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Understanding and predicting uncertain things are the central themes of scientific evolution. Human beings revolve around these fears of uncertainties concerning various aspects like a global pandemic, health, finances, to name but a few.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-31 Sayantan Nag Chowdhury , Arnob Ray , Arindam Mishra , Dibakar Ghosh

Artificial Intelligence models are increasingly used in manufacturing to inform decision-making. Responsible decision-making requires accurate forecasts and an understanding of the models' behavior. Furthermore, the insights into models'…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Jože M. Rožanec , Elena Trajkova , Inna Novalija , Patrik Zajec , Klemen Kenda , Blaž Fortuna , Dunja Mladenić

Firms typically cannot observe key consumer actions: whether customers buy from a competitor, choose not to buy, or even fully consider the firm's offer. This missing outside-option information makes market-size and preference estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Jiangkai Xiong , Kalyan Talluri , Hanzhao Wang

As autonomous vehicles are rolled out, measures must be taken to ensure their safe operation. In order to supervise a system that is already in operation, monitoring frameworks are frequently employed. These run continuously online in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Alexander Fertig , Karthikeyan Chandra Sekaran , Lakshman Balasubramanian , Michael Botsch

We propose an approach to predict the natural gas price in several days using historical price data and events extracted from news headlines. Most previous methods treats price as an extrapolatable time series, those analyze the relation…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Minh Triet Chau , Diego Esteves , Jens Lehmann

Many application domains require representing interrelated real-world activities and/or evolving physical phenomena. In the crisis response domain, for instance, one may be interested in representing the state of the unfolding crisis (e.g.,…

Databases · Computer Science 2009-09-30 Naveen Ashish , Dmitri Kalashnikov , Sharad Mehrotra , Nalini Venkatasubramanian

Many of the observations we make are biased by our decisions. For instance, the demand of items is impacted by the prices set, and online checkout choices are influenced by the assortments presented. The challenge in decision-making under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Rares Cristian , Pavithra Harsha , Georgia Perakis , Brian Quanz

Machine learning models play a vital role in the prediction task in several fields of study. In this work, we utilize the ability of machine learning algorithms to predict the occurrence of extreme events in a nonlinear mechanical system.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 J. Meiyazhagan , S. Sudharsan , A. Venkatasen , M. Senthilvelan

With the ever increasing prominence of data in retail operations, sales forecasting has become an essential pillar in the efficient management of inventories. When facing high demand, the use of backroom storage and intraday shelf…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-17 Marc-Olivier Boldi , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Olivier Gallay

An accurate load forecast is always important for the power industry and energy players as it enables stakeholders to make critical decisions. In addition, its importance is further increased with growing uncertainties in the generation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-26 Muhammad Qamar Raza , N. Mithulananthan , Jiaming Li , Kwang Y. Lee

Understanding latent user needs beneath shopping behaviors is critical to e-commercial applications. Without a proper definition of user needs in e-commerce, most industry solutions are not driven directly by user needs at current stage,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-10-09 Xusheng Luo , Yonghua Yang , Kenny Q. Zhu , Yu Gong , Keping Yang

Anomaly detection is the task of identifying examples that do not behave as expected. Because anomalies are rare and unexpected events, collecting real anomalous examples is often challenging in several applications. In addition, learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Lorenzo Perini , Maja Rudolph , Sabrina Schmedding , Chen Qiu

With the increasing scale of search engine marketing, designing an efficient bidding system is becoming paramount for the success of e-commerce companies. The critical challenges faced by a modern industrial-level bidding system include: 1.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-08-09 Cheng Jie , Da Xu , Zigeng Wang , Lu Wang , Wei Shen

Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabilistic forecasts but exhibit biases and difficulties in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Christopher Bülte , Sohir Maskey , Philipp Scholl , Jonas von Berg , Gitta Kutyniok

Extreme events gain the attention of researchers due to their utmost importance in various contexts ranging from finance to climatology. This brings such recurrent events to the limelight of attention in interdisciplinary research. A…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-18 Sayantan Nag Chowdhury , Arnob Ray , Syamal K. Dana , Dibakar Ghosh

Many current applications use recommendations in order to modify the natural user behavior, such as to increase the number of sales or the time spent on a website. This results in a gap between the final recommendation objective and the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-08-06 Stephen Bonner , Flavian Vasile

Category recommendation for users on an e-Commerce platform is an important task as it dictates the flow of traffic through the website. It is therefore important to surface precise and diverse category recommendations to aid the users'…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Ramasubramanian Balasubramanian , Venugopal Mani , Abhinav Mathur , Sushant Kumar , Kannan Achan

In many areas of industry and society, e.g., energy, healthcare, logistics, agents collect vast amounts of data that they deem proprietary. These data owners extract predictive information of varying quality and relevance from data…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-10-07 Aitazaz Ali Raja , Pierre Pinson , Jalal Kazempour , Sergio Grammatico

This paper proposes an algorithm based on a staged sliding window Transformer architecture to detect abnormal behaviors in the microstructure of the foreign exchange market, focusing on high-frequency EUR/USD trading data. The method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Qiuliuyang Bao , Jiawei Wang , Hao Gong , Yiwei Zhang , Xiaojun Guo , Hanrui Feng

This paper presents a novel learning based framework for predicting power outages caused by extreme events. The proposed approach targets low-probability high-consequence outage scenarios and leverages a comprehensive set of features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Nina Fatehi , Antar Kumar Biswas , Masoud H. Nazari