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We develop Bayesian nonparametric models for spatially indexed data of mixed type. Our work is motivated by challenges that occur in environmental epidemiology, where the usual presence of several confounding variables that exhibit complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-17 Georgios Papageorgiou , Sylvia Richardson , Nicky Best

Outdoor air pollution is estimated to cause a huge number of premature deaths worldwide, it catalyses many diseases on a variety of time scales, and it has a detrimental effect on the environment. In light of these impacts it is necessary…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-08 Hankun He , Benjamin Schäfer , Christian Beck

Exposure to fine particulate matter ($PM_{2.5}$) poses significant health risks and accurately determining the shape of the relationship between $PM_{2.5}$ and health outcomes has crucial policy ramifications. While various statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-06 Michael Cork , Daniel Mork , Francesca Dominici

Unmeasured spatial confounding complicates exposure effect estimation in environmental health studies. This problem is exacerbated in studies with multiple health outcomes and environmental exposure variables, as the source and magnitude of…

Spatial epidemiology identifies the drivers of elevated population-level disease risks, using disease counts, exposures and known confounders at the areal unit level. Poisson regression models are typically used for inference, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Duncan Lee , Vinny Davies

Many countries are suffering from severe air pollution. Understanding how different air pollutants accumulate and propagate is critical to making relevant public policies. In this paper, we use urban big data (air quality data and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-04-19 Julie Yixuan Zhu , Chao Zhang , Huichu Zhang , Shi Zhi , Victor O. K. Li , Jiawei Han , Yu Zheng

Measuring the impact of an environmental point source exposure on the risk of disease, like cancer or childhood asthma, is well-developed. Modeling how an environmental health hazard that is extensive in space, like a wastewater canal,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-29 Rob Trangucci , Jesse Contreras , Jon Zelner , Joseph N. S. Eisenberg , Yang Chen

Evaluating the causal health effects of multivariate, continuous exposures, such as air pollution mixtures, is a critical public health challenge. A primary obstacle is the frequent violation of the positivity assumption, which renders the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Zhuochao Huang , Kejin Dong , Tuo Lin , Joseph Antonelli

We present a fully Bayesian statistical approach to the problem of compartmental modelling in the context of Positron Emission Tomography. We cluster homogeneous region of interest and perform kinetic parameter estimation simultaneously. A…

Air pollution is a major risk factor for global health, with both ambient and household air pollution contributing substantial components of the overall global disease burden. One of the key drivers of adverse health effects is fine…

Assessing the causal effect of time-varying exposures on recurrent event processes is challenging in the presence of a terminating event. Our objective is to estimate both the short-term and delayed marginal causal effects of exposures on…

The Commission of the European Union, as well the United States Environmental Protection Agency, have set limit values for some pollutants in the ambient air that have been shown to have adverse effects on human and environmental health. It…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-30 Dana Draghicescu , Rosaria Ignaccolo

Climate change is expected to alter the distribution of ambient ozone levels and temperatures which, in turn, may impact public health. Much research has focused on the effect of short-term ozone exposures on mortality and morbidity while…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-05 Ander Wilson , Ana G. Rappold , Lucas M. Neas , Brian J. Reich

Studies investigating the causal effects of spatially varying exposures on outcomes often rely on observational and spatially indexed data. A prevalent challenge is unmeasured spatial confounding, where an unobserved spatially varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Sophie M. Woodward , Mauricio Tec , Francesca Dominici

We develop a spatio-temporal model to forecast sensor output at five locations in North East England. The signal is described using coupled dynamic linear models, with spatial effects specified by a Gaussian process. Data streams are…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-15 Yingying Lai , Andrew Golightly , Richard Boys

Air pollution, a pressing global problem, threatens public health, environmental sustainability, and climate stability. Achieving accurate and scalable forecasting across spatially distributed monitoring stations is challenging due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Junxin Lu , Shiliang Sun

Environmental epidemiologists are often interested in estimating the effect of time-varying functions of the exposure history on health outcomes. However, the individual exposure measurements that constitute the history upon which an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-23 Ce Yang , Ning Zhang , Jiaxuan Li , Unnati V. Mehta , Jaime E. Hart , Donna Spiegelman , Molin Wang

The Clean Air Act mandates that the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) must be routinely assessed to protect populations based on the latest science. Therefore, researchers should continue to address whether exposure to levels…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-09 Georgia Papadogeorgou , Francesca Dominici

Pollutant exposure during gestation is a known and adverse factor for birth and health outcomes. However, the links between prenatal air pollution exposures and educational outcomes are less clear, in particular the critical windows of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-11 Yunan Gao , Daniel R. Kowal

The scientific rigor and computational methods of causal inference have had great impacts on many disciplines, but have only recently begun to take hold in spatial applications. Spatial casual inference poses analytic challenges due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Brian J Reich , Shu Yang , Yawen Guan , Andrew B Giffin , Matthew J Miller , Ana G Rappold
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