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Pattern similarity-based methods are widely used in classification and regression problems. Repeated, similar-shaped cycles observed in seasonal time series encourage to apply these methods for forecasting. In this paper we use the pattern…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

We focus on day-ahead electricity load forecasting of substations of the distribution network in France; therefore, our problem lies between the instability of a single consumption and the stability of a countrywide total demand. Moreover,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Guillaume Lambert , Bachir Hamrouche , Joseph de Vilmarest

Forecasts of regional electricity net-demand, consumption minus embedded generation, are an essential input for reliable and economic power system operation, and energy trading. While such forecasts are typically performed region by region,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-18 V. Gioia , M. Fasiolo , J. Browell , R. Bellio

Electric energy is difficult to store, requiring stricter control over its generation, transmission, and distribution. A persistent challenge in power systems is maintaining real-time equilibrium between electricity demand and supply.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Aurausp Maneshni

By significant improvements in modern electrical systems, planning for unit commitment and power dispatching of them are two big concerns between the researchers. Short-term load forecasting plays a significant role in planning and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-01 Kasun Chandrarathna , Arman Edalati , AhmadReza Fourozan tabar

We consider the problem of short- and medium-term electricity load forecasting by using past loads and daily weather forecast information. Conventionally, many researchers have directly applied regression analysis. However, interpreting the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-03 Kei Hirose

Recent studies concerning the point electricity price forecasting have shown evidence that the hourly German Intraday Continuous Market is weak-form efficient. Therefore, we take a novel, advanced approach to the problem. A probabilistic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-02 Michał Narajewski , Florian Ziel

Accurate household electrical energy demand prediction is essential for effectively managing sustainable Energy Communities. Integrated with the Energy Management System, these communities aim to optimise operational costs. However, most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Ehtisham Asghar , Martin Hill , Ibrahim Sengor , Conor Lynch , Phan Quang An

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

Seasonal climate variations affect electricity demand, which in turn affects month-to-month electricity planning and operations. Electricity system planning at the monthly timescale can be improved by adapting climate forecasts to estimate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-12 A. R. de Queiroz , D. Mulcahy , A. Sankarasubramanian , J. P. Deane , G. Mahinthakumar , N. Lu , J. F. DeCarolis

As the number of electric vehicles (EVs) continues to grow, the demand for charging stations is also increasing, leading to challenges such as long wait times and insufficient infrastructure. High-precision forecasting of EV charging demand…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-25 Saba Sanami , Hesam Mosalli , Yu Yang , Hen-Geul Yeh , Amir G. Aghdam

Simultaneous load forecasting across multiple entities (e.g., regions, buildings) is crucial for the efficient, reliable, and cost-effective operation of power systems. Accurate load forecasting is a challenging problem due to the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Onintze Zaballa , Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas

An accurate load forecast is always important for the power industry and energy players as it enables stakeholders to make critical decisions. In addition, its importance is further increased with growing uncertainties in the generation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-26 Muhammad Qamar Raza , N. Mithulananthan , Jiaming Li , Kwang Y. Lee

With the growing popularity of electric vehicles as a means of addressing climate change, concerns have emerged regarding their impact on electric grid management. As a result, predicting EV charging demand has become a timely and important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Iason Kyriakopoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

Long-term electricity demand forecasting is essential for grid and operations planning, as well as for the analysis and planning of energy transition strategies. However, accurate long-term load forecasting with high temporal resolution…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Soumyadeep Dhar , Ayushkumar Parmar , Haifeng Qiu , Juan Ramon L. Senga , S. Viswanathan

Accurate load forecasting is crucial for maintaining the power balance between generators and consumers,particularly with the increasing integration of renewable energy sources, which introduce significant intermittent volatility. With the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Mingyang Gao , Suyang Zhou , Wei Gu , Zhi Wu , Haiquan Liu , Aihua Zhou

Electricity load forecasting is a necessary capability for power system operators and electricity market participants. The proliferation of local generation, demand response, and electrification of heat and transport are changing the…

In the context of smart grids and load balancing, daily peak load forecasting has become a critical activity for stakeholders of the energy industry. An understanding of peak magnitude and timing is paramount for the implementation of smart…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Yvenn Amara-Ouali , Matteo Fasiolo , Yannig Goude , Hui Yan

Machine learning models have shown great success in predicting weather up to two weeks ahead, outperforming process-based benchmarks. However, existing approaches mostly focus on the prediction task, and do not incorporate the necessary…

Load forecasts have become an integral part of energy security. Due to the various influencing factors that can be considered in such a forecast, there is also a wide range of models that attempt to integrate these parameters into a system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Philipp Giese