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We provide a convergence result for sequences of random variables taking values in a metric space that satisfy a stochastic quasi-Fej\'er monotonicity condition, in the context of a (local) compactness assumption. Our result is quantitative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Morenikeji Neri , Nicholas Pischke , Thomas Powell

We construct an aggregated version of the value processes associated with stochastic control problems, where the criterion to optimise is given by solutions to semi-martingale backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs). The results…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-03 Dylan Possamaï , Marco Rodrigues , Alexandros Saplaouras

Recent advances such as self-consistency and test-time reinforcement learning (TTRL) improve the reliability of large language models (LLMs) without additional supervision, yet their underlying mechanisms and statistical guarantees remain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-24 Paula Cordero-Encinar , Andrew B. Duncan

This paper introduces a novel test for conditional stochastic dominance (CSD) at specific values of the conditioning covariates, referred to as target points. The test is relevant for analyzing income inequality, evaluating treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-20 Federico A. Bugni , Ivan A. Canay , Deborah Kim

In this paper, we propose and analyze a trust-region model-based algorithm for solving unconstrained stochastic optimization problems. Our framework utilizes random models of an objective function $f(x)$, obtained from stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-26 Ruobing Chen , Matt Menickelly , Katya Scheinberg

Often one has a preference order among the different systems that satisfy a given specification. Under a probabilistic assumption about the possible inputs, such a preference order is naturally expressed by a weighted automaton, which…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-04-15 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Thomas A. Henzinger , Barbara Jobstmann , Rohit Singh

Self-supervised learning (SSL) is often deployed under changing information, such as shorter histories, missing features, or partially observed images. In these settings, predictions from coarse and refined views should be coherent: before…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Moritz Gögl , Hanwen Xing , Christopher Yau

Given its ability to analyse stochastic models ranging from discrete and continuous-time Markov chains to Markov decision processes and stochastic games, probabilistic model checking (PMC) is widely used to verify system dependability and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Radu Calinescu , Sinem Getir Yaman , Simos Gerasimou , Gricel Vázquez , Micah Bassett

We study an optimal control problem on infinite time horizon with semimartingale strategies, random coefficients and regime switching. The value function and the optimal strategy can be characterized in terms of three systems of backward…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Xinman Cheng , Guanxing Fu , Xiaonyu Xia

In this paper we present a dynamic programing approach to stochastic optimal control problems with dynamic, time-consistent risk constraints. Constrained stochastic optimal control problems, which naturally arise when one has to consider…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone

We present a method for providing statistical guarantees on runtime safety and goal reachability for integrated planning and control of a class of systems with unknown nonlinear stochastic underactuated dynamics. Specifically, given a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Craig Knuth , Glen Chou , Jamie Reese , Joe Moore

We develop an assume-guarantee contract framework for the design of cyber-physical systems, modeled as closed-loop control systems, under probabilistic requirements. We use a variant of signal temporal logic, namely, Stochastic Signal…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-03 Jiwei Li , Pierluigi Nuzzo , Alberto Sangiovanni-Vincentelli , Yugeng Xi , Dewei Li

The Method of Successive Approximations (MSA) is a fixed-point iterative method used to solve stochastic optimal control problems. It is an indirect method based on the conditions derived from the Stochastic Maximum Principle (SMP), an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Safouane Taoufik , Badr Missaoui

Reach-avoid analysis is fundamental to reasoning about the safety and goal-reaching behavior of dynamical systems, and serves as a foundation for specifying and verifying more complex control objectives. This paper introduces a reach-avoid…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-30 Rayan Mazouz , Luca Laurenti , Morteza Lahijanian

In this paper we consider the use of probabilistic or random models within a classical trust-region framework for optimization of deterministic smooth general nonlinear functions. Our method and setting differs from many stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-11 Afonso S. Bandeira , Katya Scheinberg , Luis Nunes Vicente

We analyze the problem of stochastic optimal control of SDEs where the driver includes a self-exciting stochastic process. Due to the non-Markovian nature of the problem, we apply the stochastic maximum principle approach. We derive a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Heidar Eyjolfsson , Kristina Rognlien Dahl

We define multiple stochastic integrals with respect to c\`{a}dl\`{a}g martingales and prove moment bounds and chaos expansions, which allow to work with them in a way similar to Wiener stochastic integrals. In combination with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Konstantin Matetski

We study and provide efficient algorithms for multi-objective model checking problems for Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Given an MDP, M, and given multiple linear-time (\omega -regular or LTL) properties \varphi\_i, and probabilities…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Kousha Etessami , Marta Kwiatkowska , Moshe Y. Vardi , Mihalis Yannakakis

This paper studies an optimal control problem for continuous-time stochastic systems subject to reachability objectives specified in a subclass of metric interval temporal logic specifications, a temporal logic with real-time constraints.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-04-21 Jie Fu , Ufuk Topcu

This work provides the first finite-time convergence guarantees for linearly constrained stochastic bilevel optimization using only first-order methods, requiring solely gradient information without any Hessian computations or second-order…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Cac Phan , Kai Wang
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