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In the last decade, stochastic models have shown to be very useful for quantitative modelling of social processes. Here, a configurational master equation for the description of behavioral changes by pair interactions of individuals is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dirk Helbing

We study two stylized, multi-agent models aimed at investing a limited, indivisible resource in public transportation. In the first model, we face the decision of which potential stops to open along a (e.g., bus) path, given agents' travel…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Martin Bullinger , Edith Elkind , Kassian Köck

Control of non-episodic, finite-horizon dynamical systems with uncertain dynamics poses a tough and elementary case of the exploration-exploitation trade-off. Bayesian reinforcement learning, reasoning about the effect of actions and future…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-12 Edgar D. Klenske , Philipp Hennig

A kinetic inhomogeneous Boltzmann-type equation is proposed to model the dynamics of the number of agents in a large market depending on the estimated value of an asset and the rationality of the agents. The interaction rules take into…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Bertram Düring , Ansgar Jüngel , Lara Trussardi

Models of human behavior for prediction and collaboration tend to fall into two categories: ones that learn from large amounts of data via imitation learning, and ones that assume human behavior to be noisily-optimal for some reward…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Cassidy Laidlaw , Anca Dragan

This paper focuses on managing the cost of deliberation before action. In many problems, the overall quality of the solution reflects costs incurred and resources consumed in deliberation as well as the cost and benefit of execution, when…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 David Einav , Michael R. Fehling

This paper studies a model for the optimal control (by a centralized economic agent which we call the planner) of pollution diffusion over time and space. The controls are the investments in production and depollution and the goal is to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-09 Fausto Gozzi , Marta Leocata , Giulia Pucci

We study an optimal investment/consumption problem in a model capturing market and credit risk dependencies. Stochastic factors drive both the default intensity and the volatility of the stocks in the portfolio. We use the martingale…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-20 Lijun Bo , Agostino Capponi

In this paper, we study the exploration / exploitation trade-off in cellular genetic algorithms. We define a new selection scheme, the centric selection, which is tunable and allows controlling the selective pressure with a single…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-07-22 David Simoncini , Sébastien Verel , Philippe Collard , Manuel Clergue

In this paper we study binary interaction schemes with uncertain parameters for a general class of Boltzmann-type equations with applications in classical gas and aggregation dynamics. We consider deterministic (i.e., a priori averaged) and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-11-05 Andrea Tosin , Mattia Zanella

A central push in operations models over the last decade has been the incorporation of models of customer choice. Real world implementations of many of these models face the formidable stumbling block of simply identifying the `right' model…

Applications · Statistics 2011-06-23 Vivek F. Farias , Srikanth Jagabathula , Devavrat Shah

Advancing our understanding of human behavior hinges on the ability of theories to unveil the mechanisms underlying such behaviors. Measuring the ability of theories and models to predict unobserved behaviors provides a principled method to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-28 Sergio Cobo-Lopez , Antonia Godoy-Lorite , Jordi Duch , Marta Sales-Pardo , Roger Guimera

Under a Bayesian framework, we formulate the fully sequential sampling and selection decision in statistical ranking and selection as a stochastic control problem, and derive the associated Bellman equation. Using value function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-10 Yijie Peng , Edwin K. P. Chong , Chun-Hung Chen , Michael C. Fu

We propose a novel targeted exploration strategy designed specifically for uncertain linear time-invariant systems with energy-bounded disturbances, i.e., without any assumptions on the distribution of the disturbances. We use classical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Janani Venkatasubramanian , Johannes Köhler , Mark Cannon , Frank Allgöwer

A perfectly rational decision-maker chooses the best action with the highest utility gain from a set of possible actions. The optimality principles that describe such decision processes do not take into account the computational costs of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-12-25 Jordi Grau-Moya , Daniel A. Braun

This paper analyzes and explicitly solves a class of long-term average impulse control problems and a related class of singular control problems. The underlying process is a general one-dimensional diffusion with appropriate boundary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-05 K. L. Helmes , R. H. Stockbridge , C. Zhu

We describe a simple model of heterogeneous, interacting agents making decisions between $n\ge 2$ discrete choices. For a special class of interactions, our model is the mean field description of random-field Potts-like models, and is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-19 Ching Hua Lee , Andrew Lucas

This paper investigates the optimal harvesting strategy for a single species living in random environments whose growth is given by a regime-switching diffusion. Harvesting acts as a (stochastic) control on the size of the population. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-02 Qingshuo Song , Richard Stockbridge , Chao Zhu

Multi-agent learning is a challenging problem in machine learning that has applications in different domains such as distributed control, robotics, and economics. We develop a prescriptive model of multi-agent behavior using Markov games.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Jalal Etesami , Christoph-Nikolas Straehle

This paper proposes a strategic model of pollution control. A firm, representative of the productive sector of a country, aims at maximizing its profits by expanding its production. Assuming that the output of production is proportional to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Giorgio Ferrari , Torben Koch