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Elections involving a very large voter population often lead to outcomes that surprise many. This is particularly important for the elections in which results affect the economy of a sizable population. A better prediction of the true…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-31 Palash Dey , Pravesh K. Kothari , Swaprava Nath

Pull voting is a random process in which vertices of a connected graph have initial opinions chosen from a set of $k$ distinct opinions, and at each step a random vertex alters its opinion to that of a randomly chosen neighbour. If the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Colin Cooper , Tomasz Radzik , Takeharu Shiraga

Despite the prevalence of voting systems in the real world there is no consensus among researchers of how people vote strategically, even in simple voting settings. This paper addresses this gap by comparing different approaches that have…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Roy Fairstein , Adam Lauz , Kobi Gal , Reshef Meir

We consider a voting model, where a number of candidates need to be selected subject to certain feasibility constraints. The model generalises committee elections (where there is a single constraint on the number of candidates that need to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Tomáš Masařík , Grzegorz Pierczyński , Piotr Skowron

The well-known Condorcet's Jury theorem posits that the majority rule selects the best alternative among two available options with probability one, as the population size increases to infinity. We study this result under an asymmetric…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Ganesh Ghalme , Reshef Meir

In machine learning, metric elicitation refers to the selection of performance metrics that best reflect an individual's implicit preferences for a given application. Currently, metric elicitation methods only consider metrics that depend…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Chethan Bhateja , Joseph O'Brien , Afnaan Hashmi , Eva Prakash

This paper revisits the limitations of the Median Voter Theorem and introduces a novel framework to analyze the optimal economic ideological positions of political parties. By incorporating Nash equilibrium, we examine the mechanisms and…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-11 Shitong Wang

We study the effect of probabilistic distortions to the local majority rules used in the Galam model of opinion dynamics and bottom-up hierarchical voting. A different probability for a flip against the local majority within the discussion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-24 Gabor Toth , Serge Galam

We study electoral campaign management scenarios in which an external party can buy votes, i.e., pay the voters to promote its preferred candidate in their preference rankings. The external party's goal is to make its preferred candidate a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2010-11-29 Edith Elkind , Piotr Faliszewski

An important aspect of AI design and ethics is to create systems that reflect aggregate preferences of the society. To this end, the techniques of social choice theory are often utilized. We propose a new social choice function motivated by…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Gergei Bana , Wojciech Jamroga , David Naccache , Peter Y. A. Ryan

Participatory budgeting (PB) is a democratic paradigm whereby voters decide on a set of projects to fund with a limited budget. We consider PB in a setting where voters report ordinal preferences over projects and have (possibly) asymmetric…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Haris Aziz , Barton E. Lee

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in simulating human behaviour and social intelligence. However, they risk perpetuating societal biases, especially when demographic information is involved. We introduce…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Bryan Chen Zhengyu Tan , Roy Ka-Wei Lee

Representation learning is a fundamental task in machine learning, aiming at uncovering structures from data to facilitate subsequent tasks. However, what is a good representation for planning and reasoning in a stochastic world remains an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Meng Song

Personalized recommender systems are playing an increasingly important role as more content and services become available and users struggle to identify what might interest them. Although matrix factorization and deep learning based methods…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-01-14 Chen Ma , Liheng Ma , Yingxue Zhang , Ruiming Tang , Xue Liu , Mark Coates

We consider a social choice problem where only a small number of people out of a large population are sufficiently available or motivated to vote. A common solution to increase participation is to allow voters use a proxy, that is, transfer…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-28 Gal Cohensius , Shie Manor , Reshef Meir , Eli Meirom , Ariel Orda

With historic misses in the 2016 and 2020 US Presidential elections, interest in measuring polling errors has increased. The most common method for measuring directional errors and non-sampling excess variability during a postmortem for an…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-21 Graham Tierney , Alexander Volfovsky

This paper investigates the voting behaviors of Large Language Models (LLMs), specifically GPT-4 and LLaMA-2, their biases, and how they align with human voting patterns. Our methodology involved using a dataset from a human voting…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Joshua C. Yang , Damian Dailisan , Marcin Korecki , Carina I. Hausladen , Dirk Helbing

We explain the anomaly of election results between large cities and rural areas in terms of urban scaling in the 1948-2016 US elections and in the 2016 EU referendum of the UK. The scaling curves are all universal and depend on a single…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-07-04 Eszter Bokányi , Zoltán Szállási , Gábor Vattay

We study the contrarian voter model for opinion formation in a society under the influence of an external oscillating propaganda and stochastic noise. Each agent of the population can hold one of two possible opinions on a given issue…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-08-25 M. Cecilia Gimenez , Luis Reinaudi , Federico Vazquez

We consider the notions of agreement, diversity, and polarization in ordinal elections (that is, in elections where voters rank the candidates). While (computational) social choice offers good measures of agreement between the voters, such…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Piotr Faliszewski , Andrzej Kaczmarczyk , Krzysztof Sornat , Stanisław Szufa , Tomasz Wąs