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Related papers: The puzzle of Carbon Allowance spread

200 papers

The global carbon market is fragmented and characterized by limited pricing transparency and empirical evidence, creating challenges for investors and policymakers in identifying carbon management opportunities. The European Union is among…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-12 Joseph Nyangon , Brecht Seifi

The European Union Emission Trading Scheme is a carbon emission allowance trading system designed by Europe to achieve emission reduction targets. The amount of carbon emission caused by production activities is closely related to the…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-19 Peng-Fei Dai , Xiong Xiong , Toan Luu Duc Huynh , Jiqiang Wang

The European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS), the world's first and largest cap-and-trade carbon market, is a cornerstone of EU climate policy. This study provides a comprehensive empirical analysis of the EU carbon market's…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-21 Avirup Chakraborty

We introduce a model for the evolution of emissions and the price of emissions allowances in a carbon market such as the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS). The model accounts for multiple trading periods, or phases, with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-21 Chassagneux Jean-Francois , Chotai Hinesh , Crisan Dan

The aim of this paper is to address the effect of the carbon emission allowance market on the production policy of a large polluter production firm. We investigate this effect in two cases; when the large polluter cannot affect the risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Arash Fahim , Nizar Touzi

We present a novel approach to the pricing of financial instruments in emission markets, for example, the EU ETS. The proposed structural model is positioned between existing complex full equilibrium models and pure reduced form models.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-03 Sam Howison , Daniel Schwarz

The European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) is a key policy tool for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and advancing toward a net-zero economy. Under this scheme, tradeable carbon credits, European Union Allowances (EUAs), are…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-16 Jan Maciejowski , Manuele Leonelli

We study the prices of European Emission Allowances (EUA), whereby we analyze their uncertainty and dependencies on related energy prices (natural gas, coal, and oil). We propose a probabilistic multivariate conditional time series model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-13 Jonathan Berrisch , Sven Pappert , Florian Ziel , Antonia Arsova

The European Union Emission Trading System is a prominent market-based mechanism to reduce emissions. While the theory is well understood, we are the first to study the whole cap-and-trade mechanism as a financial market. Analyzing the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-16 Nicola Borri , Yukun Liu , Aleh Tsyvinski , Xi Wu

We investigate the economic and environmental impacts of the European Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) using a multi-country, multi-sector general equilibrium model with input-output linkages. We quantify the general equilibrium…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-14 Noemi Walczak , Kenan Huremović , Armando Rungi

In 2018, allowance prices in the EU Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS) experienced a run-up from persistently low levels in previous years. Regulators attribute this to a comprehensive reform in the same year, and are confident the new price…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-03-23 Marina Friedrich , Sébastien Fries , Michael Pahle , Ottmar Edenhofer

Global warming is one of the main threats to the future of humanity and extensive emissions of greenhouse gases are found to be the main cause of global temperature rise as well as climate change. During the last decades international…

General Economics · Economics 2021-05-13 Markus Schlott , Omar El Sayed , Mariia Bilousova , Fabian Hofmann , Alexander Kies , Horst Stöcker

The European Union's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) creates a complex challenge for the interconnected European electricity market. Traditional static analyses often miss the cross-border spillover effects that are vital for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Jiachen Shen , Jian Shi , Dan Wang , Han Zhu

In this paper, I consider a simple heterogeneous agents model of a production economy with uncertain climate change and examine constrained efficient carbon taxation. If there are frictionless, complete financial markets, the simple model…

General Economics · Economics 2022-10-18 Felix Kübler

We consider the problem of reducing the carbon emissions of a set of firms over a finite horizon. A regulator dynamically allocates emission allowances to each firm. Firms face idiosyncratic as well as common economic shocks on emissions,…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-25 René Aïd , Sara Biagini

The instability of the financial system as experienced in recent years and in previous periods is often linked to credit defaults, i.e., to the failure of obligors to make promised payments. Given the large number of credit contracts, this…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

The European Union Emissions Trading System is set to substantially increase the effective carbon price faced by airlines. To quantify the impact of this carbon regulation on the European airline industry, we estimate a two-stage model of…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-31 Ertian Chen , Lichao Chen , Lars Nesheim

We use principle component analysis (PCA) of cross correlations in European government bonds and European stocks to investigate the systemic risk contained in the European economy. We tackle the task to visualize the evolution of risk,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-09 Jan Jurczyk , Alexander Eckrot

In the present study, for the first time, an effort sharing approach based on Inertia and Capability principles is proposed to assess European Union (EU27) carbon budget distribution among the Member States. This is done within the context…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-16 Ilaria Perissi , Aled Jones

Carbon emissions significantly contribute to climate change, and carbon credits have emerged as a key tool for mitigating environmental damage and helping organizations manage their carbon footprint. Despite their growing importance across…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Qingwen Zeng , Hanlin Xu , Nanjun Xu , Zhenghao Zhao , Joakim Westerholm , Flora Salim , Junbin Gao , Huaming Chen
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