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We consider the set M_n of all n-truncated power moment sequences of probability measures on [0,1]. We endow this set with the uniform probability. Picking randomly a point in M_n, we show that the upper canonical measure associated with…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Fabrice Gamboa , Li-Vang Lozada-Chang

Many systems contain latent variables that make their dynamics partially unidentifiable or cause distribution shifts in the observed statistics between offline and online data. However, existing control techniques often assume access to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-24 Haoming Jing , Yorie Nakahira

Statistical physics and dynamical systems theory are key tools to study high-impact geophysical events such as temperature extremes, cyclones, thunderstorms, geomagnetic storms and many more. Despite the intrinsic differences between these…

Survivorship analysis allows to statistically analyze situations that can be modeled as waiting times to an event. These waiting times are characterized by the cumulative hazard rate, which can be estimated by the Nelson-Aalen estimator or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Niklas Hohmann

The large deviation principle in the small noise limit is derived for solutions of possibly degenerate It\^o stochastic differential equations with predictable coefficients, which may depend also on the large deviation parameter. The result…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-06 Alberto Chiarini , Markus Fischer

We present a review of recent work on the statistical mechanics of non equilibrium processes based on the analysis of large deviations properties of microscopic systems. Stochastic lattice gases are non trivial models of such phenomena and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-18 L. Bertini , A. De Sole , D. Gabrielli , G. Jona-Lasinio , C. Landim

We study the large deviations principle for locally periodic stochastic differential equations with small noise and fast oscillating coefficients. There are three possible regimes depending on how fast the intensity of the noise goes to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-05 Paul Dupuis , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

In this work, an adaptive predictive control scheme for linear systems with unknown parameters and bounded additive disturbances is proposed. In contrast to related adaptive control approaches that robustly consider the parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Johannes Teutsch , Christopher Narr , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

This paper proposes a novel methodology for probabilistic dynamic security assessment and enhancement of power systems that considers load and generation variability, N-2 contingencies, and uncertain cascade propagation caused by uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-05 Frédéric Sabot , Pierre-Etienne Labeau , Pierre Henneaux

When an expert operates a perilous dynamic system, ideal constraint information is tacitly contained in their demonstrated trajectories and controls. The likelihood of these demonstrations can be computed, given the system dynamics and task…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-26 David L. McPherson , Kaylene C. Stocking , S. Shankar Sastry

Many complex real world phenomena exhibit abrupt, intermittent or jumping behaviors, which are more suitable to be described by stochastic differential equations under non-Gaussian L\'evy noise. Among these complex phenomena, the most…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-15 Wei Wei , Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaoli Chen

Autonomous vehicles (AV) look set to become common on our roads within the next few years. However, to achieve the final breakthrough, not only functional progress is required, but also satisfactory safety assurance must be provided. Among…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Peter Popov , Lorenzo Strigini , Cornelius Buerkle , Fabian Oboril , Michael Paulitsch

We consider a sequence of processes defined on half-line for all non negative t. We give sufficient conditions for Large Deviation Principle (LDP) to hold in the space of continuous functions with a new metric that is more sensitive to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-30 F. C. Klebaner , A. V. Logachov , A. A. Mogulski

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting (AMS) algorithm is a powerful and versatile method for the simulation of rare events. It is based on an interacting (via a mutation-selection procedure) system of replicas, and depends on two integer…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Charles-Edouard Bréhier

Large random matrices appear in different fields of mathematics and physics such as combinatorics, probability theory, statistics, operator theory, number theory, quantum field theory, string theory etc... In the last ten years, they…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alice Guionnet

Large deviations principles characterize the exponential decay rates of the probabilities of rare events. Cerrai and Rockner [13] proved that systems of stochastic reaction-diffusion equations satisfy a large deviations principle that is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-11 Michael Salins

Demand for high-performance, robust, and safe autonomous systems has grown substantially in recent years. These objectives motivate the desire for efficient safety-theoretic reasoning that can be embedded in core decision-making tasks such…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Kristoffer M. Frey , Ted J. Steiner , Jonathan P. How

The problem of sequentially detecting an abrupt change in a sequence of independent and identically distributed (IID) random variables is addressed. Whereas previous approaches assume a known probability density function (PDF) at the start…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 James Falt , Steven D. Blostein

Intermittent large amplitude events are seen in the temporal evolution of a state variable of many dynamical systems. Such intermittent large events suddenly start appearing in dynamical systems at a critical value of a system parameter and…

This paper is concerned with the general theme of relating the Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for the invariant measures of stochastic processes to the associated sample path LDP. It is shown that if the sample path deviation function…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-10 Anatolii A. Puhalskii
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