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Time series forecasting is a crucial challenge with significant applications in areas such as weather prediction, stock market analysis, and scientific simulations. This paper introduces an embedded decomposed transformer, 'EDformer', for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Sanjay Chakraborty , Ibrahim Delibasoglu , Fredrik Heintz

Although Transformer-based methods have significantly improved state-of-the-art results for long-term series forecasting, they are not only computationally expensive but more importantly, are unable to capture the global view of time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Tian Zhou , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Xue Wang , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

Time series data is a key element of big data analytics, commonly found in domains such as finance, healthcare, climate forecasting, and transportation. In large scale real world settings, such data is often high dimensional and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Younghwi Kim , Dohee Kim , Joongrock Kim , Sunghyun Sim

Time series forecasting is an important challenge with significant applications in areas such as weather prediction, stock market analysis, scientific simulations and industrial process analysis. In this work, we introduce LMS-AutoTSF, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Ibrahim Delibasoglu , Sanjay Chakraborty , Fredrik Heintz

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) represents a critical frontier in time series analysis, characterized by extensive input sequences, as opposed to the shorter spans typical of traditional approaches. While longer sequences…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Jinliang Deng , Feiyang Ye , Du Yin , Xuan Song , Ivor W. Tsang , Hui Xiong

Time series forecasting is a crucial task in various domains. Caused by factors such as trends, seasonality, or irregular fluctuations, time series often exhibits non-stationary. It obstructs stable feature propagation through deep layers,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Xiang Ma , Xuemei Li , Lexin Fang , Tianlong Zhao , Caiming Zhang

Time series forecasting has received wide interest from existing research due to its broad applications and inherent challenging. The research challenge lies in identifying effective patterns in historical series and applying them to future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Tianlong Zhao , Xiang Ma , Xuemei Li , Caiming Zhang

Time series forecasting is a fundamental tool with wide ranging applications, yet recent debates question whether complex nonlinear architectures truly outperform simple linear models. Prior claims of dominance of the linear model often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Md Rakibul Haque , Vishwa Goudar , Shireen Elhabian , Warren Woodrich Pettine

Recent research has challenged the necessity of complex deep learning architectures for time series forecasting, demonstrating that simple linear models can often outperform sophisticated approaches. Building upon this insight, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Remi Genet , Hugo Inzirillo

Many methods aim to enhance time series forecasting by decomposing the series through intricate model structures and prior knowledge, yet they are inevitably limited by computational complexity and the robustness of the assumptions. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Hanzhong Cao , Wenbo Yan , Ying Tan

Transformers have demonstrated impressive strength in long-term series forecasting. Existing prediction research mostly focused on mapping past short sub-series (lookback window) to future series (forecast window). The longer training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Julong Young , Junhui Chen , Feihu Huang , Jian Peng

Real-world time series typically exhibit complex temporal variations, making the time series classification task notably challenging. Recent advancements have demonstrated the potential of multi-scale analysis approaches, which provide an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Zhipeng Liu , Peibo Duan , Binwu Wang , Xuan Tang , Qi Chu , Changsheng Zhang , Yongsheng Huang , Bin Zhang

Transformers for time series forecasting mainly model time series from limited or fixed scales, making it challenging to capture different characteristics spanning various scales. We propose Pathformer, a multi-scale Transformer with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Peng Chen , Yingying Zhang , Yunyao Cheng , Yang Shu , Yihang Wang , Qingsong Wen , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved strong zero-shot forecasting performance through large-scale pretraining and retrieval-augmented prediction. However, our empirical analysis reveals a non-trivial limitation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Jinjin Chi , Lei Feng , Lulu Zhang , Yongcheng Jing , Yiming Wang , Ximing Li , Jialie Shen , Leszek Rutkowski , Dacheng Tao

Time series analysis provides essential insights for real-world system dynamics and informs downstream decision-making, yet most existing methods often overlook the rich contextual signals present in auxiliary modalities. To bridge this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Yushan Jiang , Wenchao Yu , Geon Lee , Dongjin Song , Kijung Shin , Wei Cheng , Yanchi Liu , Haifeng Chen

Accurate traffic forecasting is essential for intelligent transportation systems, supporting a wide range of real-world applications. However, it remains challenging due to two key factors:~(1) Traffic series contain heterogeneous temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Ruiwen Gu , Qitai Tan , Yahao Liu , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Time-series forecasting often faces challenges due to data volatility, which can lead to inaccurate predictions. Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) has emerged as a promising technique to mitigate volatility by decomposing data into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Hafizh Raihan Kurnia Putra , Novanto Yudistira , Tirana Noor Fatyanosa

Time series forecasters are widely used across various domains. Among them, MLP (multi-layer perceptron)-based forecasters have been proven to be more robust to noise compared to Transformer-based forecasters. However, MLP struggles to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Xiang Ao

Long-term time series forecasting plays an important role in various real-world scenarios. Recent deep learning methods for long-term series forecasting tend to capture the intricate patterns of time series by decomposition-based or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Xing Wang , Zhendong Wang , Kexin Yang , Junlan Feng , Zhiyan Song , Chao Deng , Lin zhu

Time series forecasting is a critical and challenging task in practical application. Recent advancements in pre-trained foundation models for time series forecasting have gained significant interest. However, current methods often overlook…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Shubao Zhao , Ming Jin , Zhaoxiang Hou , Chengyi Yang , Zengxiang Li , Qingsong Wen , Yi Wang