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Modeling count-valued time series has been receiving increasing attention since count time series naturally arise in physical and social domains. Poisson gamma dynamical systems (PGDSs) are newly-developed methods, which can well capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-01 Rui Huang , Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl

Multivariate tempered stable random measures (ISRMs) are constructed and their corresponding space of integrable functions is characterized in terms of a quasi-norm utilizing the so-called Rosinski measure of a tempered stable law. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-21 Dustin Kremer , Hans-Peter Scheffler

We propose a general modeling framework for marked Poisson processes observed over time or space. The modeling approach exploits the connection of the nonhomogeneous Poisson process intensity with a density function. Nonparametric Dirichlet…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-02 Matthew A. Taddy , Athanasios Kottas

In this paper, we investigate the cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) of the maximum and minimum of multivariate Poisson distributions with three dependence structures, namely, the common shock, comonotonic shock and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Zheng Liu , Feifan Shi , Jing Yao , Yang Yang

We consider a competing risks model, in which system failures are due to one out of two mutually exclusive causes, formulated within the framework of shock models driven by bivariate Poisson process. We obtain the failure densities and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-02 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Maria Longobardi

We introduce a novel stochastic version of the non-reversible, rejection-free Bouncy Particle Sampler (BPS), a Markov process whose sample trajectories are piecewise linear. The algorithm is based on simulating first arrival times in a…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-15 Ari Pakman , Dar Gilboa , David Carlson , Liam Paninski

We consider risk-sensitive Markov decision processes (MDPs), where the MDP model is influenced by a parameter which takes values in a compact metric space. We identify sufficient conditions under which small perturbations in the model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Shiping Shao , Abhishek Gupta , William B. Haskell

With the increasing intelligence and integration, a great number of two-valued variables (generally stored in the form of 0 or 1 value) often exist in large-scale industrial processes. However, these variables cannot be effectively handled…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-26 Min Wang , Li Sheng , Donghua Zhou , Maoyin Chen

We study different fractional extensions of the Poisson process and generalized counting processes by introducing time-change represented by the inverse to the sums of stable and tempered stable subordinators. We state the governing…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Lyudmyla Sakhno , Artem Storozhuk

A method is developed to estimate the parameters of a Levy copula of a discretely observed bivariate compound Poisson process without knowledge of common shocks. The method is tested in a small sample simulation study. Also, the method is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-04 J. L. van Velsen

Modeling event sequences of multiple event types with marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) provides a principled way to uncover governing dynamical rules and predict future events. Current neural network approaches to MTPP inference rely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 David Berghaus , Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , César Ojeda , Ramsés J. Sánchez

This paper introduces a discrete-time fractional Poisson process defined as a renewal process, where the waiting times follow a discrete Mittag-Leffler distribution. We investigate its fundamental properties by explicitly deriving the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Naohiro Yoshida

We consider a stationary spatio-temporal random process and assume that we have a sample. By defining a sequence of discrete Fourier transforms at canonical frequencies at each location, and using these complex valued random varables as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-31 T. Subba Rao , Gy. Terdik

Feature selection procedures for spatial point processes parametric intensity estimation have been recently developed since more and more applications involve a large number of covariates. In this paper, we investigate the setting where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-29 Achmad Choiruddin , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Frédérique Letué

We introduce a novel framework to account for sensitivity to rewards uncertainty in sequential decision-making problems. While risk-sensitive formulations for Markov decision processes studied so far focus on the distribution of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-16 Nelson Vadori , Sumitra Ganesh , Prashant Reddy , Manuela Veloso

The Poisson process of order $i$ is a weighted sum of independent Poisson processes and is used to model the flow of clients in different services. In the paper below we study some extensions of this process, for different forms of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-01 A. Maheshwari , E. Orsingher , A. S. Sengar

We study the obtainment of closed-form formulas for the distribution of the jumps of a doubly-stochastic Poisson process. The problem is approached in two ways. On the one hand, we translate the problem to the computation of multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-04 Arturo Valdivia

In an M-type 2 Banach space, firstly we explore some properties of the set-valued stochastic integral associated with the stationary Poisson point process. By using the Hahn decomposition theorem and bounded linear functional, we obtain the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-10 Jinping Zhang , Itaru Mitoma , Yoshiaki Okazaki

We develop a novel stochastic valuation and premium calculation principle based on probability measure distortions that are induced by quantile processes in continuous time. Necessary and sufficient conditions are derived under which the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-07 Holly Brannelly , Andrea Macrina , Gareth W. Peters

This paper introduces the factorial marked temporal point process model and presents efficient learning methods. In conventional (multi-dimensional) marked temporal point process models, event is often encoded by a single discrete variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-23 Weichang Wu , Junchi Yan , Xiaokang Yang , Hongyuan Zha
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