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Convection (thunderstorm) develops rapidly within hours and is highly destructive, posing a significant challenge for nowcasting and resulting in substantial losses to infrastructure and society. After the emergence of artificial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Kuai Dai , Xutao Li , Junying Fang , Yunming Ye , Demin Yu , Hui Su , Di Xian , Danyu Qin , Jingsong Wang

With the goal of predicting the future rainfall intensity in a local region over a relatively short period time, precipitation nowcasting has been a long-time scientific challenge with great social and economic impact. The radar echo…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-07 Bi-Ying Yan , Chao Yang , Feng Chen , Kohei Takeda , Changjun Wang

Hail risk assessment is necessary to estimate and reduce damage to crops, orchards, and infrastructure. Also, it helps to estimate and reduce consequent losses for businesses and, particularly, insurance companies. But hail forecasting is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-05 Ivan Lukyanenko , Mikhail Mozikov , Yury Maximov , Ilya Makarov

We propose a new deep learning model, WaveCastNet, to forecast high-dimensional wavefields. WaveCastNet integrates a convolutional long expressive memory architecture into a sequence-to-sequence forecasting framework, enabling it to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Dongwei Lyu , Rie Nakata , Pu Ren , Michael W. Mahoney , Arben Pitarka , Nori Nakata , N. Benjamin Erichson

Predicting precipitation maps is a highly complex spatiotemporal modeling task, critical for mitigating the impacts of extreme weather events. Short-term precipitation forecasting, or nowcasting, requires models that are not only accurate…

Floods cause serious problems around the world. Responding quickly and effectively requires accurate and timely information about the affected areas. The effective use of Remote Sensing images for accurate flood detection requires specific…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Vladyslav Polushko , Damjan Hatic , Ronald Rösch , Thomas März , Markus Rauhut , Andreas Weinmann

Floods are among the most frequent and catastrophic natural disasters and affect millions of people worldwide. It is important to create accurate flood maps to plan (offline) and conduct (real-time) flood mitigation and flood rescue…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-15 P. Chaudhary , S. D'Aronco , J. P. Leitao , K. Schindler , J. D. Wegner

We propose the use of a stochastic variational frame prediction deep neural network with a learned prior distribution trained on two-dimensional rain radar reflectivity maps for precipitation nowcasting with lead times of up to 2 1/2 hours.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Alexander Bihlo

Seismic assessment of buildings and determination of their structural damage is at the forefront of modern scientific research. Since now, several researchers have proposed a number of procedures, in an attempt to estimate the damage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-28 Konstantinos Demertzis , Konstantinos Kostinakis , Konstantinos Morfidis , Lazaros Iliadis

Forecasting motion and spatial positions of objects is of fundamental importance, especially in safety-critical settings such as autonomous driving. In this work, we address the issue by forecasting two different modalities that carry…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Andrea Ciamarra , Federico Becattini , Lorenzo Seidenari , Alberto Del Bimbo

Recently, many deep-learning techniques have been applied to various weather-related prediction tasks, including precipitation nowcasting (i.e., predicting precipitation levels and locations in the near future). Most existing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-25 Jihoon Ko , Kyuhan Lee , Hyunjin Hwang , Kijung Shin

Air pollution remains a leading global health risk, exacerbated by rapid industrialization and urbanization, contributing significantly to morbidity and mortality rates. In this paper, we introduce AirCast, a novel multi-variable air…

Machine learning-based precipitation nowcasting relies on high-fidelity radar reflectivity sequences to model the short-term evolution of convective storms. However, the development of models capable of predicting extreme weather has been…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-21 Andy Shi

Urban downscaling is a link to transfer the knowledge from coarser climate information to city scale assessments. These high-resolution assessments need multiyear climatology of past data and future projections, which are complex and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-16 Manmeet Singh , Nachiketa Acharya , Sajad Jamshidi , Junfeng Jiao , Zong-Liang Yang , Marc Coudert , Zach Baumer , Dev Niyogi

Urban flood risk emerges from complex and nonlinear interactions among multiple features related to flood hazard, flood exposure, and social and physical vulnerabilities, along with the complex spatial flood dependence relationships.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Kai Yin , Junwei Ma , Ali Mostafavi

Hurricane evacuation, ordered to save lives of people of coastal regions, generates high traffic demand with increased crash risk. To mitigate such risk, transportation agencies need to anticipate highway locations with high crash risks to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-16 Zaheen E Muktadi Syed , Samiul Hasan

Flood disasters cause enormous social and economic losses. However, both traditional physical models and learning-based flood forecasting models require massive historical flood data to train the model parameters. When come to some new site…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Delong Chen , Ruizhi Zhou , Yanling Pan , Fan Liu

Precipitation governs Earth's hydroclimate, and its daily spatiotemporal fluctuations have major socioeconomic effects. Advances in Numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been measured by the improvement of forecasts for various physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-14 Manmeet Singh , Vaisakh S B , Nachiketa Acharya , Aditya Grover , Suryachandra A Rao , Bipin Kumar , Zong-Liang Yang , Dev Niyogi

In coastal river systems, frequent floods, often occurring during major storms or king tides, pose a severe threat to lives and property. However, these floods can be mitigated or even prevented by strategically releasing water before…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Jimeng Shi , Zeda Yin , Arturo Leon , Jayantha Obeysekera , Giri Narasimhan

Flood risk is correlated in space and time, challenging insurance systems that rely on diversification across assets. Financial instruments governing flood coverage are typically structured as 1 to 5-year contracts, exposing portfolios to…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-04-16 Adam Nayak , Pierre Gentine , Upmanu Lall