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In this paper, we forecast euro area inflation and its main components using an econometric model which exploits a massive number of time series on survey expectations for the European Commission's Business and Consumer Survey. To make…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-26 Florian Huber , Luca Onorante , Michael Pfarrhofer

We investigate whether and why people might adjust compensation for workers who use AI tools. Across 13 studies (N = 4,956), participants consistently lowered compensation for workers who used AI compared to those who did not. This "AI…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-06 Jin Kim , Shane Schweitzer , David De Cremer , Christoph Riedl

This paper aims to clarify the relationship between monetary policy shocks and wage inequality. We emphasize the relevance of within and between wage group inequalities in explaining total wage inequality in the United States. Relying on…

General Economics · Economics 2022-03-08 Edmond Berisha , Ram Sewak Dubey , Eric Olson

Monthly disaggregated US data from 1978 to 2016 reveals that exposure to news on inflation and monetary policy helps to explain inflation expectations. This remains true when controlling for household personal characteristics, perceptions…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-25 Ben Zhe Wang , Jeffrey Sheen , Stefan Trück , Shih-Kang Chao , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

The growing importance of intraday electricity trading in Europe calls for improved price forecasting and tailored decision-support tools. In this paper, we propose a novel generative neural network model to generate probabilistic path…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-03 Jieyu Chen , Sebastian Lerch , Melanie Schienle , Tomasz Serafin , Rafał Weron

Discussion about the social network Twitter often concerns its role in political discourse, involving the question of when an expression of opinion becomes offensive, immoral, and/or illegal, and how to deal with it. Given the growing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-10-18 Sylvia Jaki , Tom De Smedt

In this paper, we explore the transformative impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the manufacturing sector, highlighting its potential to revolutionize industry practices and enhance operational efficiency. We delve into various…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Mohamed Abdelaal

I examine whether the early but temporary availability of low-barrier employment opportunities in the hospitality sector affects the labor market integration of refugees. My identification strategy combines the quasi-exogenous allocation of…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-22 Felix Degenhardt

This paper uses register-based data to analyze the consequences of a recent major Danish welfare reform for children's academic performance and well-being. In addition to work requirements, the reform brought about considerable reductions…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-08 Marianne Simonsen , Lars Skipper , Jeffrey A. Smith

This study investigates the labor market consequences of AI by analyzing near real-time changes in employment status and work hours across occupations in relation to advances in AI capabilities. We construct a dynamic Occupational AI…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-14 Jacob Dominski , Yong Suk Lee

The availability of historical data related to electricity day-ahead prices and to the underlying price formation process is limited. In addition, the electricity market in Europe is facing a rapid transformation, which limits the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-27 Raffaele Sgarlato

In the late 90's, after severe financial and economic crisis, accompanied by inflation and exchange rate instability, Eastern Europe emerged into two groups of countries with radically contrasting monetary regimes (Currency Boards and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-26 Muhammad Khan , Mazen Kebewar , Nikolay Nenovsky

Surveys are an indispensable source of data for applied economic research; however, their reliance on self-reported information can introduce bias, especially if core variables such as personal income are misreported. To assess the extent…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-08 Marco Caliendo , Katrin Huber , Ingo E. Isphording , Jakob Wegmann

On Jan. 1, 1999 the European Union introduced a common currency Euro ($EUR$), to become the legal currency in all eleven countries which form the $EUR$. In order to test the $EUR$ behavior and understand various features, the $EUR$ exchange…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-21 M. Ausloos , K. Ivanova

Despite the plethora of financial services and products on the market nowadays, there is a lack of such services and products designed especially for the low-wage population. Approximately 30% of the U.S. working population engage in…

In the context of scientific policy and science management, this study examines the system of nonuniform wage distribution for researchers. A nonlinear mathematical model of optimal remuneration for scientific workers has been developed,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-25 Eldar Knar

The empirical literature provides mixed results on the relationship between inflation and unemployment, therefore, there is no consensus on validity and stability of the Phillips Curve. It also seems to be closely related with…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-01 Yhlas Sovbetov , Muhittin Kaplan

Aims: Nonpharmaceutical interventions against the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Germany included the cancellation of mass events (from March 8), closures of schools and child day care facilities (from March 16) as well as a "lockdown" (from March…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-27 Thomas Wieland

The sharp devaluation of the ruble in 2014 increased the real returns to Russians from working in a global online labor marketplace, as con- tracts in this market are dollar-denominated. Russians clearly noticed the opportunity, with…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-14 John Horton

The emergence of generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) has created new opportunities for economic text analysis. This study proposes a Wage Sentiment Index (WSI) constructed with Large Language Models (LLMs) to forecast wage dynamics in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Taihei Sone