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With the rise of increasingly powerful and user-facing NLP systems, there is growing interest in assessing whether they have a good representation of uncertainty by evaluating the quality of their predictive distribution over outcomes. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Joris Baan , Raquel Fernández , Barbara Plank , Wilker Aziz

A statistical test based on the geometric mean is proposed to determine if a predictive model should be rejected or not, when the quantity of interest is a strictly positive continuous random variable. A simulation study is performed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-27 Arturo Erdely

We propose two tests for the equality of covariance matrices between two high-dimensional populations. One test is on the whole variance--covariance matrices, and the other is on off-diagonal sub-matrices, which define the covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-06 Jun Li , Song Xi Chen

A series of examples of computational models is provided, where the model aim is to interpret numerical results in terms of internal states of agents minds. Two opposite strategies or research can be distinguished in the literature. First…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-26 Krzysztof Kulakowski , Piotr Gronek , Antoni Dydejczyk

A popular approach to significance testing proposes to decide whether the given hypothesized statistical model is likely to be true (or false). Statistical decision theory provides a basis for this approach by requiring every significance…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-08 William Perkins , Mark Tygert , Rachel Ward

In clinical studies with paired organs, binary outcomes often exhibit intra-subject correlation and may include a mixture of unilateral and bilateral observations. Under Donner's constant correlation model, we develop three likelihood-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Jia Zhou , Chang-Xing Ma

Basic propensity score methodology is designed to balance multivariate pre-treatment covariates when comparing one active treatment with one control treatment. Practical settings often involve comparing more than two treatments, where more…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-09 Shasha Han , Donald Rubin

In addition to objective indicators (e.g. laboratory values), clinical data often contain subjective evaluations by experts (e.g. disease severity assessments). While objective indicators are more transparent and robust, the subjective…

The paper provides a simple test for deciding, from a given causal diagram, whether two sets of variables have the same bias-reducing potential under adjustment. The test requires that one of the following two conditions holds: either (1)…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-19 Judea Pearl , Azaria Paz

Composite likelihood inference has gained much popularity thanks to its computational manageability and its theoretical properties. Unfortunately, performing composite likelihood ratio tests is inconvenient because of their awkward…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-01 Manuela Cattelan , Nicola Sartori

A principled approach to cyclicality and intransitivity in paired comparison data is developed. The proposed methodology enables more precise estimation of the underlying preference profile and facilitates the identification of all cyclic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Rahul Singh , Ori Davidov

Methods for quantifying the similarity of datasets are relevant in applications where two or more datasets, or their underlying distributions, need to be compared, ranging from two- and k-sample testing to applications in machine learning…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Marieke Stolte , Jörg Rahnenführer , Andrea Bommert

Cross-validation is a popular non-parametric method for evaluating the accuracy of a predictive rule. The usefulness of cross-validation depends on the task we want to employ it for. In this note, I discuss a simple non-parametric setting,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-27 Stefan Wager

It is quite common in modern research, for a researcher to test many hypotheses. The statistical (frequentist) hypothesis testing framework, does not scale with the number of hypotheses in the sense that naively performing many hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-26 Jonathan Rosenblatt

Propensity Score Matching (PSM) is a causal inference technique that is used as a substitution for experimental methods when it is not possible to implement them due to logistical and ethical concerns. By using a logistic classifier to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Elizabeth Mohney , Alexey Shvets

Calibration is a frequently invoked concept when useful label probability estimates are required on top of classification accuracy. A calibrated model is a function whose values correctly reflect underlying label probabilities. Calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Alireza Torabian , Ruth Urner

Binary classification is a task that involves the classification of data into one of two distinct classes. It is widely utilized in various fields. However, conventional classifiers tend to make overconfident predictions for data that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Shoma Yokura , Akihisa Ichiki

We address the problem of non-parametric multiple model comparison: given $l$ candidate models, decide whether each candidate is as good as the best one(s) or worse than it. We propose two statistical tests, each controlling a different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Jen Ning Lim , Makoto Yamada , Bernhard Schölkopf , Wittawat Jitkrittum

Interpretability is becoming increasingly important for predictive model analysis. Unfortunately, as remarked by many authors, there is still no consensus regarding this notion. The goal of this paper is to propose the definition of a score…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Vincent Margot , George Luta

$P$-values have been the focus of considerable criticism based on various considerations. Still, the $P$-value represents one of the most commonly used statistical tools. When assessing the suitability of a single hypothesized distribution,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Michael Evans , Gun Ho Jang