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Real-world time-series datasets are often multivariate with complex dynamics. To capture this complexity, high capacity architectures like recurrent- or attention-based sequential deep learning models have become popular. However, recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Si-An Chen , Chun-Liang Li , Nate Yoder , Sercan O. Arik , Tomas Pfister

Conventional diffusion models typically relies on a fixed forward process, which implicitly defines complex marginal distributions over latent variables. This can often complicate the reverse process' task in learning generative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-10 Grigory Bartosh , Dmitry Vetrov , Christian A. Naesseth

The classical approach to non-linear regression in physics, is to take a mathematical model describing the functional dependence of the dependent variable from a set of independent variables, and then, using non-linear fitting algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-29 Umberto , Michelucci , Francesca Venturini

We introduce a neural network conformal prediction method for time series that enhances adaptivity in non-stationary environments. Our approach acts as a neural controller designed to achieve desired target coverage, leveraging auxiliary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Ruipu Li , Alexander Rodríguez

The innovative GNN-CL model proposed in this paper marks a breakthrough in the field of financial fraud detection by synergistically combining the advantages of graph neural networks (gnn), convolutional neural networks (cnn) and long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Yu Cheng , Junjie Guo , Shiqing Long , You Wu , Mengfang Sun , Rong Zhang

Accurate demand forecasting is crucial for optimizing supply chain management. Traditional methods often fail to capture complex patterns from seasonal variability and special events. Despite advancements in deep learning, interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Md Abrar Jahin , Asef Shahriar , Md Al Amin

In this paper, we propose a Network-Weighted Functional Regression (NWFR) model, an extension of Spatially Weighted Functional Regression (SWFR) to functional data defined on network-structured settings. To asses predictive uncertainity, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Elvira Romano , Antonio Irpino , Claire Miller

The advent of smart meters has enabled pervasive collection of energy consumption data for training short-term load forecasting models. In response to privacy concerns, federated learning (FL) has been proposed as a privacy-preserving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Shourya Bose , Yu Zhang , Kibaek Kim

Electric load forecasting is essential for power management and stability in smart grids. This is mainly achieved via advanced metering infrastructure, where smart meters (SMs) record household energy data. Traditional machine learning (ML)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Ratun Rahman , Pablo Moriano , Samee U. Khan , Dinh C. Nguyen

When solving forecasting problems including multiple time-series features, existing approaches often fall into two extreme categories, depending on whether to utilize inter-feature information: univariate and complete-multivariate models.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Jaehoon Lee , Hankook Lee , Sungik Choi , Sungjun Cho , Moontae Lee

Ensembling is a powerful technique for improving the accuracy of machine learning models, with methods like stacking achieving strong results in tabular tasks. In time series forecasting, however, ensemble methods remain underutilized, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Nathanael Bosch , Oleksandr Shchur , Nick Erickson , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Caner Türkmen

Generating forecasts for time series with multiple seasonal cycles is an important use-case for many industries nowadays. Accounting for the multi-seasonal patterns becomes necessary to generate more accurate and meaningful forecasts in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-28 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage

Multivariate time series have many applications, from healthcare and meteorology to life science. Although deep learning models have shown excellent predictive performance for time series, they have been criticised for being "black-boxes"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-06 Qiqi Su , Christos Kloukinas , Artur d'Avila Garcez

We present a spatial-temporal federated learning framework for graph neural networks, namely STFL. The framework explores the underlying correlation of the input spatial-temporal data and transform it to both node features and adjacency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Guannan Lou , Yuze Liu , Tiehua Zhang , Xi Zheng

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Xiangjie Kong , Zhenghao Chen , Weiyao Liu , Kaili Ning , Lechao Zhang , Syauqie Muhammad Marier , Yichen Liu , Yuhao Chen , Feng Xia

The advent of smart meters has enabled pervasive collection of energy consumption data for training short-term load forecasting (STLF) models. In response to privacy concerns, federated learning (FL) has been proposed as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Shourya Bose , Kibaek Kim

Ensemble methods, such as stacking, are designed to boost predictive accuracy by blending the predictions of multiple machine learning models. Recent work has shown that the use of meta-features, additional inputs describing each example in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-11-04 Joseph Sill , Gabor Takacs , Lester Mackey , David Lin

Clustered Federated Multi-task Learning (CFL) has emerged as a promising technique to address statistical challenges, particularly with non-independent and identically distributed (non-IID) data across users. However, existing CFL studies…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Moqbel Hamood , Abdullatif Albaseer , Mohamed Abdallah , Ala Al-Fuqaha

Explainable machine learning (XML) has emerged as a major challenge in artificial intelligence (AI). Although black-box models such as Deep Neural Networks and Gradient Boosting often exhibit exceptional predictive accuracy, their lack of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Evgenii Kuriabov , Jia Li

Interpretability has become a necessary feature for machine learning models deployed in critical scenarios, e.g. legal system, healthcare. In these situations, algorithmic decisions may have (potentially negative) long-lasting effects on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-21 An-phi Nguyen , Maria Rodriguez Martinez