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This overview paper details the findings from the Diving Deep: Forecasting Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies Challenge at the European Conference on Machine Learning and Principles and Practice of Knowledge Discovery in Databases (ECML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Karin R. Bryan , Yun Sing Koh , Andreas Voskou , N'Dah Jean Kouagou , Arnab Sharma

A key challenge for computationally intensive state-of-the-art Earth System models is to distinguish global warming signals from interannual variability. Here we introduce DLESyM, a parsimonious deep learning model that accurately simulates…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-21 Nathaniel Cresswell-Clay , Bowen Liu , Dale Durran , Zihui Liu , Zachary I. Espinosa , Raul Moreno , Matthias Karlbauer

This paper presents and investigates a novel methodology for validating high-resolution ocean models using satellite imagery. High-resolution ocean models provide detailed information in coastal areas where other available data products are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-28 G. Garcia-Sanchez , A. M. Mancho , A. G. Ramos , J. Coca , J. A. Jimenez-Madrid

Tides represent the daily alternations of high and low waters along coastlines and in oceans, and the current theory (termed the gravitational forcing mechanism) explains them as a manifestation of the response of ocean water to the Moon's…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-29 Yongfeng Yang

In climate science, models for global warming and weather prediction face significant challenges due to the limited availability of high-quality data and the difficulty in obtaining it, making data efficiency crucial. In the past few years,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Sameera S Kashyap , Raj Abhijit Dandekar , Rajat Dandekar , Sreedath Panat

Physics-based numerical models have been the bedrock of atmospheric sciences for decades, offering robust solutions but often at the cost of significant computational resources. Deep learning (DL) models have emerged as powerful tools in…

A data-driven and equation-free approach is proposed and discussed to model ships maneuvers in waves, based on the dynamic mode decomposition (DMD). DMD is a dimensionality-reduction/reduced-order modeling method, which provides a linear…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-28 Matteo Diez , Andea Serani , Emilio F. Campana , Frederick Stern

Global climate models (GCMs) are the main tools for understanding and predicting climate change. However, due to limited numerical resolutions, these models suffer from major structural uncertainties; e.g., they cannot resolve critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Rambod Mojgani , Daniel Waelchli , Yifei Guan , Petros Koumoutsakos , Pedram Hassanzadeh

Sea Surface Temperature (SST) is crucial for understanding upper-ocean thermal dynamics and ocean-atmosphere interactions, which have profound economic and social impacts. While data-driven models show promise in SST prediction, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Zheng Jiang , Wei Wang , Gaowei Zhang , Yi Wang

We develop multiple Deep Learning (DL) models that advance the state-of-the-art predictions of the global auroral particle precipitation. We use observations from low Earth orbiting spacecraft of the electron energy flux to develop a model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-01 Jack Ziegler , Ryan M. Mcgranaghan

In this study we perform online sea ice bias correction within a GFDL global ice-ocean model. For this, we use a convolutional neural network (CNN) which was developed in a previous study (Gregory et al., 2023) for the purpose of predicting…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-01 William Gregory , Mitchell Bushuk , Yongfei Zhang , Alistair Adcroft , Laure Zanna

In this paper, we propose a new method to forecast the drift of objects in near coastal ocean on a period of several weeks. The proposed approach consists in estimating the probability of events linked to the drift using Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pierre Ailliot , Emmanuel Frenod , Valerie Monbet

Mesoscale ocean dynamics play a critical role in climate systems, governing heat transport, hurricane genesis, and drought patterns. However, simulating these processes at high resolution remains computationally prohibitive due to their…

Making the most of multispectral image time-series is a promising but still relatively under-explored research direction because of the complexity of jointly analyzing spatial, spectral and temporal information. Capturing and characterizing…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-22 Joaquim Estopinan , Guillaume Tochon , Lucas Drumetz

Operational ocean forecasting systems conventionally employ dynamical ocean models driven by atmospheric forcing derived from numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence and machine learning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-10 Xiaobing Zhou , Frank Colberg , Debra Hudson , Yonghong Yin , Griffith Young , Christopher Bladwell , Catherine Deburgh-Day

Inspired by the similarity of the atmosphere-ocean physical coupling mechanism, this study innovatively migrates meteorological large-model techniques to the ocean domain, constructing the KunPeng global ocean environmental prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Yi Zhao , Jiaqi Li , Haitao Xia , Tianjiao Zhang , Zerong Zeng , Tianyu Ren , Yucheng Zhang , Chao Zhu , Shengtong Xu , Hongchun Yuan

We present a large ensemble of simulations of an Earth-like world with increasing insolation and rotation rate. Unlike previous work utilizing idealized aquaplanet configurations we focus our simulations on modern Earth-like topography. The…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-12 M. J. Way , A. D. Del Genio , I. Aleinov , T. L. Clune , M. Kelley , N. Y. Kiang

Modeling is crucial to understanding the effect of greenhouse gases, warming, and ice sheet melting on the ocean. At the same time, ocean processes affect phenomena such as hurricanes and droughts. Parameters in the models that cannot be…

Machine learning emulators have shown extraordinary skill in forecasting atmospheric states, and their application to global ocean dynamics offers similar promise. Here, we adapt the GraphCast architecture into a dedicated ocean-only…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Niraj Agarwal , Timothy A. Smith , Sergey Frolov , Laura C. Slivinski

Model reduction for fluid flow simulation continues to be of great interest across a number of scientific and engineering fields. Here, we explore the use of Neural Ordinary Differential Equations, a recently introduced family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Sourav Dutta , Peter Rivera-Casillas , Matthew W. Farthing