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The next decade will be an exciting period for solar astrophysics, as new ground- and space-based instrumentation will provide unprecedented observations of the solar atmosphere and heliosphere. The synergy between modeling effort and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-01-11 Serena Criscuoli , Maria Kazachenko , Irina Kitashvili , Alexander Kosovichev , Valentín Martínez Pillet , Gelu Nita , Viacheslav Sadykov , Alan Wray

Ground-based whole sky cameras are extensively used for localized monitoring of clouds nowadays. They capture hemispherical images of the sky at regular intervals using a fisheye lens. In this paper, we propose a framework for estimating…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-14 Soumyabrata Dev , Florian M. Savoy , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler

Current operational forecasts of solar eruptions are made by human experts using a combination of qualitative shape-based classification systems and historical data about flaring frequencies. In the past decade, there has been a great deal…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-02 V. Deshmukh , T. E. Berger , E. Bradley , J. D. Meiss

Forecasting future weather and climate is inherently difficult. Machine learning offers new approaches to increase the accuracy and computational efficiency of forecasts, but current methods are unable to accurately model uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Yusuke Hatanaka , Yannik Glaser , Geoff Galgon , Giuseppe Torri , Peter Sadowski

Solar power harbors immense potential in mitigating climate change by substantially reducing CO$_{2}$ emissions. Nonetheless, the inherent variability of solar irradiance poses a significant challenge for seamlessly integrating solar power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Oussama Boussif , Ghait Boukachab , Dan Assouline , Stefano Massaroli , Tianle Yuan , Loubna Benabbou , Yoshua Bengio

The output of solar power generation is significantly dependent on the available solar radiation. Thus, with the proliferation of PV generation in the modern power grid, forecasting of solar irradiance is vital for proper operation of the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-05 Kwasi Opoku , Svetlana Lucemo , Qun Zhou Sun , Aleksandar Dimitrovski

Spatio-temporal problems exist in many areas of knowledge and disciplines ranging from biology to engineering and physics. However, solution strategies based on classical statistical techniques often fall short due to the large number of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-15 Emil B. Iversen , Rune Juhl , Jan K. Møller , Jan Kleissl , Henrik Madsen , Juan M. Morales

Accurate mechanisms for forecasting solar irradiance and insolation provide important information for the planning of renewable energy and agriculture projects as well as for environmental and socio-economical studies. This research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Laura S. Hoyos-Gómez , Jose F. Ruiz-Muñoz , Belizza J. Ruiz-Mendoza

Utilizing solar energy to meet space heating and domestic hot water demand is very efficient (in terms of environmental footprint as well as cost), but in order to ensure that user demand is entirely covered throughout the year needs to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Tatiana Boura , Natalia Koliou , George Meramveliotakis , Stasinos Konstantopoulos , George Kosmadakis

In this dataset we provide a comprehensive collection of magnetograms (images quantifying the strength of the magnetic field) from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA's) Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO). The dataset…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-13 Laura E. Boucheron , Ty Vincent , Jeremy A. Grajeda , Ellery Wuest

Estimating the amount of electricity that can be produced by rooftop photovoltaic systems is a time-consuming process that requires on-site measurements, a difficult task to achieve on a large scale. In this paper, we present an approach to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Daniel de Barros Soares , François Andrieux , Bastien Hell , Julien Lenhardt , Jordi Badosa , Sylvain Gavoille , Stéphane Gaiffas , Emmanuel Bacry

Probabilistic forecasts of renewable energy production provide users with valuable information about the uncertainty associated with the expected generation. Current state-of-the-art forecasts for solar irradiance have focused on producing…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-28 Emil B. Iversen , Juan M. Morales , Jan K. Møller , Henrik Madsen

The energy available in Micro Grid (MG) that is powered by solar energy is tightly related to the weather conditions in the moment of generation. Very short-term forecast of solar irradiance provides the MG with the capability of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-08 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

Large-scale integration of photovoltaics (PV) into electricity grids is challenged by the intermittent nature of solar power. Sky-image-based solar forecasting using deep learning has been recognized as a promising approach to predicting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Yuhao Nie , Xiatong Li , Andea Scott , Yuchi Sun , Vignesh Venugopal , Adam Brandt

Integration of intermittent renewable energy sources into electric grids in large proportions is challenging. A well-established approach aimed at addressing this difficulty involves the anticipation of the upcoming energy supply…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Quentin Paletta , Guillaume Arbod , Joan Lasenby

The physics of solar flares occurring on the Sun is highly complex and far from fully understood. However, observations show that solar eruptions are associated with the intense kilogauss fields of active regions, where free energies are…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-01-26 Bach Viet Do , Yang Chen , XuanLong Nguyen , Ward Manchester

We present a new approach to study the properties of the sun. We consider small variations of the physical and chemical properties of the sun with respect to Standard Solar Model predictions and we linearize the structure equations to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 F. L. Villante , B. Ricci

This communication is devoted to solar irradiance and irradiation short-term forecasts, which are useful for electricity production. Several different time series approaches are employed. Our results and the corresponding numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-09-29 Cédric Join , Cyril Voyant , Michel Fliess , Marc Muselli , Marie Laure Nivet , Christophe Paoli , Frédéric Chaxel

Satellite-based solar irradiation forecasting is useful for short-term intra-day time horizons, outperforming numerical weather predictions up to 3-4 hours ahead. The main techniques for solar satellite forecast are based on sophisticated…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-09-02 Franco Marchesoni-Acland , Rodrigo Alonso Suárez