterministic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Hancheng Bi , Clément Sarrazin , Bernhard Schmitzer , Thilo D. Stier

We propose a new, computationally efficient, sparsity adaptive changepoint estimator for detecting changes in unknown subsets of a high-dimensional data sequence. Assuming the data sequence is Gaussian, we prove that the new method…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Per August Jarval Moen , Ingrid Kristine Glad , Martin Tveten

How can we discern whether the covariance operator of a stochastic process is of reduced rank, and if so, what its precise rank is? And how can we do so at a given level of confidence? This question is central to a great deal of methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Anirvan Chakraborty , Victor M. Panaretos

We consider Bayesian inference of sparse covariance matrices and propose a post-processed posterior. This method consists of two steps. In the first step, posterior samples are obtained from the conjugate inverse-Wishart posterior without…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-24 Kwangmin Lee , Jaeyong Lee

This paper addresses the estimation of locally stationary long-range dependent processes, a methodology that allows the statistical analysis of time series data exhibiting both nonstationarity and strong dependency. A time-varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Wilfredo Palma , Ricardo Olea

This paper addresses the following simple question about sparsity. For the estimation of an $n$-dimensional mean vector $\boldsymbol{\theta}$ in the Gaussian sequence model, is it possible to find an adaptive optimal threshold estimator in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Wenhua Jiang , Cun-Hui Zhang

Identifying a biomarker or treatment-dose threshold that marks a specified level of risk is an important problem, especially in clinical trials. This risk, viewed as a function of thresholds and possibly adjusted for covariates, we call the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Lars van der Laan , Wenbo Zhang , Peter B. Gilbert

Designing a covariance function that represents the underlying correlation is a crucial step in modeling complex natural systems, such as climate models. Geospatial datasets at a global scale usually suffer from non-stationarity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-10 Chintan A. Dalal , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert E. Kopp

Steerable networks, which process data with intrinsic symmetries, often use Fourier-based nonlinearities that require sampling from the entire group, leading to a need for discretization in continuous groups. As the number of samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Berfin Inal , Gabriele Cesa

In sparse principal component analysis we are given noisy observations of a low-rank matrix of dimension $n\times p$ and seek to reconstruct it under additional sparsity assumptions. In particular, we assume here each of the principal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Yash Deshpande , Andrea Montanari

Covariance Neural Networks (VNNs) perform graph convolutions on the covariance matrix of input data to leverage correlation information as pairwise connections. They have achieved success in a multitude of applications such as neuroscience,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Andrea Cavallo , Zhan Gao , Elvin Isufi

Estimation of a precision matrix (i.e., inverse covariance matrix) is widely used to exploit conditional independence among continuous variables. The influence of abnormal observations is exacerbated in a high dimensional setting as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-17 Peng Tang , Huijing Jiang , Heeyoung Kim , Xinwei Deng

We propose an estimation procedure for linear functionals based on Gaussian model selection techniques. We show that the procedure is adaptive, and we give a non asymptotic oracle inequality for the risk of the selected estimator with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-27 Béatrice Laurent , Carenne Ludeña , Clémentine Prieur

The Koopman operator provides a powerful framework for representing the dynamics of general nonlinear dynamical systems. However, existing data-driven approaches to learning the Koopman operator rely on batch data. In this work, we present…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-16 Boya Hou , Sina Sanjari , Nathan Dahlin , Alec Koppel , Subhonmesh Bose

Adaptive sampling algorithms are modern and efficient methods that dynamically adjust the sample size throughout the optimization process. However, they may encounter difficulties in risk-averse settings, particularly due to the challenge…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-17 Sandra Pieraccini , Tommaso Vanzan

Covariance estimation is essential yet underdeveloped for analyzing multivariate functional data. We propose a fast covariance estimation method for multivariate sparse functional data using bivariate penalized splines. The tensor-product…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-11 Cai Li , Luo Xiao , Sheng Luo

The Allan Variance (AV) is a widely used quantity in areas focusing on error measurement as well as in the general analysis of variance for autocorrelated processes in domains such as engineering and, more specifically, metrology. The form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-02 Haotian Xu , Stéphane Guerrier , Roberto Molinari , Yuming Zhang

Expectile regression is a useful tool for exploring the relation between the response and the explanatory variables beyond the conditional mean. This article develops a continuous threshold expectile regression for modeling data in which…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-09 Feipeng Zhang , Qunhua Li

We investigate how to improve efficiency using regression adjustments with covariates in covariate-adaptive randomizations (CARs) with imperfect subject compliance. Our regression-adjusted estimators, which are based on the doubly robust…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-19 Liang Jiang , Oliver B. Linton , Haihan Tang , Yichong Zhang
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