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This study examines the predictability of artificial intelligence (AI) models for weather prediction. Using a simple deep-learning architecture based on convolutional long short-term memory and the ERA5 data for training, we show that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-07 Chanh Kieu

This work uniquely combines an affine linear decision rule known from adjustable robustness with min-max-regret robustness. By doing so, the advantages of both concepts can be obtained with an adjustable solution that is not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Kerstin Schneider , Helene Krieg , Dimitri Nowak , Karl-Heinz Küfer

In this paper, we introduce a framework for solving finite-horizon multistage optimization problems under uncertainty in the presence of auxiliary data. We assume the joint distribution of the uncertain quantities is unknown, but noisy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-29 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord

The exponential growth of volume, variety and velocity of data is raising the need for investigations of automated or semi-automated ways to extract useful patterns from the data. It requires deep expert knowledge and extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-22 Abbas Raza Ali , Marcin Budka , Bogdan Gabrys

We consider an online two-stage stochastic optimization with long-term constraints over a finite horizon of $T$ periods. At each period, we take the first-stage action, observe a model parameter realization and then take the second-stage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Jiashuo Jiang

We develop a tractable and flexible approach for incorporating side information into dynamic optimization under uncertainty. The proposed framework uses predictive machine learning methods (such as $k$-nearest neighbors, kernel regression,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-23 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord , Bradley Sturt

In the wake of the highly electrified future ahead of us, the role of energy storage is crucial wherever distributed generation is abundant, such as in microgrid settings. Given the variety of storage options that are becoming more and more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-26 S. Tsianikas , N. Yousefi , J. Zhou , M. Rodgers , D. W. Coit

Sustainable forest management requires handling uncertainty introduced from various sources, considering different conflicting economic, environmental, and social objectives, and involving multiple decision-making periods. This study…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Babooshka Shavazipour , Lovisa Engberg Sundström

In this work we provide a formal model for the different time-dependent components that can appear in dynamic multi-objective optimization problems, along with a classification of these components. Four main classes are identified,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2011-03-25 Alexandru-Adrian Tantar , Emilia Tantar , Pascal Bouvry

Wind power forecasting is essential for managing daily operations at wind farms and enabling market operators to manage power uncertainty effectively in demand planning. This paper explores advanced cross-temporal forecasting models and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Mahdi Abolghasemi , Daniele Girolimetto , Tommaso Di Fonzo

Contextual stochastic optimization is an advanced methodology to model uncertainty in the presence of contextual information during decision planning processes. Although classical methodologies focus on minimizing the expectation of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Man Yiu Tsang , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

Engineering system design, viewed as a decision-making process, faces challenges due to complexity and uncertainty. In this paper, we present a framework proposing the use of the Deep Q-learning algorithm to optimize the design of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Ramin Giahi , Cameron A. MacKenzie , Reyhaneh Bijari

Accurate time-series forecasting is crucial in various scientific and industrial domains, yet deep learning models often struggle to capture long-term dependencies and adapt to data distribution shifts over time. We introduce Future-Guided…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Skye Gunasekaran , Assel Kembay , Hugo Ladret , Rui-Jie Zhu , Laurent Perrinet , Omid Kavehei , Jason Eshraghian

Multi-step temporal difference (TD) learning is an important approach in reinforcement learning, as it unifies one-step TD learning with Monte Carlo methods in a way where intermediate algorithms can outperform either extreme. They address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Kristopher De Asis , Richard S. Sutton

Machine learning pipelines often rely on optimization procedures to make discrete decisions (e.g., sorting, picking closest neighbors, or shortest paths). Although these discrete decisions are easily computed, they break the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Quentin Berthet , Mathieu Blondel , Olivier Teboul , Marco Cuturi , Jean-Philippe Vert , Francis Bach

There are many approaches for training decision trees. This work introduces a novel gradient-based method for constructing decision trees that optimize arbitrary differentiable loss functions, overcoming the limitations of heuristic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

Recently there has been a surge of interest in operations research (OR) and the machine learning (ML) community in combining prediction algorithms and optimization techniques to solve decision-making problems in the face of uncertainty.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Utsav Sadana , Abhilash Chenreddy , Erick Delage , Alexandre Forel , Emma Frejinger , Thibaut Vidal

Hierarchical learning algorithms that gradually approximate a solution to a data-driven optimization problem are essential to decision-making systems, especially under limitations on time and computational resources. In this study, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-22 Christos Mavridis , John Baras

Many approaches for optimizing decision making models rely on gradient based methods requiring informative feedback from the environment. However, in the case where such feedback is sparse or uninformative, such approaches may result in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Mohit Rajpal , Lac Gia Tran , Yehong Zhang , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low

We consider a logistics planning problem of prepositioning relief items in preparation for an impending hurricane landfall. This problem is modeled as a multiperiod network flow problem where the objective is to minimize the logistics cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-27 Murwan Siddig , Yongjia Song