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In this paper we use wavelet concepts to show that correlation coefficient between two financial data's is not constant but varies with scale from high correlation value to strongly anti-correlation value This studies is important because…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Ashok Razdan

In today's complex and volatile financial market environment, risk management of multi-asset portfolios faces significant challenges. Traditional risk assessment methods, due to their limited ability to capture complex correlations between…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Fu Lei , Ge Shi

We explore the applicability of the causal analysis based on temporally shifted (lagged) Pearson correlation applied to diverse time series of different natures in context of the problem of financial market prediction. Theoretical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-28 Anton Kolonin , Ali Raheman , Mukul Vishwas , Ikram Ansari , Juan Pinzon , Alice Ho

It has been shown that financial news leads to the fluctuation of stock prices. However, previous work on news-driven financial market prediction focused only on predicting stock price movement without providing an explanation. In this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-02-14 Linyi Yang , Zheng Zhang , Su Xiong , Lirui Wei , James Ng , Lina Xu , Ruihai Dong

We develop a topology data analysis-based method to detect early signs for critical transitions in financial data. From the time-series of multiple stock prices, we build time-dependent correlation networks, which exhibit topological…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-24 Marian Gidea

Recent developments in monetary policy by the Federal Reserve has created a need for an objective method of communication analysis.Using methods developed for text analysis, we present a novel technique of analysis which creates a semantic…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Harish Gandhi Ramachandran , Dan DeRose

We show that results from the theory of random matrices are potentially of great interest to understand the statistical structure of the empirical correlation matrices appearing in the study of price fluctuations. The central result of the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Laurent Laloux , Pierre Cizeau , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

In structural credit risk models, default events and the ensuing losses are both derived from the asset values at maturity. Hence it is of utmost importance to choose a distribution for these asset values which is in accordance with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-13 Thilo A. Schmitt , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

The study of time series has motivated many researchers, particularly on the area of multivariate-analysis. The study of co-movements and dependency between random variables leads us to develop metrics to describe existing connection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Hugo Schnoering , Hugo Inzirillo

We show that financial correlations exhibit a non-trivial dynamic behavior. We introduce a simple phenomenological model of a multi-asset financial market, which takes into account the impact of portfolio investment on price dynamics. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Giacomo Raffaelli , Matteo Marsili

Maintaining financial system stability is critical to economic development, and early identification of risks and opportunities is essential. The financial industry contains a wide variety of data, such as financial statements, customer…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Hongyin Zhu

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely used in various fields. Reasonable prediction results can assist people in planning and decision-making, generate benefits and avoid risks. Normally, there are two characteristics of time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Yifu Zhou , Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren , Yueyang Wang , Xiaoqian Wang

Traditional time series forecasting models mainly rely on historical numeric values to predict future outcomes.While these models have shown promising results, they often overlook the rich information available in other modalities, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Ming-Chih Lo , Ching Chang , Wen-Chih Peng

Time series forecasting has traditionally focused on univariate and multivariate numerical data, often overlooking the benefits of incorporating multimodal information, particularly textual data. In this paper, we propose a novel framework…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Xin Zhou , Weiqing Wang , Shilin Qu , Zhiqiang Zhang , Christoph Bergmeir

Modern evolvements of the technologies have been leading to a profound influence on the financial market. The introduction of constituents like Exchange-Traded Funds, and the wide-use of advanced technologies such as algorithmic trading,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-20 Liao Zhu

Multivariate time series (MTS) analysis prevails in real-world applications such as finance, climate science and healthcare. The various self-attention mechanisms, the backbone of the state-of-the-art Transformer-based models, efficiently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Quang Minh Nguyen , Lam M. Nguyen , Subhro Das

Recent advancements in Large Language Models (LLMs) have the potential to transform financial analytics by integrating numerical and textual data. However, challenges such as insufficient context when fusing multimodal information and the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-14 Hoyoung Lee , Youngsoo Choi , Yuhee Kwon

We review the state of the art of clustering financial time series and the study of their correlations alongside other interaction networks. The aim of this review is to gather in one place the relevant material from different fields, e.g.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-14 Gautier Marti , Frank Nielsen , Mikołaj Bińkowski , Philippe Donnat

Financial networks have become extremely useful in characterizing the structure of complex financial systems. Meanwhile, the time evolution property of the stock markets can be described by temporal networks. We utilize the temporal network…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-04 Longfeng Zhao , Gang-Jin Wang , Mingang Wang , Weiqi Bao , Wei Li , H. Eugene Stanley

Financial forecasting is challenging and attractive in machine learning. There are many classic solutions, as well as many deep learning based methods, proposed to deal with it yielding encouraging performance. Stock time series forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Tao Ma