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Transfer learning is beneficial for survival analysis, especially when the target study has a limited number of events. However, existing transfer learning methods rely on the restrictive assumption that the target and source studies share…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Yu Gu , Donglin Zeng , D. Y. Lin

We consider frequently used scoring rules for right-censored survival regression models such as time-dependent concordance, survival-CRPS, integrated Brier score and integrated binomial log-likelihood, and prove that neither of them is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-03 David Rindt , Robert Hu , David Steinsaltz , Dino Sejdinovic

We propose self-adaptive training -- a unified training algorithm that dynamically calibrates and enhances training processes by model predictions without incurring an extra computational cost -- to advance both supervised and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Lang Huang , Chao Zhang , Hongyang Zhang

Classification models are a fundamental component of physical-asset management technologies such as structural health monitoring (SHM) systems and digital twins. Previous work introduced risk-based active learning, an online approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Aidan J. Hughes , Lawrence A. Bull , Paul Gardner , Nikolaos Dervilis , Keith Worden

This paper addresses the challenge of forecasting corporate distress, a problem marked by three key statistical hurdles: (i) right censoring, (ii) high-dimensional predictors, and (iii) mixed-frequency data. To overcome these complexities,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-09 Wei Miao , Jad Beyhum , Jonas Striaukas , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Survival analysis is a fundamental tool for modeling time-to-event data in healthcare, engineering, and finance, where censored observations pose significant challenges. While traditional methods like the Beran estimator offer nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Vlada A. Efremenko , Lev V. Utkin

The introduction of machine learning (ML) techniques to the field of survival analysis has increased the flexibility of modeling approaches, and ML based models have become state-of-the-art. These models optimize their own cost functions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-24 Alex Nowak-Vila , Kevin Elgui , Genevieve Robin

The sample compression theory provides generalization guarantees for predictors that can be fully defined using a subset of the training dataset and a (short) message string, generally defined as a binary sequence. Previous works provided…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Mathieu Bazinet , Valentina Zantedeschi , Pascal Germain

Survival Analysis (SA) constitutes the default method for time-to-event modeling due to its ability to estimate event probabilities of sparsely occurring events over time. In this work, we show how to improve the training and inference of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Chris Solomou

We present Self-Classifier -- a novel self-supervised end-to-end classification learning approach. Self-Classifier learns labels and representations simultaneously in a single-stage end-to-end manner by optimizing for same-class prediction…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Elad Amrani , Leonid Karlinsky , Alex Bronstein

The Super Learner (SL) is a widely used ensemble method that combines predictions from a library of learners based on their predictive performance. Interval predictions are of considerable practical interest because they allow uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Zhanli Wu , Fabrizio Leisen , Miguel-Angel Luque-Fernandez , F. Javier Rubio

There is a surge in medical follow-up studies that include longitudinal covariates in the modeling of survival data. So far, the focus has been largely on right-censored survival data. We consider survival data that are subject to both left…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Yu-Ru Su , Jane-Ling Wang

Deep learning has shown remarkable results for image analysis and is expected to aid individual treatment decisions in health care. To achieve this, deep learning methods need to be promoted from the level of mere associations to being able…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Wouter A. C. van Amsterdam , Marinus J. C. Eijkemans

Our objective is to construct well-calibrated prediction sets for a time-to-event outcome subject to right-censoring with guaranteed coverage. Inspired by modern conformal inference, our approach avoids the need for a well-specified…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Rebecca Farina , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) is crucial for personalized decision-making. However, this task is challenging in survival analysis, which includes time-to-event data with censored outcomes (e.g., due to study dropout). In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Dennis Frauen , Maresa Schröder , Konstantin Hess , Stefan Feuerriegel

We propose a method to quantify uncertainty around individual survival distribution estimates using right-censored data, compatible with any survival model. Unlike classical confidence intervals, the survival bands produced by this method…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Matteo Sesia , Vladimir Svetnik

While tabular foundation models have achieved remarkable success in classification and regression, adapting them to model time-to-event outcomes for survival analysis is non-trivial due to right-censoring, where data observations may end…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Da In Kim , Wei Siang Lai , Kelly W. Zhang

Semi-supervised learning acts as an effective way to leverage massive unlabeled data. In this paper, we propose a novel training strategy, termed as Semi-supervised Contrastive Learning (SsCL), which combines the well-known contrastive loss…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Yuhang Zhang , Xiaopeng Zhang , Robert. C. Qiu , Jie Li , Haohang Xu , Qi Tian

In this paper, we propose a flexible model for survival analysis using neural networks along with scalable optimization algorithms. One key technical challenge for directly applying maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) to censored data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-07 Weijing Tang , Jiaqi Ma , Qiaozhu Mei , Ji Zhu

In this paper we consider the problem of semi-supervised learning with deep Convolutional Neural Networks (ConvNets). Semi-supervised learning is motivated on the observation that unlabeled data is cheap and can be used to improve the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-06-13 Mehdi Sajjadi , Mehran Javanmardi , Tolga Tasdizen