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We propose and implement an approach to inference in linear instrumental variables models which is simultaneously robust and computationally tractable. Inference is based on self-normalization of sample moment conditions, and allows for…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-29 Eric Gautier , Christiern Rose

Stochastic Petri Nets (SPNs) are an increasingly popular tool of choice for modeling discrete-event dynamics in areas such as epidemiology and systems biology, yet their parameter estimation remains challenging in general and in particular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Bright Kwaku Manu , Trevor Reckell , Beckett Sterner , Petar Jevtic

We study hypothesis testing for penalized estimators in settings where the full marginal distribution of a multivariate response is difficult to specify, such as longitudinal data with correlated measurements or high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-08 Jing Zhou , Zhe Zhang

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (NSDEs) model the drift and diffusion functions of a stochastic process as neural networks. While NSDEs are known to make accurate predictions, their uncertainty quantification properties have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

For supervised and unsupervised learning, positive definite kernels allow to use large and potentially infinite dimensional feature spaces with a computational cost that only depends on the number of observations. This is usually done…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-09-10 Francis Bach

We examine gradient descent on unregularized logistic regression problems, with homogeneous linear predictors on linearly separable datasets. We show the predictor converges to the direction of the max-margin (hard margin SVM) solution. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Daniel Soudry , Elad Hoffer , Mor Shpigel Nacson , Suriya Gunasekar , Nathan Srebro

Previous analysis of regularized functional linear regression in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) typically requires the target function to be contained in this kernel space. This paper studies the convergence performance of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-20 Jiading Liu , Lei Shi

Bayesian regression determines model parameters by minimizing the expected loss, an upper bound to the true generalization error. However, the loss ignores misspecification, where models are imperfect. Parameter uncertainties from Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-07 Thomas D Swinburne , Danny Perez

Distributional models are derived from co-occurrences in a corpus, where only a small proportion of all possible plausible co-occurrences will be observed. This results in a very sparse vector space, requiring a mechanism for inferring…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-08-25 Thomas Kober , Julie Weeds , Jeremy Reffin , David Weir

Flexible estimation of the mean outcome under a treatment regimen (i.e., value function) is the key step toward personalized medicine. We define our target parameter as a conditional value function given a set of baseline covariates which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-29 Ashkan Ertefaie , Luke Duttweiler , Brent A. Johnson , Mark J. van der Laan

In the context of statistical supervised learning, the noiseless linear model assumes that there exists a deterministic linear relation $Y = \langle \theta_*, X \rangle$ between the random output $Y$ and the random feature vector $\Phi(U)$,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Raphaël Berthier , Francis Bach , Pierre Gaillard

A structure-preserving kernel ridge regression method is presented that allows the recovery of nonlinear Hamiltonian functions out of datasets made of noisy observations of Hamiltonian vector fields. The method proposes a closed-form…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-07 Jianyu Hu , Juan-Pablo Ortega , Daiying Yin

We present a detailed study of estimation errors in terms of surrogate loss estimation errors. We refer to such guarantees as $\mathscr{H}$-consistency estimation error bounds, since they account for the hypothesis set $\mathscr{H}$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Pranjal Awasthi , Anqi Mao , Mehryar Mohri , Yutao Zhong

Diffusion kernels over graphs have been widely utilized as effective tools in various applications due to their ability to accurately model the flow of information through nodes and edges. However, there is a notable gap in the literature…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Giuseppe Alessio D'Inverno , Kylian Ajavon , Simone Brugiapaglia

Local polynomial regression of order at least one often performs poorly in regions of sparse data. Local constant regression is exceptional in this regard, though it is the least accurate method in general, especially at the boundaries of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Chunlei Ge , W. John Braun

We propose a semiparametric model for dyadic link formations in directed networks. The model contains a set of degree parameters that measure different effects of popularity or outgoingness across nodes, a regression parameter vector that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-21 Lianqiang Qu , Lu Chen , Ting Yan , Yuguo Chen

To investigate a dilemma of statistical and computational efficiency faced by long-run variance estimators, we propose a decomposition of kernel weights in a quadratic form and some online inference principles. These proposals allow us to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-10 Man Fung Leung , Kin Wai Chan

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a Bayesian machine learning approach widely used to construct surrogate models for the uncertainty quantification of computer simulation codes in industrial applications. It provides both a mean predictor and an…

Over the past decade, stochastic algorithms have emerged as scalable and efficient tools for solving large-scale ill-posed inverse problems by randomly selecting subsets of equations at each iteration. However, due to the ill-posedness and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Harshit Bajpai , Gaurav Mittal , Ankik Kumar Giri

Testing for nonlinearity is one of the most important preprocessing steps in nonlinear time series analysis. Typically, this is done by means of the linear surrogate data methods. But it is a known fact that the validity of the results…

Applications · Statistics 2011-02-01 Diego Guarin , Edilson Delgado , Alvaro Orozco
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