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Forecasting the evolution of contagion dynamics is still an open problem to which mechanistic models only offer a partial answer. To remain mathematically or computationally tractable, these models must rely on simplifying assumptions,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-18 Charles Murphy , Edward Laurence , Antoine Allard

We analyze export data aggregated at world global level of 219 classes of products over a period of 39 years. Our main goal is to set up a dynamical model to identify and quantify plausible mechanisms by which the evolutions of the various…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-20 Michele Caraglio , Fulvio Baldovin , Attilio L. Stella

This paper develops an algorithm to reconstruct large weighted firm-to-firm networks using information about the size of the firms and sectoral input-output flows. Our algorithm is based on a four-step procedure. We first generate a matrix…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-03 Ashwin Bhattathiripad , Vipin P Veetil

We introduce a method to infer lead-lag networks of agents' actions in complex systems. These networks open the way to both microscopic and macroscopic states prediction in such systems. We apply this method to trader-resolved data in the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-27 Damien Challet , Rémy Chicheportiche , Mehdi Lallouache , Serge Kassibrakis

Aggregate and systemic risk in complex systems are emergent phenomena depending on two properties: the idiosyncratic risks of the elements and the topology of the network of interactions among them. While a significant attention has been…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-25 Elisa Letizia , Fabrizio Lillo

The global shipping network, which moves over 80% of the world's goods, is not only a vital backbone of the global economy but also one of the most polluting industries. Studying how this network operates is crucial for improving its…

Disease propagation between countries strongly depends on their effective distance, a measure derived from the world air transportation network (WAN). It reduces the complex spreading patterns of a pandemic to a wave-like propagation from…

We show how different approaches to developing marketing strategies depending on the type of environment a firm faces, where environments are distinguished in terms of their systems properties not their context. Particular emphasis is given…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-29 Ian Wilkinson , Louise Young

This paper derives a closed-form expression linking aggregate markups on imported inputs to concentration in a model of firm-to-firm trade with two-sided market power. Our theory extends standard oligopoly insights in two dimensions. First,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-04 Alviarez Vanessa , Fioretti Michele , Kikkawa Ken , Morlacco Monica

Collaborative learning techniques have significantly advanced in recent years, enabling private model training across multiple organizations. Despite this opportunity, firms face a dilemma when considering data sharing with competitors --…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Nikita Tsoy , Nikola Konstantinov

The European Union and Eurozone present an inquisitive case of strongly interconnected network with high degree of dependence among nodes. This research focused on investment network of European Union and its major trading partners for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-01 Muhammad Mohsin Hakeem , Ken-ichi Suzuki

The world is becoming more globalized every day and people can buy products from almost every country in the world in their local stores. Given the different food and feed safety laws from country to country, the European Union began to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Alberto Nogales , Rodrigo Díaz Morón , Álvaro J. García-Tejedor

This paper derives a model of screening contracts in the presence of positive network effects when building an electronic commerce network (e-commerce) between a large firm and a small and medium sized enterprise (SME) supplier based on…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2009-12-22 Alderete Maria Veronica

This paper contributes to the literature on the impact of Big Science Centres on technological innovation. We exploit a unique dataset with information on CERN's procurement orders to study the collaborative innovation process between CERN…

General Economics · Economics 2019-05-24 Andrea Bastianin , Paolo Castelnovo , Massimo Florio , Anna Giunta

The acquisition of training data is crucial for machine learning applications. Data markets can increase the supply of data, particularly in data-scarce domains such as healthcare, by incentivizing potential data providers to join the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Charles Lu , Baihe Huang , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy , Praneeth Vepakomma , Michael Jordan , Ramesh Raskar

"Data" is becoming an indispensable production factor, just like land, infrastructure, labor or capital. As part of this, a myriad of applications in different sectors require huge amounts of information to feed models and algorithms…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-01-13 Santiago Andrés Azcoitia , Nikolaos Laoutaris

We propose a unified modelling framework that theoretically justifies the main empirical regularities characterizing the international trade network. Each country is associated to a Polya urn whose composition controls the propensity of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-14 Stefano Peluso , Antonietta Mira , Pietro Muliere , Alessandro Lomi

Machine learning models play a key role for service providers looking to gain market share in consumer markets. However, traditional learning approaches do not take into account the existence of additional providers, who compete with each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Ohad Einav , Nir Rosenfeld

We study a supply chain consisting of production-inventory systems at several locations which are coupled by a common supplier. Demand of customers arrives at each production system according to a Poisson process and is lost if the local…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Sonja Otten

The digital transformation is driving revolutionary innovations and new market entrants threaten established sectors of the economy such as the automotive industry. Following the need for monitoring shifting industries, we present a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-01-09 Niklas Stoehr , Fabian Braesemann , Michael Frommelt , Shi Zhou