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Many real-life applications involve simultaneously forecasting multiple time series that are hierarchically related via aggregation or disaggregation operations. For instance, commercial organizations often want to forecast inventories…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Xing Han , Sambarta Dasgupta , Joydeep Ghosh

We explore the use of quantum generative adversarial networks QGANs for modeling eye movement velocity data. We assess whether the advanced computational capabilities of QGANs can enhance the modeling of complex stochastic distribution…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Shailendra Bhandari , Pedro Lincastre , Pedro Lind

The cumulant generating function of time-averaged current is studied from an operational viewpoint. Specifically, for interacting Brownian particles under non-equilibrium conditions, we show that the first derivative of the cumulant…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-30 Takahiro Nemoto , Shin-ichi Sasa

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

Accurately modeling time-continuous stochastic processes from irregular observations remains a significant challenge. In this paper, we leverage ideas from generative modeling of image data to push the boundary of time series generation.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-30 T. Jahn , J. Chemseddine , P. Hagemann , C. Wald , G. Steidl

We explore the efficacy of the novel use of parametrised quantum circuits (PQCs) as quantum neural networks (QNNs) for forecasting time series signals with simulated quantum forward propagation. The temporal signals consist of several…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-02-02 Dimitrios Emmanoulopoulos , Sofija Dimoska

Financial time series often exhibit low signal-to-noise ratio, posing significant challenges for accurate data interpretation and prediction and ultimately decision making. Generative models have gained attention as powerful tools for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Zhuohan Wang , Carmine Ventre

Machine learning models underpin many modern financial systems for use cases such as fraud detection and churn prediction. Most are based on supervised learning with hand-engineered features, which relies heavily on the availability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Piotr Skalski , David Sutton , Stuart Burrell , Iker Perez , Jason Wong

We explore whether useful temporal neural generative models can be learned from sequential data without back-propagation through time. We investigate the viability of a more neurocognitively-grounded approach in the context of unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-01 Alexander G. Ororbia , Patrick Haffner , David Reitter , C. Lee Giles

Yield curve forecasting is an important problem in finance. In this work we explore the use of Gaussian Processes in conjunction with a dynamic modeling strategy, much like the Kalman Filter, to model the yield curve. Gaussian Processes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-07 Rajiv Sambasivan , Sourish Das

Time series generation (TSG) studies have mainly focused on the use of Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) combined with recurrent neural network (RNN) variants. However, the fundamental limitations and challenges of training GANs still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Daesoo Lee , Sara Malacarne , Erlend Aune

Since the introduction of the quantum neural network model, it has been widely studied due to its strong expressive power and robustness to overfitting. To date, the model has been evaluated primarily in classification tasks, but its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-10-20 Hirotoshi Hirai

The increasing adoption of synthetic data in aviation research offers a promising solution to data scarcity and confidentiality challenges. This study investigates the potential of generative models to produce realistic synthetic flight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Karim Aly , Alexei Sharpanskykh

Time series forecasting is important across various domains for decision-making. In particular, financial time series such as stock prices can be hard to predict as it is difficult to model short-term and long-term temporal dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Zhen Zeng , Rachneet Kaur , Suchetha Siddagangappa , Saba Rahimi , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

Time series data generation has drawn increasing attention in recent years. Several generative adversarial network (GAN) based methods have been proposed to tackle the problem usually with the assumption that the targeted time series data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Hengzhi Pei , Kan Ren , Yuqing Yang , Chang Liu , Tao Qin , Dongsheng Li

Temporal data are ubiquitous in the financial services (FS) industry -- traditional data like economic indicators, operational data such as bank account transactions, and modern data sources like website clickstreams -- all of these occur…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-15 Jason Wittenbach , Brian d'Alessandro , C. Bayan Bruss

Recent studies suggest utilizing generative models instead of traditional auto-regressive algorithms for time series forecasting (TSF) tasks. These non-auto-regressive approaches involving different generative methods, including GAN,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Jiangxuan Long , Zhao Song , Chiwun Yang

Imagine generating a city's electricity demand pattern based on weather, the presence of an electric vehicle, and location, which could be used for capacity planning during a winter freeze. Such real-world time series are often enriched…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Sai Shankar Narasimhan , Shubhankar Agarwal , Oguzhan Akcin , Sujay Sanghavi , Sandeep Chinchali

Generative modelling with Transformer architectures can simulate complex sequential structures across various applications. We extend this line of work to the social sciences by introducing a Transformer-based generative model tailored to…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-23 Alberto Cabezas , Carlotta Montorsi

The rapid development of reliable Quantum Processing Units (QPU) opens up novel computational opportunities for machine learning. Here, we introduce a procedure for measuring the similarity between graph-structured data, based on the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-29 Louis-Paul Henry , Slimane Thabet , Constantin Dalyac , Loïc Henriet