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Solar flares occur due to the sudden release of energy stored in active-region magnetic fields. To date, the pre-cursors to flaring are still not fully understood, although there is evidence that flaring is related to changes in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-02-01 Sophie A. Murray , D. Shaun Bloomfield , Peter T. Gallagher

We present a case study of solar flare forecasting by means of metadata feature time series, by treating it as a prominent class-imbalance and temporally coherent problem. Taking full advantage of pre-flare time series in solar active…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-05-26 Azim Ahmadzadeh , Berkay Aydin , Manolis K. Georgoulis , Dustin J. Kempton , Sushant S. Mahajan , Rafal A. Angryk

Solar flares, along with other sun-originated events such as Coronal Mass Ejections, fast solar wind streams, and solar energetic particles are among the most relevant events in Space Weather. Moreover, solar flares are the most energetic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-21 Nicola Plutino , Francesco Berrilli , Dario Del Moro , Luca Giovannelli

Prediction of the Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events garner increasing interest as space missions extend beyond Earth's protective magnetosphere. These events, which are, in most cases, products of magnetic reconnection-driven processes…

Neutrinos generated during solar flares remain elusive. However, after $50$ years of discussion and search, the potential knowledge unleashed by their discovery keeps the search crucial. Neutrinos associated with solar flares provide…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-12 K. Okamoto , Y. Nakano , S. Masuda , Y. Itow , M. Miyake , T. Terasawa , S. Ito , M. Nakahata

Effective utilization of photovoltaic (PV) plants requires weather variability robust global solar radiation (GSR) forecasting models. Random weather turbulence phenomena coupled with assumptions of clear sky model as suggested by Hottel…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-12 Subhadip Dey , Sawon Pratiher , Saon Banerjee , Chanchal Kumar Mukherjee

We study the prediction of solar flare size and time-to-flare using 38 features describing magnetic complexity of the photospheric magnetic field. This work uses support vector regression to formulate a mapping from the 38-dimensional…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-11-09 Laura E. Boucheron , Amani Al-Ghraibah , R. T. James McAteer

'Flare Likelihood and Region Eruption Forecasting (FLARECAST)' is a Horizon 2020 project, which realized a technological platform for machine learning algorithms, with the objective of providing the space weather community with a prediction…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-25 Michele Piana , Anna Maria Massone , Federico Benvenuto , Cristina Campi

It is widely assumed that the most probable sites of flare occurrences are the locations of high horizontal magnetic field gradients in the active regions. Instead of magnetograms the present work checks this assumption by using sunspot…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-01-10 M. B. Korsos , T. Baranyi , A. Ludmany

There is a wide range of eruptions in the solar atmosphere which contribute to space weather, including the major explosions of radiation known as flares. To examine pre-event behavior in delta-spot regions, we use here a method based on…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-21 Marianna B. Korsos , Shuhong Yang , Robert Erdelyi

The issue of predicting solar flares is one of the most fundamental in physics, addressing issues of plasma physics, high-energy physics, and modelling of complex systems. It also poses societal consequences, with our ever-increasing need…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 R. T. James McAteer , Peter T. Gallagher , Paul A. Conlon

Solar flares are events of intense scientific interest. Although certain solar conditions are known to be associated with flare activity, the exact location and timing of an individual flare on the Sun cannot as yet be predicted with…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-11-03 Andrew R. Inglis , Jack Ireland , Albert Y. Shih , Steven D. Christe

The spatial extension of active regions (ARs) of the Sun can vary from one case to the next. This is a problem when studying solar flares with Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) as they generally use input images of a fixed size.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-10 Philippe Vong , Laurent Dolla , Alexandros Koukras , Jacques Gustin , Jorge Amaya , Ekaterina Dineva , Giovanni Lapenta

The solar X-ray irradiance is significantly heightened during the course of a solar flare, which can cause radio blackouts due to ionization of the atoms in the ionosphere. As the duration of a solar flare is not related to the size of that…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-11-10 Jeffrey W. Reep , Will T. Barnes

Long-term \textit{Fermi}-LAT monitoring makes it possible to ask whether a blazar light curve shows signs of an upcoming flare before the flare becomes obvious in the $\gamma$-ray emission. We present a strictly causal machine-learning…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2026-05-11 Zahir Shah , Sikandar Akbar

Ahead-of-time forecasting of incident solar-irradiance on a panel is indicative of expected energy yield and is essential for efficient grid distribution and planning. Traditionally, these forecasts are based on meteorological physics…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-16 Talha A. Siddiqui , Samarth Bharadwaj , Shivkumar Kalyanaraman

This paper is an attempt to understand the physical processes occurring in different layers of solar atmosphere during a solar flare. For a complete understanding of the flare we must analyze multi-wavelength datasets, as emission at…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-30 Shirsh Lata Soni , Radhe Shyam Gupta , Adya Prasad Mishra

We investigate the characteristics of the solar flares complex network. The limited predictability, non-linearity, and self-organized criticality of the flares allow us to study systems of flares in the field of the complex systems. Both…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-10-04 Akbar Gheibi , Hossein Safari , Mohsen Javaherian

A solar active region (AR) that produces at least one M- or X-class major flare tends to produce multiple flares during its passage across the solar disk. It will be interesting if we can estimate how flare-productive a given major flaring…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-12 Eo-Jin Lee , Sung-Hong Park , Yong-Jae Moon

Although space weather events may not directly affect human life, they have the potential to inflict significant harm upon our communities. Harmful space weather events can trigger atmospheric changes that result in physical and economic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-07 Shlesh Sakpal